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ACD Ferragudo W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 54-61
18-13 16-18 9-19 11-11
Position#12
Record3-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game62.3
Allowed / game71.8
ACD Ferragudo W
Portugal
vs
Natacao W 🏆
Portugal
Position#8
Record6-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game69.7
PortugalLFB WomenRound 16· Nave Desportiva de Ferragudo
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ACD Ferragudo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ACD Ferragudo WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
65avg 51
A04/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
41-68
41
68
-27
25avg 51
H19/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
51-87
51
87
-36
40avg 51
A26/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
47avg 51
A03/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
52-66
52
66
-14
42avg 51
H08/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
42-63
42
63
-21
23avg 51
H10/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
55-56
55
56
-1
48avg 51
H21/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 51
A05/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
69avg 51
A07/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 51
A03/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
16-19
19-15
16-15
10-17
12-18
9-21
10-12
8-30
11-18
14-24
18-15
22-25
17-18
22-11
14-24
13-17
17-14
11-14
11-21
12-18
7-15
13-16
10-14
16-12
15-19
10-15
14-10
31-29
18-19
10-22
24-18
27-22
15-21
22-15
19-21
17-19
9-14
23-28
25-22
136.4Avg total
62.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)62.371.8134.1-9.419%
Season at home (7)55.768.6124.3-12.90%
Season away (9)67.474.2141.7-6.833%
Last 10 (10)62.973.5136.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)67.473.8141.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)59.971.1131.0-11.28%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.573.8143.2-4.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 49
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 49
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 49
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 49
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 49
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 49
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 49
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 49
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
26avg 49
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
46-64
46
64
-18
30avg 49
H08/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
12-18
8-10
9-22
12-14
5-10
12-16
8-23
21-15
128.5Avg total
58.9Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)60.769.7130.4-9.038%
Season at home (9)59.367.8127.1-8.433%
Season away (7)62.472.1134.6-9.743%
Last 10 (10)58.969.6128.5-10.730%
Last 5 (5)51.666.6118.2-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)59.970.0129.8-10.130%
vs Similar ◀ (8)64.567.9132.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -9.1-9.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -9.1-9.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
ACD Ferragudo WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ACD Ferragudo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H19/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
19-48
19
48
-29
A26/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H10/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/12
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A05/01
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A03/02
LFB Women
69.7Avg total
31.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)31.237.168.4-5.925%-
Last 30 at home (7)28.135.463.6-7.314%-
Last 30 away (9)33.738.472.1-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.538.269.7-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.671.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.436.266.6-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)33.840.073.8-6.20%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
20-28
20
28
-8
H03/02
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H08/02
LFB Women
64.2Avg total
31.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.733.363.9-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.131.361.3-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)31.335.366.5-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.764.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)24.629.654.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)29.534.063.5-4.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.833.567.2+0.238%-
vs Weaker (1)26.020.046.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ACD Ferragudo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ACD Ferragudo W: 61.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.916.0
39.1%
43.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.85.4
27.3%
28.2%16.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
72.6%13.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.712.8
36.9%
43.3%25.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.5
27.8%
28.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws13.810.0
72.5%
72.6%10.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ACD Ferragudo W
LWLLLLLLLW
Natacao W
LLWLLLLWWL
#12
League position
#8
-14.4
Net rating
-14.4
80.6
Offensive rating
81.3
95.0
Defensive rating
95.8
39.7%
Effective FG%
39.0%
44.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
26.7%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.3%
3-point %
27.8%
55.1%
Assist %
59.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence80.6 · 81.3Defence95.0 · 95.8Shooting39.7% · 39.0%3-point %27.3% · 27.8%Ball care26.7% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.9% · 25.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ ACD Ferragudo W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
ACD Ferragudo W wins
0
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Natacao W v ACD Ferragudo W63-68
ACD Ferragudo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24ABarcelos W74-83
07/01/24ACDEFF W83-79
05/01/24ACAB Madeira W83-88
21/12/23HImortal W55-56
10/12/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W42-63
08/12/23HBenfica W52-66
03/12/23AGalitos W75-78
26/11/23AUniao Sportiva W51-87
19/11/23HGdessa Barreiro W41-68
04/11/23AEsgueira W73-67
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HEsgueira W46-64
03/02/24HBenfica W41-64
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ACD Ferragudo W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %19%0%33%
Points / game62.355.767.4
Allowed / game71.868.674.2
Point differential-9.4-12.9-6.8
Avg total134.1124.3141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game60.759.362.4
Allowed / game69.767.872.1
Point differential-9.0-8.4-9.7
Avg total130.4127.1134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1715288%71.657.3+14.3
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1714382%67.156.9+10.2
3 Esgueira W1712571%69.561.9+7.6
4 Benfica W1711665%67.462.9+4.5
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W179853%64.960.2+4.7
6 Imortal W179853%64.963.4+1.5
7 Barcelos W1771041%70.473.9-3.5
8 CAB Madeira W1771041%62.668.1-5.5
9 Natacao W1661038%60.769.7-9.0
10 CDEFF W1741324%63.971.2-7.3
11 Galitos W1741324%57.166.2-9.2
12 ACD Ferragudo W1631319%62.371.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ACD Ferragudo W181691154
Natacao W1318191161
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