PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zwolle vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 75-78
20-20 16-27 23-21 16-10
Position#15
Record7-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#12
Record9-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 69
A08/12
BNXT League
US Basketball Amsterdam
#13
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Kortrijk
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
58avg 69
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
65-83
65
83
-18
43avg 69
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
98-84
98
84
+14
95avg 69
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
no box
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 69
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
77-104
77
104
-27
62avg 69
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 69
A25/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
14-24
13-21
29-19
20-27
25-20
26-26
23-23
–
–
–
–
21-14
19-28
12-21
19-26
13-22
13-26
21-22
18-13
19-25
23-18
26-22
30-19
16-25
21-20
16-25
16-18
18-10
20-22
5-23
26-20
23-25
22-26
19-25
13-28
15-20
16-21
25-21
29-28
167.2Avg total
80.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.786.9168.6-5.237%
Season at home (10)81.181.8162.9-0.750%
Season away (9)82.392.6174.9-10.222%
Last 10 (10)80.287.0167.2-6.820%
Last 5 (5)79.688.2167.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.884.8158.6-11.16%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.087.5164.5-10.533%
vs Weaker (7)90.178.3168.4+11.986%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
L
66-75
66
75
-9
49avg 69
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
84avg 69
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
116-57
116
57
+59
no box
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 69
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
63avg 69
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
73-69
73
69
+4
66avg 69
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
77avg 69
H18/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-13
16-25
14-20
11-20
21-18
21-22
28-21
8-19
24-23
18-24
19-15
28-14
37-12
23-16
28-15
26-25
18-28
19-20
20-18
18-17
20-21
13-21
15-12
26-19
14-15
17-16
16-19
17-21
21-11
17-24
20-18
17-18
21-17
14-22
17-24
16-21
24-15
17-19
28-15
155.8Avg total
79.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.880.1156.9-3.347%
Season at home (11)74.778.7153.5-4.036%
Season away (8)79.882.0161.8-2.262%
Last 10 (10)79.776.1155.8+3.650%
Last 5 (5)73.673.0146.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.881.3152.2-10.523%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.080.1164.1+3.975%
vs Weaker (7)77.972.1150.0+5.786%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A01/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H15/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#14
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H22/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H27/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/01
DBL Cup
Mechelen
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A25/01
BNXT League
82.3Avg total
37.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.043.181.0-5.121%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.680.2-0.936%-
Last 30 away (15)36.445.481.8-9.07%-
Last 10 (9)37.944.482.3-6.611%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.481.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.642.879.4-6.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.846.081.8-10.20%-
vs Weaker (7)42.941.184.0+1.757%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H29/11
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/12
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/12
BNXT League
Voorburg
#16
W
65-26
65
26
+39
A11/12
DBL Cup
Oostende
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/12
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A26/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A05/01
DBL Cup
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/01
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/01
BNXT League
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.676.3+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.577.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.774.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.073.8+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.140.877.9-3.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.536.878.2+4.875%-
vs Weaker (7)37.133.070.1+4.171%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
52.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.0
33.7%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.2
71.8%
71.9%12.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.4
53.8%
52.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
34.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.78.6
62.8%
71.9%8.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLLLWLLWLL
Leiden
WLWWLLWLWL
#15
League position
#12
-8.8
Net rating
-5.0
107.1
Offensive rating
102.0
116.0
Defensive rating
107.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.7%
3-point %
33.0%
57.8%
Assist %
67.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 102.0Defence116.0 · 107.0Shooting51.9% · 52.0%3-point %33.7% · 33.0%Ball care15.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zwolle wins
8
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
12/03/23Zwolle v Leiden70-72
07/01/23Leiden v Zwolle76-65
30/10/22Zwolle v Leiden84-83
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ABelfius Mons85-90
18/01/25ALeuven Bears77-104
12/01/25HMechelen69-75
04/01/25ADen Bosch69-88
27/12/24HFeyenoord98-84
22/12/24HDonar Groningen65-83
15/12/24HKortrijk71-89
11/12/24AUS Basketball Amsterdam95-70
08/12/24ADen Bosch94-96
01/12/24ADen Helder79-91
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HBelfius Mons85-70
11/01/25AAntwerp Giants69-81
05/01/25AQSTA Utd75-74
26/12/24ADen Bosch73-69
21/12/24HCircus Brussels66-71
14/12/24AOostende83-91
11/12/24AVoorburg116-57
07/12/24HMechelen69-81
01/12/24ALWD Basket95-92 OT
29/11/24HDen Helder66-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game81.781.182.3
Allowed / game86.981.892.6
Point differential-5.2-0.7-10.2
Avg total168.6162.9174.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %47%36%62%
Points / game76.874.779.8
Allowed / game80.178.782.0
Point differential-3.3-4.0-2.2
Avg total156.9153.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2018290%92.375.8+16.6
2 Kortrijk1915479%97.279.0+18.2
3 Mechelen2015575%80.474.2+6.2
4 Limburg1913668%80.374.3+6.0
5 Leuven Bears2012860%80.573.6+6.8
6 Okapi Aalst2012860%83.578.3+5.2
7 Circus Brussels2012860%76.576.2+0.3
8 Antwerp Giants1810856%78.978.3+0.6
9 LWD Basket2011955%81.281.2+0.0
10 Spirou Charleroi1910953%79.474.5+4.8
11 Belfius Mons20101050%80.279.2+1.0
12 Den Bosch20101050%81.280.5+0.8
13 Leiden1991047%76.880.1-3.3
14 Zwolle1971237%81.786.9-5.2
15 Donar Groningen1861233%76.984.6-7.7
16 Den Helder2161529%70.383.7-13.4
17 Feyenoord1951426%80.489.7-9.3
18 BAL Weert1921711%67.984.6-16.6
19 QSTA Utd2021810%77.589.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle2016231675
Leiden2027211078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.