Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 104-95

23-20 23-19 20-31 38-25

Position#1

Record2-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game70.5

Svendborg 🏆

Aalborg

Position#5

Record2-0

FormWLWWL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game64.0

Denmark CupDenmark Cup - Semi-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Svendborg v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

77-71

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

90-77

+13

H16/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

80-60

+20

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

79-73

H25/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

89-65

+24

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

102-60

102

+42

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

99-68

+31

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

79-78

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

95-88

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

72-79

-7

A11/12

Basketligaen

18-11

29-23

15-17

15-20

28-15

19-22

16-16

27-24

13-17

28-20

27-8

12-15

15-17

25-24

21-21

18-11

22-19

17-16

35-14

15-16

27-22

29-12

24-10

22-16

31-26

25-8

27-13

16-21

25-22

26-13

11-27

17-16

28-27

28-22

23-26

16-13

20-16

14-16

17-23

21-24

158.1Avg total

86.2Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.0	70.5	159.5	+18.5	100%
Season at home (2)	89.0	70.5	159.5	+18.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	86.2	71.9	158.1	+14.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	74.6	164.0	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	99.0	176.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	83.6	79.4	163.0	+4.1	56%
vs Weaker (19)	86.6	76.7	163.3	+9.8	79%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BMI

#12

87-58

+29

A21/10

Denmark Cup

Vaerlose

#10

67-66

H24/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

77-84

-7

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

63-94

-31

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-76

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

81-70

+11

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

87-90

-3

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

83-79

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

102-93

102

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

89-100

100

-11

A10/12

Basketligaen

–

25-17

12-7

15-26

15-16

13-19

26-15

21-21

17-29

20-22

15-28

14-30

14-14

21-16

16-23

23-17

22-20

25-18

16-15

18-21

22-16

20-33

25-9

16-27

26-21

16-20

20-17

23-23

24-19

30-31

23-22

24-17

25-23

24-23

14-25

30-24

21-28

162.8Avg total

81.8Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	84.0	64.0	148.0	+20.0	100%
Season at home (1)	81.0	70.0	151.0	+11.0	100%
Season away (1)	87.0	58.0	145.0	+29.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	81.0	162.8	+0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	86.4	174.8	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	74.2	86.0	160.2	-11.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.0	85.3	169.3	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker (2)	75.0	72.5	147.5	+2.5	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SvendborgAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.9	21.7	42.7	-0.8	39%	-
Last 30 away (12)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.2	41.9	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	22.6	48.8	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	21.6	39.9	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.9	22.2	41.1	-3.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	22.6	44.1	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	23.1	19.9	43.1	+3.2	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	14.2	38.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	24.0	54.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.6	17.9	39.5	+3.7	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	19.6	38.7	-0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	17.9	36.4	+0.7	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.1	21.0	40.0	-1.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	17.9	37.7	+2.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	100%	-

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sisu

47-34

+13

A13/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

47-37

+10

H16/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

41-37

H19/10

Basketligaen

Horsholm

40-41

-1

H25/10

Denmark Cup

Randers

39-35

A30/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-34

+22

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

56-34

+22

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

51-35

+16

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-49

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

34-32

A11/12

Basketligaen

83.5Avg total

46.7Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	40.1	84.0	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	44.1	41.7	85.7	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.5	37.8	81.3	+5.7	92%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	36.8	83.5	+9.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.6	36.8	87.4	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.2	42.4	84.7	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (19)	44.6	38.9	83.5	+5.7	84%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

37-24

+13

H24/10

Basketligaen

Sisu

39-34

H26/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

35-50

-15

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

37-39

-2

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-33

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

45-42

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

36-37

-1

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

53-53

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-48

-10

A10/12

Basketligaen

80.1Avg total

40.1Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.7	41.7	80.3	-3.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	42.6	79.6	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.1	40.0	80.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.6	85.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.0	43.2	81.2	-5.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.4	40.4	81.9	+1.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	30.5	67.0	+6.0	50%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	18.9	40.2	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.4	18.2	39.7	+3.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.9	16.9	38.8	+5.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.5	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.7	41.9	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.9	23.0	43.9	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	34.0	53.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.9	38.0	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	16.9	20.9	37.9	-4.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.7	21.9	43.6	-0.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	37.8	78.5	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.1	39.2	80.3	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.1	35.7	75.8	+4.4	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	35.1	74.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	37.8	76.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	57.0	86.0	-28.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.4	36.2	75.7	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	42.0	37.8	79.8	+4.2	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.2	42.9	80.1	-5.6	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	42.1	80.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.2	43.6	79.9	-7.4	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.1	43.6	84.7	-2.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	43.8	89.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	35.2	42.2	77.5	-7.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.6	44.9	87.4	-2.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Svendborg wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
28/09/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	70-94
30/01/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	71-82
10/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	93-84
05/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	94-68
06/10/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	102-81
01/03/12	Aalborg v Svendborg	91-83
12/11/11	Aalborg v Svendborg	83-91
28/09/11	Svendborg v Aalborg	86-66
19/01/11	Svendborg v Aalborg	87-75
13/11/10	Svendborg v Aalborg	102-81

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/13	A	Horsholm	72-79
30/11/13	H	Vaerlose	95-88
21/11/13	H	Horsens	79-78
13/11/13	H	Stevnsgade	99-68
07/11/13	A	Vaerlose	102-60
30/10/13	A	Randers	89-65
25/10/13	H	Horsholm	79-73
19/10/13	H	Horsholm	80-60
16/10/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	90-77
13/10/13	A	Sisu	77-71

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/13	A	Sisu	89-100
05/12/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	102-93
24/11/13	A	Vaerlose	83-79
20/11/13	H	Horsholm	87-90
11/11/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	81-70
07/11/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-76
31/10/13	A	Bakken Bears	63-94
26/10/13	H	Sisu	77-84
24/10/13	H	Vaerlose	67-66
21/10/13	A	BMI	87-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg

Denmark Cup 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	2	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	89.0	89.0	-
Allowed / game	70.5	70.5	-
Point differential	+18.5	+18.5	-
Avg total	159.5	159.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Aalborg

Denmark Cup 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	84.0	81.0	87.0
Allowed / game	64.0	70.0	58.0
Point differential	+20.0	+11.0	+29.0
Avg total	148.0	151.0	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	2	2	0	100%	111.5	72.0	+39.5
2	Sisu	2	2	0	100%	96.5	58.5	+38.0
3	Aalborg	2	2	0	100%	84.0	64.0	+20.0
4	Svendborg	2	2	0	100%	89.0	70.5	+18.5
5	Haderslev	1	1	0	100%	80.0	77.0	+3.0
6	Herlev Wolfpack	2	1	1	50%	76.0	67.0	+9.0
7	Stevnsgade	2	1	1	50%	76.0	76.5	-0.5
8	Virum	2	1	1	50%	81.0	81.5	-0.5
9	Horsholm	1	0	1	0%	73.0	79.0	-6.0
10	Vaerlose	1	0	1	0%	70.0	85.0	-15.0
11	Aarhus	1	0	1	0%	53.0	82.0	-29.0
12	BMI	1	0	1	0%	58.0	87.0	-29.0
13	Odense	1	0	1	0%	50.0	79.0	-29.0
14	Afdeling	1	0	1	0%	54.0	84.0	-30.0
15	Holstebro	2	0	2	0%	62.0	94.0	-32.0
16	Team FOG Naestved	1	0	1	0%	61.0	110.0	-49.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Svendborg	23	23	20	38	104
Aalborg	20	19	31	25	95

← all games of the day

Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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