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AEK Athens vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-72
9-20 15-20 26-16 30-16
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#38
Record2-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6
European cup2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 72
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
59avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
58avg 72
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
57avg 72
A11/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-22
18-27
26-16
16-12
20-11
10-29
20-21
18-25
18-22
16-16
11-13
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
17-25
12-13
19-18
9-15
145.2Avg total
72.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.675.2150.8+0.440%
Season at home (2)67.066.0133.0+1.050%
Season away (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)72.672.6145.2+0.050%
Last 5 (5)67.470.6138.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.176.8146.9-6.730%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.079.4157.4-1.450%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
H21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Reggiana
#36
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 73
H25/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
L
88-100
88
100
-12
no box
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Reggiana
#36
L
70-74
70
74
-4
61avg 73
A22/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
112-111 OT
112
111
+1
no box
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 73
H07/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
15-20
21-21
23-21
26-24
20-18
17-11
20-23
26-18
23-31
17-34
22-17
20-16
24-27
19-23
20-26
13-19
20-16
20-22
17-17
22-11
28-25
22-15
20-25
30-27
16-15
23-29
21-19
21-19
12-24
18-26
29-20
25-17
24-18
20-25
27-15
23-16
27-15
11-18
26-22
171.0Avg total
86.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.082.0161.0-3.040%
Season at home (3)84.784.3169.0+0.367%
Season away (2)70.578.5149.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)86.384.7171.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)93.484.4177.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.987.7167.6-7.830%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.478.5156.8-0.155%
vs Weaker (8)86.076.0162.0+10.075%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
AEK AthensKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/12
Basket League
72.1Avg total
36.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.474.3+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.174.6+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.873.9-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.672.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.636.068.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.136.370.4-2.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.638.076.6+0.643%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Reggiana
#36
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/10
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#3
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A31/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Reggiana
#36
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
Champions League
Merkezefendi
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bonn
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H07/12
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#12
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.5Avg total
42.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.981.4+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.839.881.5+2.058%-
Last 30 away (18)41.340.181.4+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.782.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.483.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.743.484.1-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.537.476.9+2.255%-
vs Weaker (8)46.837.183.9+9.688%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
51.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.0
30.4%
35.2%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
74.3%13.8
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.9
52.5%
51.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
35.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
74.3%12.5
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWLLWWLLW
Karsiyaka
WWLWWLLLWL
#11
League position
#38
+0.3
Net rating
-10.7
100.7
Offensive rating
107.3
100.4
Defensive rating
117.9
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
33.3%
75.8%
Assist %
63.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 107.3Defence100.4 · 117.9Shooting51.8% · 51.4%3-point %30.4% · 33.3%Ball care20.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
1
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
04/10/22Karsiyaka v AEK Athens91-88
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22APanathinaikos57-71
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67
29/10/22HAris63-76
25/10/22HBonn66-73
23/10/22APeristeri84-80
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22ADarussafaka87-71
10/12/22HPetkim Spor96-75
07/12/22HBonn80-89
04/12/22AAnadolu Efes112-111 OT
26/11/22HMerkezefendi92-76
22/11/22AReggiana70-74
19/11/22ATurk Telekom83-92
31/10/22AFenerbahce88-100
25/10/22HReggiana83-76
21/10/22HTofas72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game75.667.081.3
Allowed / game75.266.081.3
Point differential+0.4+1.0+0.0
Avg total150.8133.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game79.084.770.5
Allowed / game82.084.378.5
Point differential-3.0+0.3-8.0
Avg total161.0169.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
3 Tenerife54180%86.868.4+18.4
4 Bilbao54180%81.268.8+12.4
5 Bonn54180%81.875.4+6.4
6 Benfica97278%80.275.2+5.0
7 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
8 Ludwigsburg64267%84.574.8+9.7
9 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
10 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
11 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Hapoel Holon64267%86.083.2+2.8
14 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
15 Murcia64267%81.281.2+0.0
16 Igokea53260%79.075.8+3.2
17 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
18 Limoges63350%73.067.3+5.7
19 Tofas84450%78.874.6+4.1
20 Oostende63350%80.280.2+0.0
21 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
22 Dijon63350%75.078.5-3.5
23 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
24 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
25 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
26 Rytas52340%84.083.0+1.0
27 AEK Athens52340%75.675.2+0.4
28 Karsiyaka52340%79.082.0-3.0
29 Reggiana52340%74.077.8-3.8
30 Bahcesehir Kol.52340%72.079.6-7.6
31 Peristeri52340%73.881.6-7.8
32 Bnei Herzliya52340%76.287.8-11.6
33 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
34 PAOK62433%75.775.7+0.0
35 Darussafaka62433%71.574.7-3.2
36 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
37 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
38 Nymburk51420%71.279.2-8.0
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens915263080
Karsiyaka2020161672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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