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VEF Riga vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 53-69
12-26 12-15 16-16 13-12
Position#38
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
VEF Riga
vs
AEK Athens 🏆
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1· Xiaomi Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · VEF Riga v AEK Athens
07 Oct 2025
VRI53
AAT69
29 Oct 2024
VRI69
AAT80
03 Nov 2021
VRI92
AAT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 82
H25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 82
A28/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
110-95
110
95
+15
111avg 82
H01/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
108-84
108
84
+24
107avg 82
A04/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
91-77
91
77
+14
83avg 82
H13/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
114-106
114
106
+8
116avg 82
A17/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
89-68
89
68
+21
96avg 82
H19/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
93-91
93
91
+2
85avg 82
A22/05
LBL
Keila KK
#12
W
122-74
122
74
+48
118avg 82
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 82
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
28-16
34-16
19-25
27-15
15-25
18-20
13-20
27-19
23-28
34-28
26-20
21-28
31-21
25-23
31-12
23-23
22-17
18-24
28-13
16-24
37-29
26-23
35-30
23-16
26-18
22-9
18-25
23-29
19-24
32-20
19-18
26-20
30-15
29-19
37-20
26-17
20-36
19-22
29-17
183.9Avg total
99.1Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)99.184.8183.9+14.390%
Last 5 (5)102.486.2188.6+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)86.083.0169.0+3.033%
vs Weaker (26)92.174.8166.9+17.396%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
62avg 79
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
104-69
104
69
+35
103avg 79
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
84avg 79
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 79
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
63avg 79
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 79
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
48avg 79
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 79
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 79
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 79
A04/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
9-27
19-19
18-21
19-18
29-13
34-9
22-29
21-9
19-16
18-26
20-27
25-24
18-24
15-20
27-19
20-23
11-14
24-13
10-21
11-21
17-18
18-16
31-18
19-27
20-15
11-21
14-27
26-20
23-15
21-12
21-20
14-24
23-18
18-19
15-23
22-18
23-26
23-16
19-25
159.5Avg total
80.2Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.279.3159.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.879.8157.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.585.5159.0-12.017%
vs Similar (3)87.084.7171.7+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.775.5161.2+10.284%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
VEF RigaAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H25/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A28/04
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H01/05
LBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A04/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H13/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A17/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H19/05
LBL
Ventspils
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A22/05
LBL
Keila KK
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
92.3Avg total
47.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.185.0+6.780%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.438.984.3+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)46.239.485.6+6.881%-
Last 10 (10)47.944.492.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.245.694.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (3)38.342.380.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (26)46.739.085.6+7.785%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A16/04
Champions League
Nanterre
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H23/04
Champions League
PAOK
#6
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H27/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A04/05
Basket League
Unicaja
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/05
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A11/05
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H15/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/10
Basket League
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.581.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.681.6+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.940.680.4-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.543.380.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (3)40.341.782.0-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.737.881.5+5.979%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.0
52.1%
52.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
33.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws23.015.8
68.7%
74.1%15.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.0
48.9%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.4
36.8%
33.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.218.4
79.3%
74.1%18.4
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWWWWWWWLW
AEK Athens
WLWLWLLWWL
#38
League position
#1
+19.7
Net rating
+2.0
119.4
Offensive rating
107.6
99.8
Defensive rating
105.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
40.2%
3-point %
36.8%
57.8%
Assist %
67.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 107.6Defence99.8 · 105.6Shooting55.5% · 51.3%3-point %40.2% · 36.8%Ball care16.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds37.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ VEF Riga   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
VEF Riga wins
3
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24AEK Athens v VEF Riga80-70
29/10/24VEF Riga v AEK Athens69-80
15/11/21AEK Athens v VEF Riga88-79
03/11/21VEF Riga v AEK Athens92-76
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ABK Ogre94-92
30/09/25HKeila KK122-74
22/05/25AVentspils93-91
19/05/25HVentspils89-68
17/05/25AVentspils114-106
13/05/25HVentspils91-77
04/05/25AValmiera Glass Via108-84
01/05/25HValmiera Glass Via110-95
28/04/25AValmiera Glass Via73-80
25/04/25HValmiera Glass Via97-81
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AKolossos Rhodes87-85
26/09/25HPromitheas70-84
19/05/25HPromitheas91-67
15/05/25HOlympiacos64-90
11/05/25ATenerife77-73
09/05/25HUnicaja65-71
04/05/25AOlympiacos85-87
27/04/25HPAOK89-85 OT
23/04/25HNanterre104-69
16/04/25ANanterre70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Champions League 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Champions League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nymburk110100%93.065.0+28.0
2 Chalon/Saone330100%101.082.3+18.7
3 Bursaspor330100%83.368.3+15.0
4 Wurzburg110100%78.063.0+15.0
5 Galatasaray110100%94.082.0+12.0
6 Levice330100%90.378.7+11.7
7 Rytas110100%93.085.0+8.0
8 Promitheas110100%89.083.0+6.0
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
11 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
12 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
13 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
14 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
15 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
16 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
17 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
18 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
19 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
20 Heidelberg1010%83.089.0-6.0
21 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
22 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
23 Legia1010%85.093.0-8.0
24 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
25 Igokea1010%82.094.0-12.0
26 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
27 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
28 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
29 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
30 Trieste1010%63.078.0-15.0
31 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
32 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
33 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
34 Sabah Baku1010%65.093.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga1212161353
AEK Athens2615161269
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