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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-68
25-25 19-13 20-18 16-12
Position#13
Record9-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#2
Record15-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Panathinaikos
19 Nov 2026
ZAL v PAO
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZAL85
PAO92
22 Nov 2024
ZAL84
PAO77
02 Feb 2024
ZAL80
PAO68
02 Dec 2022
ZAL67
PAO81
16 Nov 2021
ZAL76
PAO69
08 Apr 2021
ZAL93
PAO78
18 Jan 2019
ZAL82
PAO69
07 Dec 2017
ZAL80
PAO74
09 Mar 2017
ZAL64
PAO58
17 Dec 2015
ZAL72
PAO75
13 Mar 2015
ZAL76
PAO70
21 Feb 2013
ZAL73
PAO78
07 Dec 2011
ZAL59
PAO94
04 Dec 2008
ZAL69
PAO80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
76avg 78
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 78
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
62avg 78
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 78
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
102avg 78
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 78
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 78
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 78
A26/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
103-75
103
75
+28
106avg 78
H28/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
96-70
96
70
+26
97avg 78
H31/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
25-13
17-17
17-22
27-21
21-21
14-22
22-15
12-26
25-18
20-24
16-23
23-26
29-13
17-17
18-17
20-14
23-21
23-20
32-20
23-26
21-22
21-18
17-16
22-22
25-19
29-16
22-14
26-22
17-23
16-16
13-20
20-14
29-17
31-24
23-20
34-14
24-23
18-22
20-11
163.2Avg total
86.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.880.8160.6-1.138%
Season at home (11)81.680.0161.6+1.645%
Season away (13)78.281.5159.7-3.431%
Last 10 (10)86.876.4163.2+10.470%
Last 5 (5)90.275.8166.0+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)80.480.9161.4-0.536%
vs Weaker (15)83.275.3158.5+7.967%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
67avg 76
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
90-75
90
75
+15
89avg 76
H07/01
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
86avg 76
H09/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
102avg 76
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
72avg 76
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 76
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H31/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
25-24
19-22
16-12
25-19
16-25
26-19
23-12
25-14
26-21
17-22
15-19
27-12
16-18
21-14
24-19
25-16
21-15
26-23
20-22
18-16
24-24
16-18
26-13
23-18
21-24
19-12
22-26
21-18
15-25
23-19
16-28
26-11
23-18
22-15
16-11
21-16
23-12
13-13
22-21
157.4Avg total
84.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.777.9159.5+3.862%
Season at home (13)83.074.8157.8+8.277%
Season away (11)80.181.5161.5-1.445%
Last 10 (10)84.572.9157.4+11.690%
Last 5 (5)82.071.6153.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)85.580.8166.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.273.2157.3+11.085%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Zalgiris KaunasPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A26/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H28/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H31/01
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
46.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.981.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.686.3+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.837.577.3+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)46.239.085.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.488.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)41.541.983.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker (15)41.938.280.1+3.767%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A05/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H07/01
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H09/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H31/01
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
44.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.736.780.4+7.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.336.681.9+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.878.8+5.253%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.981.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.479.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)42.841.284.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.836.079.8+7.865%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.6
56.8%
53.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.7
38.2%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.616.3
83.2%
77.4%16.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.1
57.6%
53.4%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.3
40.1%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.415.6
76.5%
77.4%15.6
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWWLWW
Panathinaikos
WWLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#2
+13.6
Net rating
+16.5
118.8
Offensive rating
118.1
105.2
Defensive rating
101.6
57.0%
Effective FG%
58.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
38.2%
3-point %
40.1%
66.0%
Assist %
59.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 118.1Defence105.2 · 101.6Shooting57.0% · 58.6%3-point %38.2% · 40.1%Ball care18.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HAnadolu Efes96-70
28/01/24HMazeikiai103-75
26/01/24APartizan72-81
23/01/24APieno Zvaigzdes98-71
21/01/24HBC Wolves82-82
19/01/24HFenerbahce98-75
14/01/24ASiauliai87-73
12/01/24ABarcelona73-91
09/01/24AValencia84-79
07/01/24AJonava75-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-62
28/01/24AApollon Patras87-55
25/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-90
22/01/24HOlympiacos85-80
19/01/24HPartizan84-71
14/01/24ALavrio92-76
11/01/24HMonaco88-63
09/01/24HAnadolu Efes83-76
07/01/24HPeristeri90-75
05/01/24AValencia82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW38%
HomeLLWWW45%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %38%45%31%
Points / game79.881.678.2
Allowed / game80.880.081.5
Point differential-1.1+1.6-3.4
Avg total160.6161.6159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%77%45%
Points / game81.783.080.1
Allowed / game77.974.881.5
Point differential+3.8+8.2-1.4
Avg total159.5157.8161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%54%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %12%15%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2522388%89.679.8+9.7
2 Barcelona2416867%82.578.6+3.8
3 Panathinaikos2415962%81.777.9+3.8
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.081.4+2.6
5 Virtus Bologna2415962%80.381.1-0.8
6 Monaco24141058%81.579.5+2.0
7 Olympiacos25141156%78.775.6+3.1
8 Valencia25131252%76.675.9+0.6
9 Baskonia25131252%82.983.6-0.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%86.287.8-1.5
11 Partizan24121250%83.283.6-0.5
12 Crvena zvezda24101442%81.980.2+1.8
13 Olimpia Milano25101540%76.876.7+0.1
14 Bayern25101540%79.682.5-2.9
15 Anadolu Efes25101540%83.887.4-3.6
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2491538%79.880.8-1.1
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2552020%78.385.8-7.6
18 Alba Berlin2552020%76.084.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2519201680
Panathinaikos2513181268
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