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Adelaide Lightning W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 85-73 (OT)
14-16 21-18 24-15 11-21 15-3
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBL W
Women2020-21
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra Capitals W
20 Jan 2026
ADEL61
CANB67
01 Nov 2025
ADEL73
CANB65
03 Jan 2025
ADEL77
CANB88
15 Dec 2024
ADEL68
CANB67
28 Jan 2024
ADEL84
CANB67
30 Nov 2022
ADEL90
CANB80
17 Mar 2022
ADEL81
CANB50
30 Jan 2022
ADEL67
CANB80
11 Nov 2020
ADEL85
CANB73
27 Dec 2019
ADEL78
CANB68
13 Feb 2019
ADEL74
CANB73
14 Dec 2018
ADEL93
CANB73
02 Dec 2018
ADEL91
CANB83
25 Oct 2017
ADEL80
CANB77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A29/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
87-61
87
61
+26
A03/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
104-93
104
93
+11
H05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H17/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A25/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#2
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A01/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H22/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-22
17-10
21-22
33-16
14-14
21-6
19-25
25-26
35-22
26-27
18-18
18-18
17-26
13-16
21-14
22-22
18-11
21-14
16-13
16-31
19-21
17-15
17-14
21-18
20-21
16-18
18-17
21-19
15-18
16-17
19-19
25-17
14-17
7-22
19-12
26-27
17-24
20-15
16-16
151.4Avg total
77.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.673.8151.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)71.875.6147.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.277.5143.7-11.317%
vs Similar (11)81.281.5162.6-0.336%
vs Weaker (13)81.873.1154.9+8.885%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
H17/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
98-74
98
74
+24
A19/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H22/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H26/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H01/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H16/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A23/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H26/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A01/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H04/03
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-20
12-16
15-16
30-20
28-20
21-14
19-20
27-17
25-29
25-14
12-15
19-22
21-12
19-13
23-19
19-21
18-15
17-16
19-19
23-22
16-17
18-16
27-15
18-23
16-26
16-15
26-24
22-16
15-12
22-22
18-14
22-20
21-27
20-22
19-11
16-24
19-21
21-9
15-14
153.9Avg total
80.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.873.1153.9+7.790%
Last 5 (5)78.074.0152.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)78.776.9155.6+1.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.673.3155.9+9.375%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Adelaide Lightning WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney W
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A03/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H05/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#7
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H17/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H30/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A01/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H22/02
NBL W
82.6Avg total
41.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.682.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.279.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.841.877.7-6.017%-
vs Similar (11)43.443.787.1-0.436%-
vs Weaker (13)43.837.481.2+6.485%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/01
NBL W
Southside W
#1
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A19/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H22/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H26/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A23/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H26/02
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/03
NBL W
Southside W
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H04/03
NBL W
81.2Avg total
41.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.382.2+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.139.581.6+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.841.182.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.881.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.679.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)40.240.380.5-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.440.283.7+3.269%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/20HSouthside W79-82
18/02/20ASouthside W65-68
01/02/20ACanberra Capitals W71-73
30/01/20HPerth Lynx W75-74
25/01/20ASouthside W69-81
17/01/20HTownsville W77-60
10/01/20HGeelong United W69-74
05/01/20HSouthside W104-93
03/01/20ATownsville W87-61
29/12/19ASydney W80-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/20HSouthside W71-68
01/03/20ASouthside W82-80
26/02/20HGeelong United W77-64
23/02/20AGeelong United W76-88
16/02/20HGeelong United W84-70
01/02/20HAdelaide Lightning W73-71
26/01/20HSydney W82-66
22/01/20HPerth Lynx W89-75
19/01/20ASouthside W98-74
17/01/20HGeelong United W76-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Adelaide Lightning W142124111585
Canberra Capitals W16181521373
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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