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Iraklis vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 61-82
19-24 13-21 18-19 11-18
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game73.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· Ivanofeio Sports Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Iraklis v AEK Athens
21 Nov 2026
IRA v AAT
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
IRA61
AAT82
11 Dec 2021
IRA86
AAT74
12 Dec 2020
IRA72
AAT79
16 Nov 2019
IRA68
AAT77
11 Jan 2014
IRA51
AAT73
05 Jan 2011
IRA68
AAT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iraklis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IraklisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Near East
#15
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A22/03
A2
Vikos
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A29/03
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
62-53
62
53
+9
no box
H05/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
80-55
80
55
+25
no box
H15/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A22/04
A2
Koroivos
#4
W
79-58
79
58
+21
no box
H08/05
A2
NE Megaridas
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A10/05
A2
Promitheas
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
86avg 76
H04/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 76
A11/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 76
H18/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
13-11
18-18
15-15
21-15
21-16
12-27
10-17
20-11
11-13
12-22
19-7
21-15
22-15
14-11
23-14
33-12
16-24
19-21
19-25
25-17
23-10
15-16
16-15
19-26
25-17
17-12
33-20
28-19
19-24
29-19
14-17
13-25
25-16
22-23
22-20
20-24
15-16
15-22
23-18
147.5Avg total
77.3Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.781.0162.7+0.733%
Season at home (2)81.579.5161.0+2.050%
Season away (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)77.370.2147.5+7.170%
Last 5 (5)83.675.2158.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.580.2163.8+3.250%
vs Similar (7)74.468.9143.3+5.671%
vs Weaker (19)72.867.5140.3+5.474%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 79
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 79
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
48avg 79
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 79
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 79
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 79
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
69-53
69
53
+16
67avg 79
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 79
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 79
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 79
H18/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
11-21
17-18
18-16
31-18
19-27
20-15
11-21
14-27
26-20
23-15
21-12
21-20
14-24
23-18
18-19
15-23
22-18
23-26
23-16
19-25
26-12
15-12
16-16
12-13
25-16
19-22
25-11
24-24
22-10
23-23
22-23
24-21
14-15
23-7
24-17
16-23
151.9Avg total
78.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.773.3159.0+12.3100%
Season at home (2)85.067.5152.5+17.5100%
Season away (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.473.5151.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)83.470.0153.4+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.880.2153.0-7.525%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.073.7158.6+11.390%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
IraklisAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Near East
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/03
A2
Vikos
#7
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A29/03
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H05/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/04
A2
Proteas Voulas
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A22/04
A2
Koroivos
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H08/05
A2
NE Megaridas
#2
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A10/05
A2
Promitheas
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/10
Basket League
74.9Avg total
40.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.234.572.8+3.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.271.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.234.974.1+4.380%-
Last 10 (10)40.634.374.9+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.881.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.540.277.8-2.825%-
vs Similar (7)37.635.673.1+2.071%-
vs Weaker (19)38.632.971.6+5.779%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H18/10
Basket League
75.2Avg total
39.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.678.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.537.079.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (13)39.238.577.7+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)39.635.675.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.274.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.241.576.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.936.078.9+7.081%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
54.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
34.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
74.4%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.0
53.5%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.7
31.6%
34.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.719.9
80.6%
74.4%19.9
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Iraklis
LLWWWWWWLW
AEK Athens
WWWWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
+8.1
101.1
Offensive rating
106.5
104.2
Defensive rating
98.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.44
31.5%
3-point %
31.6%
59.7%
Assist %
66.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 106.5Defence104.2 · 98.5Shooting47.5% · 51.2%3-point %31.5% · 31.6%Ball care17.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.0% · 24.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Iraklis   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Iraklis wins
9
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
20/04/22AEK Athens v Iraklis80-74
11/12/21Iraklis v AEK Athens86-74
20/03/21AEK Athens v Iraklis100-97 OT
12/12/20Iraklis v AEK Athens72-79
07/03/20AEK Athens v Iraklis86-61
16/11/19Iraklis v AEK Athens68-77
26/04/14AEK Athens v Iraklis78-69
11/01/14Iraklis v AEK Athens51-73
02/04/11AEK Athens v Iraklis81-74
05/01/11Iraklis v AEK Athens68-72
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HMykonos73-80
11/10/25APAOK82-84
04/10/25HPromitheas90-79
10/05/25ANE Megaridas94-75
08/05/25HKoroivos79-58
22/04/25AProteas Voulas87-82
15/04/25HProteas Voulas80-55
05/04/25HProteas Voulas62-53
29/03/25AVikos64-75
22/03/25ANear East62-61
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HAS Karditsas77-62
15/10/25HSzolnoki Olaj91-77
12/10/25HPanionios93-73
07/10/25AVEF Riga69-53
04/10/25AKolossos Rhodes87-85
26/09/25HPromitheas70-84
19/05/25HPromitheas91-67
15/05/25HOlympiacos64-90
11/05/25ATenerife77-73
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iraklis
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game81.781.582.0
Allowed / game81.079.584.0
Point differential+0.7+2.0-2.0
Avg total162.7161.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.785.087.0
Allowed / game73.367.585.0
Point differential+12.3+17.5+2.0
Avg total159.0152.5172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos330100%90.377.7+12.7
2 AEK Athens330100%85.773.3+12.3
3 PAOK43175%82.280.2+2.0
4 Panathinaikos32167%89.780.0+9.7
5 Peristeri32167%83.077.0+6.0
6 Mykonos21150%81.581.0+0.5
7 AS Karditsas21150%76.577.0-0.5
8 Iraklis31233%81.781.0+0.7
9 Promitheas31233%81.784.3-2.7
10 Kolossos Rhodes31233%75.080.7-5.7
11 Maroussi31233%92.398.7-6.3
12 Aris3030%81.790.7-9.0
13 Panionios3030%66.787.0-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Iraklis1913181161
AEK Athens2421191882
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