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Bonn vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-72
19-17 20-21 24-12 17-22
Position#1
Record2-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game75.0
Bonn 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4
European cup2022
Meetings · Bonn v AEK Athens
15 Oct 2024
BON93
AAT74
23 Nov 2022
BON80
AAT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
80avg 79
A01/10
BBL
Reggiana
#36
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 79
H05/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
W
84-76
84
76
+8
78avg 79
H08/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 79
H12/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
no box
A17/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 79
A22/10
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
W
73-66
73
66
+7
67avg 79
A25/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
H29/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
98-65
98
65
+33
102avg 79
H05/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
101-72
101
72
+29
105avg 79
A19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
27-19
21-18
22-18
28-24
20-25
19-18
17-21
17-19
22-24
25-12
20-21
19-11
23-29
20-11
21-20
27-24
22-21
20-30
26-23
23-14
17-22
19-20
20-16
12-16
11-20
29-10
21-20
31-20
17-15
20-24
26-26
30-13
20-15
28-17
20-20
25-18
28-20
30-14
18-20
165.1Avg total
88.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.075.0155.0+5.067%
Season at home (2)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Season away (1)73.066.0139.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.776.4165.1+12.380%
Last 5 (5)89.072.0161.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)86.681.3167.9+5.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.577.5164.9+10.088%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
no box
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
75avg 72
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
84-73
84
73
+11
84avg 72
A12/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
85avg 72
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 72
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
L
66-73
66
73
-7
59avg 72
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
58avg 72
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
87avg 72
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 72
H19/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
14-19
19-18
17-8
21-15
21-27
23-27
23-22
23-11
26-16
15-23
15-13
18-19
33-17
16-12
17-25
21-12
16-13
18-19
28-24
20-15
20-22
18-27
26-16
16-12
20-11
10-29
20-21
18-25
18-22
16-16
11-13
20-14
19-19
19-21
26-13
26-14
25-22
21-21
20-20
154.3Avg total
79.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.379.0158.3+0.333%
Season at home (1)66.073.0139.0-7.00%
Season away (2)86.082.0168.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)79.874.5154.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)77.874.6152.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.277.6148.8-6.333%
vs Similar (15)79.382.9162.3-3.640%
vs Weaker (5)84.469.6154.0+14.8100%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
BonnAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A01/10
BBL
Reggiana
#36
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H05/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H08/10
BBL
Karsiyaka
#38
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H12/10
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/10
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/10
BBL
AEK Athens
#11
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A25/10
Champions League
Gottingen
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H05/11
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
BBL
83.0Avg total
44.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.540.185.6+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.339.683.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)46.840.887.6+6.079%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.583.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.834.677.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)45.241.686.8+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.438.884.2+6.671%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/05
Basket League
Karsiyaka
#38
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H09/10
Basket League
Reggiana
#36
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A12/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H15/10
Basket League
Peristeri
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A23/10
Basket League
Bonn
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H25/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H29/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A05/11
Basket League
Ionikos
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H19/11
Basket League
75.5Avg total
41.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.876.9+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.277.1+4.769%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.676.6-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.034.575.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.275.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.736.870.4-3.133%-
vs Similar (15)39.740.079.7-0.340%-
vs Weaker (5)45.431.476.8+14.0100%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.7
56.2%
51.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.3
39.9%
35.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
74.3%13.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.0
56.5%
51.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
35.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.5
70.0%
74.3%14.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWWLWWLW
AEK Athens
WWLLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#11
+16.1
Net rating
+5.7
120.2
Offensive rating
108.1
104.1
Defensive rating
102.4
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.9%
3-point %
35.3%
61.3%
Assist %
72.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 108.1Defence104.1 · 102.4Shooting57.7% · 55.1%3-point %39.9% · 35.3%Ball care17.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds34.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bonn wins
0
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
25/10/22AEK Athens v Bonn66-73
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22AHamburg101-72
05/11/22HHeidelberg98-65
29/10/22HGottingen94-85
25/10/22AAEK Athens73-66
22/10/22ABasketball Braunschweig79-72
17/10/22AAlba Berlin95-98
12/10/22HKarsiyaka83-71
08/10/22HBamberg84-76
05/10/22HReggiana84-88
01/10/22AWurzburg96-71
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/22HIonikos92-77
05/11/22ALavrio84-67
29/10/22HAris63-76
25/10/22HBonn66-73
23/10/22APeristeri84-80
15/10/22HApollon Patras83-68
12/10/22AReggiana84-73
09/10/22HAS Karditsas79-63
04/10/22AKarsiyaka88-91
25/05/22APromitheas75-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
Champions League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game80.083.573.0
Allowed / game75.079.566.0
Point differential+5.0+4.0+7.0
Avg total155.0163.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game79.366.086.0
Allowed / game79.073.082.0
Point differential+0.3-7.0+4.0
Avg total158.3139.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%91.467.6+23.8
2 Ludwigsburg330100%89.766.3+23.3
3 Bilbao330100%77.766.7+11.0
4 Benfica76186%82.775.3+7.4
5 Manresa43175%85.875.5+10.2
6 Galatasaray43175%84.876.5+8.2
7 Strasbourg43175%83.080.5+2.5
8 Hapoel Holon43175%82.281.2+1.0
9 Tenerife32167%88.373.0+15.3
10 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Bonn32167%80.075.0+5.0
13 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
14 Peristeri32167%79.380.0-0.7
15 Murcia32167%83.084.7-1.7
16 Hapoel Jerusalem32167%70.772.7-2.0
17 Dijon32167%75.378.0-2.7
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Tofas63350%79.374.3+5.0
20 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
21 Karsiyaka42250%78.880.2-1.5
22 Reggiana42250%77.880.2-2.5
23 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
24 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
25 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
26 Bakken Bears52340%73.279.6-6.4
27 Igokea31233%79.376.3+3.0
28 Rytas31233%82.781.0+1.7
29 PAOK31233%72.371.7+0.7
30 AEK Athens31233%79.379.0+0.3
31 Darussafaka31233%72.375.0-2.7
32 Bahcesehir Kol.31233%70.775.3-4.7
33 Szombathely31233%81.788.3-6.7
34 VEF Riga31233%68.776.0-7.3
35 Nymburk31233%69.078.3-9.3
36 Bnei Herzliya31233%72.388.7-16.3
37 Oostende41325%73.877.5-3.8
38 Legia41325%70.576.0-5.5
39 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
40 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
41 Limoges3030%63.771.7-8.0
42 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
43 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
44 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
45 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
46 Sassari3030%74.787.7-13.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn1920241780
AEK Athens1721122272
← all games of the day
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