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Zwolle vs Mechelen Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 12:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game91.0
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2026-27
Meetings · Zwolle v Mechelen
18 Apr 2027
ZWO v MECH
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
ZWO72
MECH67
12 Jan 2025
ZWO69
MECH75
14 Apr 2023
ZWO84
MECH81
18 Mar 2022
ZWO56
MECH70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
61-69
61
69
-8
53avg 64
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
70-83
70
83
-13
63avg 64
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 64
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
69avg 64
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
70-98
70
98
-28
no box
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
74-57
74
57
+17
72avg 64
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
50avg 64
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
62avg 64
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H15/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
16-15
10-10
18-24
16-24
15-18
25-25
14-16
33-22
12-21
16-22
17-24
16-11
15-23
16-15
23-10
25-14
13-26
17-31
15-27
24-15
15-15
17-15
18-12
23-19
16-20
14-28
12-22
12-22
18-17
18-26
25-6
18-25
21-23
25-18
20-22
22-22
14-23
25-19
27-20
152.0Avg total
73.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.978.0152.9-3.157%
Season at home (4)74.075.8149.8-1.875%
Season away (3)76.081.0157.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)73.378.7152.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)76.877.8154.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.390.2168.5-11.831%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.169.4141.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (8)87.276.6163.9+10.675%
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMechelen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 72
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
57-56
57
56
+1
49avg 72
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
97-73
97
73
+24
99avg 72
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
109-100
109
100
+9
107avg 72
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
L
79-94
79
94
-15
64avg 72
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
96-78
96
78
+18
84avg 72
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
75-109
75
109
-34
67avg 72
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 72
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A14/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-27
21-14
19-25
10-16
17-17
13-17
17-6
23-7
29-16
23-32
22-18
29-33
23-20
29-27
28-20
21-23
28-19
16-26
14-26
24-21
33-20
19-20
20-17
16-31
19-28
26-26
14-24
20-21
20-27
18-31
28-16
29-15
15-23
14-27
25-28
25-25
23-11
20-12
23-20
170.6Avg total
85.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.491.0179.4-2.643%
Season at home (3)86.088.3174.3-2.333%
Season away (4)90.293.0183.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)85.385.3170.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)86.288.6174.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.384.1159.4-8.940%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.683.0160.6-5.425%
vs Weaker (7)83.976.0159.9+7.971%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
ZwolleMechelen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leuven Bears
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A06/05
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H09/05
BNXT League
Bakken Bears
#28
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/09
Champions League
Den Bosch
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H04/10
BNXT League
Oostende
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A17/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H25/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/11
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
BNXT League
75.6Avg total
36.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.679.9-1.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.641.980.5-3.225%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.179.1+1.036%-
Last 10 (10)36.139.575.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.276.8-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.543.785.2-2.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.135.868.9-2.625%-
vs Weaker (8)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Mechelen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MechelenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#12
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/05
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/05
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H09/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H10/10
BNXT League
CB Liege
#15
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/10
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#1
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A24/10
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H07/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A14/11
BNXT League
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.880.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.278.9-7.513%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.844.489.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.142.679.7-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.641.979.5-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)46.435.982.3+10.671%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
53.2%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.6
69.5%
71.0%11.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
53.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
71.0%13.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
WLWLWLWLLL
Mechelen
WLLLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#11
-3.2
Net rating
-5.6
86.7
Offensive rating
91.3
89.9
Defensive rating
96.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.7%
3-point %
35.7%
59.2%
Assist %
59.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 91.3Defence89.9 · 96.9Shooting50.8% · 51.8%3-point %32.7% · 35.7%Ball care18.3% · 16.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zwolle   ■ Mechelen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zwolle wins
6
Mechelen wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Zwolle v Mechelen72-67
11/10/25Mechelen v Zwolle70-66
12/01/25Zwolle v Mechelen69-75
05/10/24Mechelen v Zwolle92-69
14/04/23Zwolle v Mechelen84-81
25/03/23Mechelen v Zwolle101-62
23/04/22Mechelen v Zwolle92-84
18/03/22Zwolle v Mechelen56-70
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLimburg88-84
06/11/26ACB Liege84-88
01/11/26HKortrijk73-71
25/10/26HBrussels Basketball65-89
17/10/26ABelfius Mons74-57
10/10/26AOostende70-98
04/10/26HDen Bosch70-59
16/09/26ABakken Bears78-89
09/05/26HKortrijk70-83
06/05/26ALeuven Bears61-69
Mechelenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALeuven Bears91-68
07/11/26HKortrijk83-93
30/10/26ADen Bosch86-95
24/10/26AAntwerp Giants75-109
17/10/26HCB Liege96-78
10/10/26HOkapi Aalst79-94
02/10/26ALimburg109-100
09/05/26HRotterdam97-73
06/05/26ABrussels Basketball57-56
02/05/26HDen Helder80-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game74.974.076.0
Allowed / game78.075.881.0
Point differential-3.1-1.8-5.0
Avg total152.9149.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen
BNXT League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game88.486.090.2
Allowed / game91.088.393.0
Point differential-2.6-2.3-2.8
Avg total179.4174.3183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants770100%99.378.0+21.3
2 Spirou Charleroi75271%79.068.0+11.0
3 Brussels Basketball75271%80.470.9+9.6
4 Okapi Aalst75271%91.786.9+4.9
5 Limburg74357%90.984.9+6.0
6 Oostende74357%76.973.1+3.7
7 Den Bosch74357%83.683.6+0.0
8 Zwolle74357%74.978.0-3.1
9 Donar Groningen74357%81.686.7-5.1
10 Leiden73443%77.178.4-1.3
11 Mechelen73443%88.491.0-2.6
12 Leuven Bears73443%69.974.6-4.7
13 Kortrijk72529%83.082.4+0.6
14 Rotterdam72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 CB Liege71614%77.089.0-12.0
16 Belfius Mons7070%66.989.4-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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