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AEK Athens vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-70
19-23 24-13 19-20 18-14
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#37
Record1-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · AEK Athens v VEF Riga
12 Nov 2025
AAT95
VRI64
13 Nov 2024
AAT80
VRI70
15 Nov 2021
AAT88
VRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
68-100
68
100
-32
50avg 78
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 78
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
70-59
70
59
+11
65avg 78
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 78
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
74-93
74
93
-19
66avg 78
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
74-94
74
94
-20
72avg 78
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 78
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
80-69
80
69
+11
81avg 78
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 78
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
82avg 78
H09/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
29-25
12-23
15-28
26-23
21-19
14-12
19-17
14-17
12-12
18-12
26-18
23-9
27-24
19-14
27-18
17-26
19-13
23-20
15-34
19-23
10-26
11-23
34-22
24-19
25-29
12-17
21-22
18-19
19-14
27-21
16-15
16-26
25-19
15-19
21-32
26-21
21-17
17-16
22-21
159.6Avg total
78.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.077.7155.7+0.367%
Season at home (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)77.081.0158.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)78.780.9159.6-2.250%
Last 5 (5)79.884.2164.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.494.1173.6-14.70%
vs Similar (9)84.484.3168.8+0.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.979.9164.8+5.064%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
68-61
68
61
+7
61avg 78
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 78
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 78
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 78
A15/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 78
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 78
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 78
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 78
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 78
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
90-78
90
78
+12
91avg 78
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
21-19
14-10
15-14
21-10
18-11
28-10
22-21
20-24
19-13
15-13
20-21
13-20
17-18
25-13
16-27
21-21
26-9
22-12
15-20
19-15
23-18
29-18
22-29
19-18
14-19
21-27
15-16
23-20
25-8
12-27
15-15
22-27
18-7
22-4
12-20
25-27
17-17
25-13
23-21
147.7Avg total
78.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.376.7152.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)77.576.0153.5+1.550%
Season away (1)71.078.0149.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)78.769.0147.7+9.780%
Last 5 (5)80.273.2153.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
vs Similar (5)81.077.2158.2+3.840%
vs Weaker (22)82.069.5151.6+12.595%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
AEK AthensVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/05
Basket League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A05/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H12/10
Basket League
Bonn
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/10
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A21/10
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/10
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H09/11
Basket League
80.8Avg total
40.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.982.7-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.882.9+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)39.742.882.5-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.580.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.347.486.8-8.111%-
vs Similar (9)41.738.980.6+2.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.440.082.4+2.455%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
73.8Avg total
39.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.977.8+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.835.776.6+5.163%-
Last 30 away (11)40.939.079.9+1.955%-
Last 10 (10)39.933.973.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.276.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.336.771.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (5)40.843.884.6-3.020%-
vs Weaker (22)41.835.477.2+6.473%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.9
53.4%
52.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
74.0%13.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.9
57.0%
52.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
35.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
74.0%11.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
WLWLLLWWWL
VEF Riga
WWWLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#37
-2.4
Net rating
+13.7
104.6
Offensive rating
106.2
107.0
Defensive rating
92.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.3%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
32.2%
65.1%
Assist %
55.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 106.2Defence107.0 · 92.5Shooting52.5% · 53.7%3-point %34.2% · 32.2%Ball care18.0% · 20.3%Off. rebounds24.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
1
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24VEF Riga v AEK Athens69-80
15/11/21AEK Athens v VEF Riga88-79
03/11/21VEF Riga v AEK Athens92-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HKolossos Rhodes86-75
03/11/24HOlympiacos77-96
29/10/24AVEF Riga80-69
26/10/24APAOK82-87
21/10/24APanathinaikos74-94
15/10/24ABonn74-93
12/10/24HAS Karditsas96-65
05/10/24AAris70-59
01/10/24HMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan80-71
18/05/24HOlympiacos68-100
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24AKeila KK90-78
05/11/24HBK Liepaja74-58
02/11/24HParnu75-70
29/10/24HAEK Athens69-80
23/10/24ATal Tech93-80
19/10/24HRapla84-62
15/10/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan71-78
12/10/24HTartu Ulikool74-71
09/10/24HViimsi89-52
04/10/24AValmiera Glass Via68-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.080.077.0
Allowed / game77.771.081.0
Point differential+0.3+9.0-4.0
Avg total155.7151.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Champions League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.377.571.0
Allowed / game76.776.078.0
Point differential-1.3+1.5-7.0
Avg total152.0153.5149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%98.870.8+28.0
2 Tenerife330100%76.361.3+15.0
3 Nymburk660100%87.573.5+14.0
4 Tortona330100%87.074.7+12.3
5 Bonn54180%85.680.0+5.6
6 Manresa43175%92.875.8+17.0
7 Rytas43175%87.576.8+10.8
8 Murcia43175%86.876.8+10.0
9 Karsiyaka43175%81.574.8+6.8
10 Wurzburg43175%89.883.8+6.0
11 Galatasaray43175%87.081.8+5.2
12 Reggiana43175%73.870.0+3.8
13 Manisa43175%90.290.2+0.0
14 Petkim Spor75271%78.182.1-4.0
15 AEK Athens32167%78.077.7+0.3
16 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
17 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
18 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
19 Oostende42250%77.574.2+3.2
20 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
21 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
22 Nanterre42250%83.883.0+0.8
23 Hapoel Holon42250%81.080.5+0.5
24 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
25 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
26 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
28 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
29 Szombathely42250%79.282.8-3.5
30 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
31 Benfica52340%75.488.0-12.6
32 Saint Quentin31233%73.069.7+3.3
33 VEF Riga31233%75.376.7-1.3
34 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan31233%75.779.0-3.3
35 Peristeri41325%75.277.0-1.8
36 Promitheas41325%78.885.5-6.8
37 Igokea41325%81.889.0-7.2
38 FMP Beograd41325%73.882.0-8.2
39 Chemnitz41325%80.289.0-8.8
40 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
41 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
42 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
43 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Slask Wroclaw4040%71.282.2-11.0
46 Vechta4040%80.294.8-14.5
47 Szczecin4040%64.579.8-15.2
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kolossos Rhodes4040%59.880.2-20.5
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1924191880
VEF Riga2313201470
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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