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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-78
29-21 26-14 16-17 18-26
Position#8
Record12-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#7
Record15-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 80
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
76avg 80
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
83-61
83
61
+22
81avg 80
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 80
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
72-91
72
91
-19
63avg 80
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 80
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
no box
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
22-27
19-15
23-14
23-18
17-17
22-25
21-18
17-17
17-23
20-21
23-29
14-18
21-13
23-12
25-18
20-20
18-27
17-13
23-19
20-22
14-26
18-20
20-23
18-21
16-13
27-24
28-27
25-17
22-26
17-20
20-21
12-22
26-15
30-22
21-22
17-29
17-20
21-14
19-22
166.5Avg total
84.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.082.8164.8-0.950%
Season at home (12)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
Season away (12)80.984.7165.6-3.833%
Last 10 (10)84.182.4166.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)85.889.0174.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.289.0177.2-0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.381.5163.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (15)87.580.6168.1+6.973%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 79
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
73avg 79
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
98-87
98
87
+11
89avg 79
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
64-84
64
84
-20
56avg 79
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
W
79-65
79
65
+14
69avg 79
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H14/02
Spanish Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
22-14
18-16
19-17
13-16
16-15
25-20
22-22
18-23
24-32
23-19
26-9
25-27
15-28
19-9
18-23
12-24
22-12
13-23
19-16
25-14
29-17
20-17
14-21
22-19
19-23
21-23
25-16
20-17
11-20
20-32
19-17
23-19
156.4Avg total
79.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.677.2157.8+3.462%
Season at home (12)83.277.0160.2+6.267%
Season away (12)78.177.4155.5+0.758%
Last 10 (10)79.976.5156.4+3.480%
Last 5 (5)77.278.0155.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.0156.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.277.7158.9+3.564%
vs Weaker (15)85.375.5160.8+9.993%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H15/01
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A21/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H24/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H27/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/02
Spanish Cup
78.9Avg total
38.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.381.7+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.539.784.2+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.979.6-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.678.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.279.6-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.842.585.2+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.140.080.1+0.160%-
vs Weaker (15)42.439.481.8+3.047%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A29/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H31/01
ACB
Murcia
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/02
ACB
Baskonia
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/02
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#18
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A07/02
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H11/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H14/02
Spanish Cup
80.2Avg total
41.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.578.0+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.439.281.6+3.253%-
Last 30 away (11)37.134.671.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.580.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.878.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.137.377.4+2.864%-
vs Weaker (15)41.136.577.5+4.667%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.5
57.8%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
38.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.316.5
81.3%
79.3%16.5
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.2
52.6%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.7
37.7%
38.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.813.2
78.6%
79.3%13.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWWLLWLWW
Real Madrid
LWWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#7
+5.6
Net rating
+4.6
116.7
Offensive rating
112.8
111.1
Defensive rating
108.2
58.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.1%
3-point %
37.7%
68.5%
Assist %
57.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 112.8Defence111.1 · 108.2Shooting58.2% · 54.3%3-point %39.1% · 37.7%Ball care18.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21AReal Madrid74-85
06/02/21HReal Betis89-81
04/02/21HCSKA Moscow105-103 OT
31/01/21AUnicaja89-85
29/01/21APanathinaikos72-91
27/01/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-79
24/01/21HBaskonia83-61
21/01/21ALyon-Villeurbanne77-90
17/01/21ASan Pablo Burgos83-78
15/01/21HCrvena zvezda91-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HBarcelona73-88
13/02/21HTenerife85-79
11/02/21HValencia85-74
07/02/21AEstudiantes79-65
05/02/21HBaskonia64-84
02/02/21HMurcia98-87
31/01/21HGran Canaria81-80
29/01/21AAlba Berlin72-63
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game82.083.080.9
Allowed / game82.881.084.7
Point differential-0.9+2.0-3.8
Avg total164.8164.0165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLLWL67%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%67%58%
Points / game80.683.278.1
Allowed / game77.277.077.4
Point differential+3.4+6.2+0.7
Avg total157.8160.2155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2518772%81.473.6+7.9
2 CSKA Moscow2416867%84.079.6+4.4
3 Olimpia Milano2416867%82.077.8+4.3
4 Real Madrid2415962%80.677.2+3.4
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%77.675.0+2.6
6 Bayern25151060%79.478.0+1.4
7 Fenerbahce25151060%79.078.5+0.5
8 Anadolu Efes24141058%79.876.3+3.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas24131154%78.578.0+0.5
10 Valencia24121250%82.082.8-0.9
11 Baskonia25121348%79.877.6+2.2
12 Olympiacos25111444%79.081.0-2.0
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%77.180.0-2.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv23101343%79.279.2+0.0
15 Panathinaikos2391439%80.782.6-1.9
16 Alba Berlin2581732%77.483.3-5.9
17 Crvena zvezda2471729%74.278.6-4.5
18 Khimki M.242228%78.691.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2926161889
Real Madrid2114172678
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