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Valencia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-79
20-20 18-27 17-13 23-19
Position#8
Record11-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#11
Record12-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Zalgiris Kaunas
04 Mar 2027
VAL v ZAL
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VAL91
ZAL87
09 Jan 2024
VAL79
ZAL84
25 Nov 2022
VAL76
ZAL80
27 Jan 2021
VAL78
ZAL79
21 Dec 2017
VAL63
ZAL71
19 Jan 2011
VAL73
ZAL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
106-73
106
73
+33
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A12/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H24/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
17-22
11-16
12-16
29-21
27-24
18-17
27-23
19-17
25-19
27-14
20-30
12-18
21-20
21-29
18-22
25-21
22-11
31-24
28-17
20-21
16-33
24-22
20-19
27-15
22-27
19-15
23-14
23-18
17-17
22-25
21-18
17-17
17-23
20-21
23-29
14-18
21-13
23-12
25-18
164.7Avg total
85.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.581.7163.2-0.152%
Season at home (10)81.379.0160.3+2.370%
Season away (11)81.784.1165.8-2.436%
Last 10 (10)85.479.3164.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)82.879.0161.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.284.6164.8-4.440%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.683.8166.4-1.250%
vs Weaker (13)89.179.6168.7+9.577%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
104-74
104
74
+30
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
94-59
94
59
+35
H24/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
18-19
16-16
18-22
12-14
19-23
23-11
20-23
34-20
25-20
25-14
20-20
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
30-18
24-19
22-27
27-13
26-20
19-24
18-16
18-19
27-10
17-14
30-25
20-10
161.8Avg total
86.8Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.877.5157.3+2.357%
Season at home (11)84.078.6162.6+5.455%
Season away (10)75.276.3151.5-1.160%
Last 10 (10)86.875.0161.8+11.880%
Last 5 (5)83.275.0158.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.579.0154.5-3.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.479.3159.7+1.154%
vs Weaker (13)92.271.1163.2+21.1100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
ValenciaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A29/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/01
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A09/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A12/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H24/01
ACB
81.3Avg total
42.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.782.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.441.184.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.281.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.844.281.0-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.240.680.8-0.358%-
vs Weaker (13)44.239.583.7+4.854%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
W
59-40
59
40
+19
A03/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/01
LKL
82.9Avg total
43.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.880.4+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.780.8+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.279.9-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.682.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.279.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.041.077.0-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.441.381.7-0.954%-
vs Weaker (13)44.635.580.2+9.185%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.620.2
62.0%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.8
39.4%
38.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.514.4
82.3%
79.3%14.4
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.9
56.4%
52.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.3
40.6%
38.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.412.3
85.4%
79.3%12.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWLWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLLWWWWW
#8
League position
#11
+7.1
Net rating
+16.7
118.0
Offensive rating
119.1
110.9
Defensive rating
102.4
60.7%
Effective FG%
58.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
40.6%
67.0%
Assist %
70.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 119.1Defence110.9 · 102.4Shooting60.7% · 58.1%3-point %39.4% · 40.6%Ball care18.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 34.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HBaskonia83-61
21/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne77-90
17/01/21ASan Pablo Burgos83-78
15/01/21HCrvena zvezda91-71
12/01/21AOlimpia Milano80-95
09/01/21ABilbao106-73
07/01/21ABarcelona72-89
04/01/21AJoventut Badalona91-80
02/01/21HGran Canaria101-85
29/12/20ABaskonia70-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET94-59
22/01/21HOlympiacos81-79
18/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-77
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82
03/01/21ANeptunas104-74
29/12/20AAlba Berlin74-71
23/12/20HBayern74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game81.581.381.7
Allowed / game81.779.084.1
Point differential-0.1+2.3-2.4
Avg total163.2160.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWWWW55%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%55%60%
Points / game79.884.075.2
Allowed / game77.578.676.3
Point differential+2.3+5.4-1.1
Avg total157.3162.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2216673%81.373.4+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2216673%83.978.9+5.0
3 Olimpia Milano2114767%82.478.3+4.1
4 Zenit Petersburg2013765%77.573.8+3.6
5 Real Madrid2113862%82.078.1+4.0
6 Bayern2213959%79.077.4+1.5
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2112957%79.877.5+2.3
8 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
9 Fenerbahce22121055%76.778.1-1.4
10 Valencia21111052%81.581.7-0.1
11 Olympiacos22111150%80.581.1-0.6
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2291341%79.179.1-0.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%76.580.6-4.1
15 Alba Berlin2281436%76.982.7-5.8
16 Panathinaikos2071335%80.583.7-3.2
17 Crvena zvezda2271532%74.078.6-4.7
18 Khimki M.222209%79.290.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2018172378
Zalgiris Kaunas2027131979
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