Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 99-110

17-25 34-35 26-26 22-24

Position#3

Record12-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game75.5

Svendborg

Aalborg 🏆

Position#9

Record5-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.1

Allowed / game89.1

BasketligaenRound 17

Other2013-14

Meetings · Svendborg v Aalborg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Svendborg winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aalborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Svendborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

102-60

102

+42

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

99-68

+31

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

79-78

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

95-88

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

72-79

-7

A11/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

104-95

104

H15/12

Denmark Cup

Randers

88-78

+10

H19/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

78-75

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

77-89

-12

A09/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

92-65

+27

H11/01

Basketligaen

27-22

29-12

24-10

22-16

31-26

25-8

27-13

16-21

25-22

26-13

11-27

17-16

28-27

28-22

23-26

16-13

20-16

14-16

17-23

21-24

23-20

23-19

20-31

38-25

25-21

23-22

14-18

26-17

28-21

23-18

15-20

12-16

12-18

24-16

20-27

21-28

14-16

29-15

21-16

28-18

166.1Avg total

88.6Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	84.9	75.5	160.4	+9.3	80%
Season at home (9)	84.7	77.7	162.3	+7.0	89%
Season away (6)	85.2	72.3	157.5	+12.8	67%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	77.5	166.1	+11.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	80.4	168.2	+7.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	77.0	99.0	176.0	-22.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	84.9	79.8	164.7	+5.1	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.1	76.2	162.3	+9.9	83%

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aalborg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

63-94

-31

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

82-76

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

81-70

+11

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

87-90

-3

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

83-79

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

102-93

102

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

89-100

100

-11

A10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

95-104

104

-9

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

104-101 OT

104

101

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

86-103

103

-17

H12/01

Basketligaen

20-22

15-28

14-30

14-14

21-16

16-23

23-17

22-20

25-18

16-15

18-21

22-16

20-33

25-9

16-27

26-21

16-20

20-17

23-23

24-19

30-31

23-22

24-17

25-23

24-23

14-25

30-24

21-28

20-23

19-23

31-20

25-38

20-26

24-19

28-24

22-25

17-18

33-20

8-29

28-36

178.2Avg total

87.2Scored

91.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.1	89.1	170.1	-8.0	36%
Season at home (8)	83.0	89.4	172.4	-6.4	38%
Season away (6)	78.5	88.7	167.2	-10.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	91.0	178.2	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	100.2	195.4	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	74.9	86.2	161.1	-11.3	22%
vs Similar (9)	87.4	89.1	176.6	-1.7	44%
vs Weaker (2)	75.0	72.5	147.5	+2.5	100%

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SvendborgAalborg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.3	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.9	42.5	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.2	46.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	22%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.7	41.6	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	24.2	19.4	43.6	+4.7	74%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	17.5	38.1	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	16.1	40.5	+8.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.0	42.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	24.0	54.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	16.9	39.8	+5.9	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	21.7	39.7	-3.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.4	21.1	40.6	-1.7	39%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	12.0	28.0	+4.0	100%	-

SvendborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vaerlose

#10

56-34

+22

A07/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

56-34

+22

H13/11

Denmark Cup

Horsens

51-35

+16

H21/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

56-49

H30/11

Basketligaen

Horsholm

34-32

A11/12

Basketligaen

Aalborg

46-39

H15/12

Denmark Cup

Randers

48-43

H19/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

51-39

+12

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

36-34

A09/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

43-31

+12

H11/01

Basketligaen

84.7Avg total

47.7Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	38.8	82.9	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.4	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.9	36.3	79.2	+6.6	100%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.7	37.0	84.7	+10.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	37.2	82.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	42.0	90.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.0	41.8	83.8	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.2	36.9	82.1	+8.3	94%	-

This opponent (Aalborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AalborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

