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AEK Athens vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 95-64
26-20 15-21 24-7 30-16
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#38
Record0-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2025
Meetings · AEK Athens v VEF Riga
12 Nov 2025
AAT95
VRI64
13 Nov 2024
AAT80
VRI70
15 Nov 2021
AAT88
VRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 78
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 78
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
69-53
69
53
+16
67avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 78
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 78
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 78
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 78
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 78
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
76-78
76
78
-2
70avg 78
H09/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
23-18
18-19
15-23
22-18
23-26
23-16
19-25
26-12
15-12
16-16
12-13
25-16
19-22
25-11
24-24
22-10
23-23
22-23
24-21
14-15
23-7
24-17
16-23
24-19
21-13
19-18
18-11
19-17
19-19
18-15
15-18
19-23
21-20
14-14
12-22
23-18
17-13
14-27
22-20
150.3Avg total
78.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.066.3143.3+10.7100%
Season at home (1)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)70.061.0131.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.272.1150.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)74.469.8144.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.880.2153.0-7.525%
vs Similar (3)74.780.0154.7-5.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.372.9156.1+10.490%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
L
53-69
53
69
-16
39avg 81
H07/10
Champions League
Tal Tech
#7
W
98-72
98
72
+26
94avg 81
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Levice
#13
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 81
H14/10
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
68avg 81
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
65avg 81
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
83-60
83
60
+23
79avg 81
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 81
A29/10
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
77avg 81
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 81
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
76avg 81
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
12-15
16-16
13-12
27-25
29-15
16-13
26-19
25-25
16-15
14-27
18-25
20-30
17-24
21-20
20-21
21-16
19-20
16-10
20-23
21-13
24-19
17-11
21-17
19-16
20-26
17-24
20-11
21-30
22-27
21-20
24-20
26-13
21-26
19-14
17-18
17-20
32-21
24-21
17-12
157.4Avg total
79.8Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.379.3146.7-12.00%
Season at home (2)63.080.5143.5-17.50%
Season away (1)76.077.0153.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)79.877.6157.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.075.8159.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.379.3146.7-12.00%
vs Similar (3)84.384.0168.3+0.333%
vs Weaker (24)92.778.6171.3+14.192%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
AEK AthensVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/11
Basket League
PAOK
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/11
Basket League
75.7Avg total
41.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.177.8+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.877.9+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.575.7+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.872.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.241.576.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (3)39.039.778.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.635.478.0+7.281%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H07/10
Champions League
Tal Tech
#7
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Levice
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H14/10
Champions League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/10
Champions League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.3Avg total
42.1Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.641.587.1+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.539.985.4+5.582%-
Last 30 away (13)45.743.589.2+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.284.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.286.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.741.075.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (3)38.045.383.3-7.333%-
vs Weaker (24)47.941.189.0+6.883%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.0
52.9%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.46.6
30.8%
33.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.219.8
81.8%
74.1%19.8
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.4
52.7%
52.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.1
28.0%
33.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.615.3
67.7%
74.1%15.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLWWWWWWWL
VEF Riga
WWLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#38
+8.9
Net rating
+4.4
106.8
Offensive rating
109.2
97.8
Defensive rating
104.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
28.0%
59.0%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 109.2Defence97.8 · 104.8Shooting50.4% · 48.6%3-point %30.8% · 28.0%Ball care17.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 37.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ AEK Athens   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AEK Athens wins
1
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
07/10/25VEF Riga v AEK Athens53-69
13/11/24AEK Athens v VEF Riga80-70
29/10/24VEF Riga v AEK Athens69-80
15/11/21AEK Athens v VEF Riga88-79
03/11/21VEF Riga v AEK Athens92-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HPAOK76-78
01/11/25APeristeri66-79
28/10/25ALevice71-69
25/10/25AIraklis82-61
18/10/25HAS Karditsas77-62
15/10/25HSzolnoki Olaj91-77
12/10/25HPanionios93-73
07/10/25AVEF Riga69-53
04/10/25AKolossos Rhodes87-85
26/09/25HPromitheas70-84
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HBK Ogre90-74
04/11/25HBK Liepaja83-71
01/11/25HRigas Zelli88-97
29/10/25ASzolnoki Olaj76-77
26/10/25HViimsi83-60
21/10/25HVentspils76-69
18/10/25ATartu Ulikool78-95
14/10/25HLevice73-92
11/10/25HTal Tech98-72
07/10/25HAEK Athens53-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.091.070.0
Allowed / game66.377.061.0
Point differential+10.7+14.0+9.0
Avg total143.3168.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.363.076.0
Allowed / game79.380.577.0
Point differential-12.0-17.5-1.0
Avg total146.7143.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%92.869.5+23.2
2 Joventut Badalona440100%86.268.2+18.0
3 Gran Canaria440100%85.268.5+16.8
4 Tenerife440100%88.274.2+14.0
5 Chalon/Saone770100%93.482.3+11.1
6 Galatasaray440100%93.282.2+11.0
7 AEK Athens330100%77.066.3+10.7
8 Rytas43175%97.586.5+11.0
9 Levice75271%79.976.4+3.4
10 Alba Berlin32167%85.078.3+6.7
11 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
14 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
15 Szolnoki Olaj42250%77.273.5+3.8
16 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
17 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
18 Legia42250%77.075.0+2.0
19 Trapani42250%86.284.2+2.0
20 Hapoel Holon42250%86.085.2+0.8
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
22 Spartak Subotica42250%77.279.2-2.0
23 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
24 Wurzburg42250%76.279.8-3.5
25 Cholet42250%85.889.5-3.8
26 AS Karditsas42250%76.281.0-4.8
27 Tofas42250%78.884.0-5.2
28 Promitheas42250%77.082.5-5.5
29 Mersin SK42250%82.089.0-7.0
30 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
31 Bursaspor73443%75.978.0-2.1
32 Nymburk31233%88.785.3+3.3
33 Le Mans41325%80.077.2+2.8
34 Trieste41325%86.087.5-1.5
35 Igokea41325%82.888.8-6.0
36 Heidelberg41325%83.090.5-7.5
37 Benfica41325%74.291.8-17.5
38 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
39 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
40 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
41 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
42 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
43 Bnei Herzliya4040%83.294.0-10.8
44 Oostende4040%84.295.8-11.5
45 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
46 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
47 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
48 VEF Riga3030%67.379.3-12.0
49 Sabah Baku4040%74.887.8-13.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2615243095
VEF Riga202171664
← all games of the day
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