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Zenit Petersburg vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-91
19-22 22-22 9-18 12-29
Position#6
Record15-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.8
Zenit Petersburg
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#8
Record13-12
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26
European cup2020
Meetings · Zenit Petersburg v Valencia
25 Feb 2021
ZPE62
VAL91
24 Oct 2018
ZPE104
VAL93
08 Dec 2009
ZPE59
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zenit Petersburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPetersburg
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 79
A26/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A28/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
82avg 79
H31/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 79
H02/02
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 79
A05/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
99-73
99
73
+26
98avg 79
A07/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
58-59
58
59
-1
56avg 79
A10/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 79
A13/02
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
76-75
76
75
+1
77avg 79
A19/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
81avg 79
H22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
19-28
17-25
31-16
24-16
20-19
15-21
17-26
35-22
13-20
23-21
19-22
17-25
22-17
25-13
14-18
25-25
18-22
22-19
19-26
20-19
25-16
24-20
30-18
22-18
15-13
9-10
12-18
22-19
17-10
20-17
15-25
22-16
26-20
13-20
15-19
19-15
21-23
14-16
25-16
156.0Avg total
79.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.774.8152.5+2.962%
Season at home (9)78.473.7152.1+4.867%
Season away (15)77.275.5152.7+1.760%
Last 10 (10)79.576.5156.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)77.269.6146.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.475.5152.8+1.962%
vs Weaker (16)82.472.6154.9+9.875%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 80
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 80
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
83-61
83
61
+22
81avg 80
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 80
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 80
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 80
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
no box
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 80
H19/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-17
22-25
21-18
17-17
17-23
20-21
23-29
14-18
21-13
23-12
25-18
20-20
18-27
17-13
23-19
20-22
14-26
18-20
20-23
18-21
16-13
27-24
28-27
25-17
22-26
17-20
20-21
12-22
26-15
30-22
21-22
17-29
17-20
21-14
19-22
29-21
26-14
16-17
18-26
167.0Avg total
83.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.282.6164.9-0.452%
Season at home (13)83.580.8164.2+2.769%
Season away (12)80.984.7165.6-3.833%
Last 10 (10)83.983.1167.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)89.286.4175.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.289.0177.2-0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.081.3164.3+1.750%
vs Weaker (15)87.580.6168.1+6.973%
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Zenit PetersburgValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zenit PetersburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A28/01
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H31/01
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/02
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A07/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/02
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A13/02
VTB United League
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H22/02
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
41.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.176.0+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (10)42.339.181.4+3.250%-
Last 30 away (20)38.734.573.2+4.270%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.979.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.875.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.836.373.1+0.554%-
vs Weaker (16)41.636.277.8+5.469%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/02
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
38.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.382.1+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.684.9+5.871%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.979.6-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.978.8-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.681.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.842.585.2+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.339.881.1+1.560%-
vs Weaker (15)42.439.481.8+3.047%-
This opponent (Zenit Petersburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zenit Petersburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zenit Petersburg: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.916.1
50.5%
52.7%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.8
38.4%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.9
81.2%
79.3%16.9
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.9
56.6%
52.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.0
38.8%
38.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
79.3%16.5
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zenit Petersburg
WWWLWLWWLL
Valencia
WLWWWLLWLW
#6
League position
#8
+3.8
Net rating
+3.0
116.1
Offensive rating
113.8
112.3
Defensive rating
110.8
53.7%
Effective FG%
57.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.4%
3-point %
38.8%
66.0%
Assist %
67.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 113.8Defence112.3 · 110.8Shooting53.7% · 57.3%3-point %38.4% · 38.8%Ball care16.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zenit Petersburg   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zenit Petersburg wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
08/12/20Valencia v Zenit Petersburg72-85
11/12/18Valencia v Zenit Petersburg97-89
24/10/18Zenit Petersburg v Valencia104-93
15/12/09Valencia v Zenit Petersburg85-60
08/12/09Zenit Petersburg v Valencia59-67
Zenit Petersburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/21HOlimpia Milano79-70
19/02/21ACrvena zvezda76-75
13/02/21ACSKA Moscow74-71
10/02/21AUnics Kazan58-59
07/02/21AMinsk99-73
05/02/21AFenerbahce84-92
02/02/21HNizhny Novgorod78-73
31/01/21HLokomotiv Kuban90-85
28/01/21AOlimpia Milano76-82
26/01/21ABarcelona81-85
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21HReal Madrid89-78
11/02/21AReal Madrid74-85
06/02/21HReal Betis89-81
04/02/21HCSKA Moscow105-103 OT
31/01/21AUnicaja89-85
29/01/21APanathinaikos72-91
27/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-79
24/01/21HBaskonia83-61
21/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne77-90
17/01/21ASan Pablo Burgos83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zenit Petersburg
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game77.778.477.2
Allowed / game74.873.775.5
Point differential+2.9+4.8+1.7
Avg total152.5152.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW52%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game82.283.580.9
Allowed / game82.680.884.7
Point differential-0.4+2.7-3.8
Avg total164.9164.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2518772%81.473.6+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2416867%84.079.6+4.4
3 Olimpia Milano2516964%81.677.8+3.8
4 Zenit Petersburg2415962%77.774.8+2.9
5 Real Madrid25151060%80.577.7+2.8
6 Bayern25151060%79.478.0+1.4
7 Fenerbahce25151060%79.078.5+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes24141058%79.876.3+3.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas25141156%78.477.4+1.0
10 Valencia25131252%82.282.6-0.4
11 Baskonia25121348%79.877.6+2.2
12 Olympiacos25111444%79.081.0-2.0
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%77.180.0-2.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv23101343%79.279.2+0.0
15 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
16 Alba Berlin2581732%77.483.3-5.9
17 Crvena zvezda2571828%73.778.5-4.8
18 Khimki M.242228%78.691.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zenit Petersburg192291262
Valencia2222182991
← all games of the day
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