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Zwolle vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.8
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 71
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 71
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 71
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 71
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 71
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 71
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 71
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 71
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-13
22-17
21-24
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
150.3Avg total
72.3Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)72.777.0149.7-4.350%
Season at home (3)69.373.0142.3-3.767%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)72.378.0150.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)73.280.6153.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.288.1164.4-11.929%
vs Similar (7)72.470.9143.3+1.657%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
85-97
85
97
-12
76avg 74
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 74
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 74
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
119avg 74
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
68avg 74
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
61-77
61
77
-16
46avg 74
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 74
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
72avg 74
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
99-79
99
79
+20
no box
A07/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
19-27
23-21
12-18
25-21
25-18
22-18
21-18
21-21
19-18
30-14
30-21
30-25
24-22
31-26
25-29
14-23
18-15
18-21
26-12
16-23
20-16
12-25
13-13
25-26
17-15
24-16
26-20
11-11
14-14
22-17
17-25
17-24
22-19
26-25
18-28
27-21
20-26
21-22
31-10
167.8Avg total
86.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.277.8157.0+1.350%
Season at home (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Season away (3)79.772.3152.0+7.367%
Last 10 (10)86.381.5167.8+4.860%
Last 5 (5)79.879.2159.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.887.8160.5-15.00%
vs Similar (10)85.884.6170.4+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.277.7159.9+4.667%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/05
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
74.6Avg total
36.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.579.7-1.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.841.780.5-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.379.0+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.674.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.642.883.4-2.121%-
vs Similar (7)33.436.069.4-2.629%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H25/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A01/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/05
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H09/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#9
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A24/10
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/11
BNXT League
83.1Avg total
41.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.543.484.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.7-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.683.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.076.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.445.083.4-6.612%-
vs Similar (10)40.842.283.0-1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.440.279.7-0.850%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.3
54.5%
53.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.613.5
76.7%
71.0%13.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWLWLWLLLW
Leiden
WLLWLWWWWL
#10
League position
#8
-3.2
Net rating
+2.4
86.7
Offensive rating
96.4
89.9
Defensive rating
94.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.7%
3-point %
33.0%
59.2%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 96.4Defence89.9 · 94.0Shooting50.8% · 52.5%3-point %32.7% · 33.0%Ball care18.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zwolle wins
8
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Leiden v Zwolle88-92
23/12/25Zwolle v Leiden81-90
15/05/25Zwolle v Leiden81-83
13/05/25Leiden v Zwolle103-71
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69
03/05/26HSpirou Charleroi78-77
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABelfius Mons99-79
31/10/26HDonar Groningen83-96
24/10/26ALeuven Bears64-67
17/10/26HOkapi Aalst92-77
10/10/26HBrussels Basketball61-77
02/10/26ARotterdam76-71
09/05/26HDen Helder110-102
06/05/26ALWD Basket100-74
01/05/26ADen Bosch93-75
25/04/26HOkapi Aalst85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game72.769.376.0
Allowed / game77.073.081.0
Point differential-4.3-3.7-5.0
Avg total149.7142.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.278.779.7
Allowed / game77.883.372.3
Point differential+1.3-4.7+7.3
Avg total157.0162.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants660100%102.880.2+22.7
2 Brussels Basketball65183%83.069.7+13.3
3 Spirou Charleroi64267%79.367.0+12.3
4 Limburg64267%92.084.3+7.7
5 Okapi Aalst64267%90.084.7+5.3
6 Den Bosch64267%80.880.5+0.3
7 Oostende63350%76.074.5+1.5
8 Leiden63350%79.277.8+1.3
9 Leuven Bears63350%70.271.8-1.7
10 Zwolle63350%72.777.0-4.3
11 Donar Groningen63350%81.389.5-8.2
12 Rotterdam62433%75.880.2-4.3
13 Mechelen62433%88.094.8-6.8
14 Kortrijk61517%83.085.7-2.7
15 CB Liege61517%77.591.0-13.5
16 Belfius Mons6060%67.590.5-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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