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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 71-57
25-17 13-12 18-19 15-9
Position#2
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game71.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H03/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 75
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-107
77
107
-30
62avg 75
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
99-82
99
82
+17
104avg 75
A20/11
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
no box
H23/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
77-58
77
58
+19
73avg 75
H25/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
87-63
87
63
+24
85avg 75
H27/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 75
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 75
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
25-23
23-14
25-23
22-18
16-25
29-16
31-24
25-22
15-33
15-23
22-29
27-19
30-19
19-21
23-23
12-21
26-20
29-21
9-14
15-11
24-13
27-13
11-21
16-16
28-12
30-13
13-22
27-13
17-15
16-25
21-14
14-24
24-11
10-14
18-19
13-22
20-20
19-17
20-13
163.3Avg total
85.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.968.7150.6+13.171%
Season at home (3)85.766.7152.3+19.0100%
Season away (4)79.070.2149.2+8.850%
Last 10 (10)85.278.1163.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)80.266.6146.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.781.8155.5-8.19%
vs Similar (5)80.279.6159.8+0.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.168.8150.9+13.479%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
85avg 72
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 72
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
59avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
58avg 72
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 72
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 72
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
76avg 72
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
68-59
68
59
+9
64avg 72
H07/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
16-13
18-19
28-24
20-15
20-22
18-27
26-16
16-12
20-11
10-29
20-21
18-25
18-22
16-16
11-13
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
17-19
21-20
12-24
22-17
20-15
13-18
15-16
19-24
15-11
19-20
21-25
18-14
13-20
16-19
18-11
21-9
147.5Avg total
75.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.171.8149.9+6.475%
Season at home (5)78.070.8148.8+7.280%
Season away (3)78.373.3151.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)75.272.3147.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)74.471.8146.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.677.4149.0-5.933%
vs Similar (15)78.280.8159.0-2.647%
vs Weaker (6)81.767.8149.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H03/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A18/11
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A20/11
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H23/11
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H27/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
80.0Avg total
41.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.177.3+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.635.877.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.577.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.880.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.471.0+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.343.180.4-5.818%-
vs Similar (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.331.975.1+11.486%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/12
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Champions League
71.6Avg total
37.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.774.9+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.174.6+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.575.4-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.371.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.736.170.8-1.433%-
vs Similar (15)38.638.777.3-0.140%-
vs Weaker (6)42.732.775.3+10.083%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.4
56.2%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.6
35.5%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.9
73.0%
71.9%14.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.3%
33.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
71.9%13.9
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWLWL
AEK Athens
WWLLWWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+7.2
Net rating
+4.6
112.1
Offensive rating
104.3
105.0
Defensive rating
99.7
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
31.3%
60.3%
Assist %
75.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 104.3Defence105.0 · 99.7Shooting55.0% · 52.8%3-point %35.5% · 31.3%Ball care17.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22HOlimpia Milano90-77 OT
05/12/22AOlympiacos66-68
02/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-67
27/11/22HPAOK87-63
25/11/22HLyon-Villeurbanne77-58
23/11/22HVirtus Bologna88-85 OT
20/11/22AAS Karditsas99-82
18/11/22AFenerbahce77-107
11/11/22HBaskonia98-83
03/11/22HPartizan89-91
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HReggiana68-59
03/12/22HPromitheas73-70
28/11/22AKolossos Rhodes67-73
23/11/22ABonn72-80
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67
29/10/22HAris63-76
25/10/22HBonn66-73
23/10/22APeristeri84-80
15/10/22HApollon Patras83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game81.985.779.0
Allowed / game68.766.770.2
Point differential+13.1+19.0+8.8
Avg total150.6152.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game78.178.078.3
Allowed / game71.870.873.3
Point differential+6.4+7.2+5.0
Avg total149.9148.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos990100%92.368.7+23.7
2 AEK Athens86275%78.171.8+6.4
3 Peristeri86275%87.080.8+6.2
4 Panathinaikos75271%81.968.7+13.1
5 Aris96367%78.474.1+4.3
6 PAOK95456%79.878.8+1.0
7 Promitheas73443%81.182.0-0.9
8 Kolossos Rhodes83538%70.077.4-7.4
9 Apollon Patras93633%70.874.2-3.4
10 Ionikos92722%78.690.7-12.1
11 AS Karditsas81712%70.584.1-13.6
12 Lavrio91811%69.284.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2513181571
AEK Athens171219957
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