35-50

-15

A31/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

37-39

-2

A07/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-33

H11/11

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

45-42

H20/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

#10

36-37

-1

A24/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

53-53

H05/12

Basketligaen

Sisu

38-48

-10

A10/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

39-46

-7

A15/12

Denmark Cup

Horsholm

44-45

-1

H04/01

Basketligaen

Horsens

50-38

+12

H12/01

Basketligaen

84.9Avg total

41.8Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.1	41.4	80.5	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.1	84.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	46.0	90.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.2	42.5	80.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	41.6	83.0	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	30.5	67.0	+6.0	50%	-

This opponent (Svendborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	19.8	19.6	39.5	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	23.0	33.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	20.1	40.6	+0.5	39%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.4	34%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.2	44.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	28%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	22.8	45.6	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	21.0	19.8	40.8	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.8	45.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	34.0	53.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	22.2	42.3	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	22.4	40.5	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	24.0	46.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	30.0	54.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	39.0	79.5	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.4	68%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.1	38.1	78.2	+2.0	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.5	81.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.2	86.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	57.0	86.0	-28.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.2	37.3	78.5	+3.9	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.7	44.1	82.8	-5.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	43.8	82.1	-5.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	44.5	83.7	-5.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	47.2	91.6	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	52.8	101.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.6	43.1	78.7	-7.4	17%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.9	46.8	91.7	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Svendborg wins

Aalborg wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/13	Svendborg v Aalborg	104-95
28/09/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	70-94
30/01/13	Aalborg v Svendborg	71-82
10/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	93-84
05/11/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	94-68
06/10/12	Svendborg v Aalborg	102-81
01/03/12	Aalborg v Svendborg	91-83
12/11/11	Aalborg v Svendborg	83-91
28/09/11	Svendborg v Aalborg	86-66
19/01/11	Svendborg v Aalborg	87-75

Svendborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/14	H	Herlev Wolfpack	92-65
09/01/14	A	Horsens	77-89
04/01/14	H	Sisu	78-75
19/12/13	H	Randers	88-78
15/12/13	H	Aalborg	104-95
11/12/13	A	Horsholm	72-79
30/11/13	H	Vaerlose	95-88
21/11/13	H	Horsens	79-78
13/11/13	H	Stevnsgade	99-68
07/11/13	A	Vaerlose	102-60

Aalborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/14	H	Horsens	86-103
04/01/14	H	Horsholm	104-101 OT
15/12/13	A	Svendborg	95-104
10/12/13	A	Sisu	89-100
05/12/13	H	Team FOG Naestved	102-93
24/11/13	A	Vaerlose	83-79
20/11/13	H	Horsholm	87-90
11/11/13	H	Herlev Wolfpack	81-70
07/11/13	A	Herlev Wolfpack	82-76
31/10/13	A	Bakken Bears	63-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Svendborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	80%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWWLL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	9	6
Win %	80%	89%	67%
Points / game	84.9	84.7	85.2
Allowed / game	75.5	77.7	72.3
Point differential	+9.3	+7.0	+12.8
Avg total	160.4	162.3	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	44%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aalborg

Basketligaen 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	36%
Home	LLWWL	38%
Away	LLWWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	36%	38%	33%
Points / game	81.1	83.0	78.5
Allowed / game	89.1	89.4	88.7
Point differential	-8.0	-6.4	-10.2
Avg total	170.1	172.4	167.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	67% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	12	10	2	83%	91.0	72.2	+18.8
2	Svendborg	15	12	3	80%	84.9	75.5	+9.3
3	Randers	16	12	4	75%	89.6	82.5	+7.1
4	Horsens	15	8	7	53%	78.2	74.5	+3.7
5	Sisu	15	7	8	47%	84.2	84.7	-0.5
6	Horsholm	15	7	8	47%	80.3	81.5	-1.1
7	Aalborg	14	5	9	36%	81.1	89.1	-8.0
8	Team FOG Naestved	15	5	10	33%	76.9	83.5	-6.7
9	Herlev Wolfpack	15	4	11	27%	74.2	79.5	-5.3
10	Vaerlose	16	4	12	25%	75.3	89.0	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Svendborg	17	34	26	22	99
Aalborg	25	35	26	24	110

← all games of the day

Svendborg vs Aalborg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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