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Academica vs Braga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 51-61
12-20 14-13 10-17 15-11
Position#14
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Braga 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.9
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Multidesportos Dr. Mário Mexia
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Academica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AcademicaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAcademica
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
53avg 53
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
100-84
100
84
+16
95avg 53
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
65-92
65
92
-27
45avg 53
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
48-59
48
59
-11
32avg 53
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 53
A18/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
55-86
55
86
-31
47avg 53
H25/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
44avg 53
A01/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
61avg 53
A07/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
61-87
61
87
-26
43avg 53
H16/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
24-20
18-21
15-27
21-15
11-18
19-24
13-11
26-20
30-30
27-15
17-19
8-29
22-12
23-27
12-24
6-14
19-12
15-18
8-15
27-20
19-20
15-21
12-16
13-18
14-19
17-23
11-26
16-18
13-19
13-25
18-21
12-23
19-13
13-16
25-23
14-20
15-17
15-26
17-24
146.4Avg total
66.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)66.179.0145.1-12.911%
Season at home (4)57.075.0132.0-18.00%
Season away (5)73.482.2155.6-8.820%
Last 10 (10)66.779.7146.4-13.010%
Last 5 (5)63.681.6145.2-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.380.2146.6-13.90%
vs Similar (8)72.273.5145.8-1.238%
vs Weaker (13)82.575.2157.7+7.477%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-56
67
56
+11
66avg 72
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
67avg 72
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
92-65
92
65
+27
83avg 72
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
95-86
95
86
+9
88avg 72
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 72
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
93avg 72
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
63-74
63
74
-11
55avg 72
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
55avg 72
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 72
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
72avg 72
H16/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
7-10
26-18
19-16
14-17
25-19
20-16
21-30
29-8
12-22
27-23
24-12
25-26
20-25
28-19
22-16
26-14
21-20
24-26
19-27
24-26
25-24
25-13
23-21
15-20
21-16
19-20
8-18
16-16
19-21
10-15
22-11
15-32
15-16
16-16
26-22
10-38
20-16
21-18
30-14
157.3Avg total
80.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.375.9157.2+5.467%
Season at home (5)86.475.4161.8+11.080%
Season away (4)75.076.5151.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)80.476.9157.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)76.078.6154.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.079.8166.8+7.250%
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
AcademicaBraga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AcademicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A08/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H14/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A21/10
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H04/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H25/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/12
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H16/12
Proliga
71.9Avg total
34.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.376.0+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.935.171.1+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)41.239.180.3+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)34.437.571.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (8)37.437.274.6+0.138%-
vs Weaker (13)42.637.580.1+5.277%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#6
D
22-22
22
22
+0
H14/10
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/10
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/11
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A18/11
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Proliga
FC Porto
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Maia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
H16/12
Proliga
77.2Avg total
37.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)36.441.177.5-4.727%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.543.579.0-8.017%-
Last 30 away (5)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.877.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)37.835.873.6+2.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)38.842.881.5-4.050%-
This opponent (Academica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Academicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academica: 65.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.717.3
42.6%
50.4%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.7
31.7%
31.2%20.0
🏀 Free throws17.210.6
61.3%
69.3%10.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.2
48.2%
50.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.7
34.6%
31.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.411.9
64.7%
69.3%11.9
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Academica
LLLLLLLWLL
Braga
LLWLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#8
-17.5
Net rating
+4.2
87.2
Offensive rating
101.5
104.8
Defensive rating
97.3
44.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
20.2%
Turnover %
20.6%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
34.6%
45.4%
Assist %
50.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence87.2 · 101.5Defence104.8 · 97.3Shooting44.3% · 49.8%3-point %31.7% · 34.6%Ball care20.2% · 20.6%Off. rebounds24.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Academica   ■ Braga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Academica wins
1
Braga wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Braga v Academica92-65
Academicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HSampaense61-87
07/12/23AMaia69-75
01/12/23ASangalhos60-83
25/11/23HIlliabum55-86
18/11/23AVasco Da Gama73-77
04/11/23HGalitos Aveiro48-59
28/10/23ABraga65-92
21/10/23ASampaense100-84
14/10/23HMaia64-68
08/04/23ABenfica Lisboa B72-86
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HMaia81-86
10/12/23AFC Porto72-86
08/12/23ASangalhos67-63
03/12/23AIlliabum63-74
25/11/23HVasco Da Gama97-84
18/11/23AGalitos Aveiro90-87
04/11/23HSampaense95-86
28/10/23HAcademica92-65
21/10/23AMaia80-82
14/10/23HSangalhos67-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Academica
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%0%20%
Points / game66.157.073.4
Allowed / game79.075.082.2
Point differential-12.9-18.0-8.8
Avg total145.1132.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Braga
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game81.386.475.0
Allowed / game75.975.476.5
Point differential+5.4+11.0-1.5
Avg total157.2161.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz990100%87.375.3+12.0
2 Maia109190%79.174.3+4.8
3 Illiabum108280%81.169.9+11.2
4 Galitos Barreiro107370%79.476.9+2.5
5 Braga96367%81.375.9+5.4
6 Barreirense96367%78.176.2+1.9
7 Vasco Da Gama106460%86.183.0+3.1
8 CAB Madeira95456%83.278.6+4.7
9 Sangalhos105550%75.772.8+2.9
10 Santo Andre104640%82.984.3-1.4
11 Galitos Aveiro103730%74.477.7-3.3
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%72.479.2-6.8
13 Ginasio Olhanense92722%76.981.8-4.9
14 Imortal B102820%70.777.3-6.6
15 Academica91811%66.179.0-12.9
16 Sampaense101910%76.788.7-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Academica1214101551
Braga2013171161
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