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Zwolle vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-91 (OT)
15-27 20-16 24-22 21-15 6-11
Position#12
Record12-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game71.3
Zwolle
vs
Liege 🏆
Position#6
Record16-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.4
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zwolle v Liege
01 May 2024
ZWO86
LIE91
15 May 2023
ZWO100
LIE92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
L
69-71
69
71
-2
64avg 70
A17/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
58avg 70
H03/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 70
H07/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 70
A15/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H24/03
DBL Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 70
H31/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
78-99
78
99
-21
71avg 70
A06/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
63-66
63
66
-3
55avg 70
A14/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
81avg 70
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
52avg 70
A26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
11-19
18-15
21-21
8-21
18-24
22-15
16-10
17-17
15-13
21-19
19-20
18-21
13-32
18-25
21-12
23-22
17-12
24-21
18-34
8-23
22-19
24-19
18-17
21-31
18-24
13-25
26-19
15-14
17-13
15-24
16-15
18-20
20-24
16-19
29-25
14-20
9-25
16-9
20-15
150.1Avg total
71.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.971.3146.2+3.650%
Season at home (12)75.270.1145.3+5.258%
Season away (12)74.572.5147.0+2.042%
Last 10 (10)71.278.9150.1-7.710%
Last 5 (5)71.080.0151.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.279.4149.5-9.227%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.470.8140.2-1.430%
vs Weaker (8)83.671.8155.4+11.988%
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
W
90-70
90
70
+20
99avg 77
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
87-96
87
96
-9
83avg 77
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
69avg 77
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 77
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 77
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
79avg 77
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
62avg 77
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 77
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
88-72
88
72
+16
89avg 77
A19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
94-65
94
65
+29
101avg 77
H26/04
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
32-13
25-18
12-21
17-19
26-25
15-26
29-26
17-18
25-18
17-30
25-20
18-24
18-27
22-13
20-20
15-19
23-31
18-24
24-25
23-19
16-33
17-17
23-11
17-22
23-19
23-16
20-16
18-21
28-8
23-18
19-23
22-13
28-18
22-14
16-27
28-10
19-17
30-18
17-20
164.6Avg total
85.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.378.4158.7+2.057%
Season at home (14)81.577.4158.9+4.164%
Season away (14)79.179.3158.4-0.150%
Last 10 (10)85.179.5164.6+5.650%
Last 5 (5)86.472.0158.4+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.987.6171.4-3.744%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.881.4165.2+2.457%
vs Weaker (7)88.074.4162.4+13.671%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
ZwolleLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#15
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/02
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H03/03
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H07/03
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A15/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H24/03
DBL Cup
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H31/03
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A06/04
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#7
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A14/04
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/04
BNXT League
73.1Avg total
32.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.273.1-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.437.674.1-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)35.336.972.2-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)32.141.073.1-8.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.675.0-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.539.473.8-4.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.036.167.1-5.140%-
vs Weaker (8)42.437.880.1+4.675%-
This opponent (Liege) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H15/03
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A20/03
ENBL
BAL Weert
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A23/03
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A30/03
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H05/04
BNXT League
Voluntari
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H09/04
ENBL
Siauliai
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/04
ENBL
Donar Groningen
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/04
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A19/04
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H26/04
BNXT League
82.6Avg total
43.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.283.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.982.3+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.541.684.1+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.282.6+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.443.387.8+1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.940.682.5+1.443%-
vs Weaker (7)43.135.478.6+7.771%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.714.2
43.4%
52.2%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.7
35.8%
33.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.29.9
69.7%
71.4%9.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
33.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
71.4%16.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLLLLLLWLL
Liege
WWWWLLLLLW
#12
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
+6.3
95.6
Offensive rating
108.8
106.4
Defensive rating
102.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.2%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.8%
3-point %
33.6%
66.1%
Assist %
65.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 108.8Defence106.4 · 102.5Shooting48.1% · 51.7%3-point %35.8% · 33.6%Ball care18.6% · 21.2%Off. rebounds24.1% · 36.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Zwolle   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
2
Liege wins
DateGameScore
15/03/24Liege v Zwolle90-70
15/05/23Zwolle v Liege100-92
12/05/23Liege v Zwolle94-79
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24AAntwerp Giants59-69
21/04/24HOostende83-88
14/04/24ASpirou Charleroi63-66
06/04/24AOostende78-99
31/03/24HSpirou Charleroi72-78
24/03/24HDen Bosch82-89
15/03/24ALiege70-90
07/03/24HAntwerp Giants72-69
03/03/24HLimburg64-70
17/02/24ABAL Weert69-71
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HLeiden94-65
19/04/24ADen Bosch88-72
14/04/24HDonar Groningen88-70
10/04/24HSiauliai83-73
09/04/24HVoluntari79-80
05/04/24HDen Bosch80-99
30/03/24ALeiden78-84
23/03/24ABAL Weert84-86
20/03/24AJuventus87-96
15/03/24HZwolle90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game74.975.274.5
Allowed / game71.370.172.5
Point differential+3.6+5.2+2.0
Avg total146.2145.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game80.381.579.1
Allowed / game78.477.479.3
Point differential+2.0+4.1-0.1
Avg total158.7158.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende2826293%83.370.7+12.6
2 Den Bosch2419579%81.372.2+9.1
3 Antwerp Giants2922776%82.971.8+11.1
4 Leiden2416867%75.772.4+3.3
5 Limburg28181064%76.973.3+3.5
6 Spirou Charleroi28171161%74.173.8+0.3
7 Liege28161257%80.378.4+2.0
8 Mechelen30161453%78.476.2+2.2
9 Circus Brussels31161552%78.676.5+2.1
10 Zwolle24121250%74.971.3+3.6
11 Belfius Mons31151648%79.080.3-1.3
12 Leuven Bears30141647%76.976.9-0.0
13 Donar Groningen25111444%73.573.6-0.0
14 BAL Weert2491538%70.277.8-7.6
15 Kortrijk31112035%79.682.1-2.5
16 Okapi Aalst31102132%77.279.4-2.2
17 Feyenoord2681831%74.182.9-8.8
18 LWD Basket2781930%77.283.9-6.7
19 QSTA Utd2671927%72.779.8-7.0
20 Den Helder2752219%66.480.8-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Zwolle15202421686
Liege271622151191
← all games of the day
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