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AEK Athens vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-79
25-25 15-12 18-21 30-21
Position#37
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#32
Record1-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeChampions League
European cup2021
Meetings · AEK Athens v VEF Riga
12 Nov 2025
AAT95
VRI64
13 Nov 2024
AAT80
VRI70
15 Nov 2021
AAT88
VRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H19/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H23/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A30/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A03/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H06/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A13/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-21
21-28
14-31
21-19
14-19
19-19
24-26
20-23
16-6
20-21
25-19
22-17
13-29
21-16
12-22
18-23
18-27
24-15
17-27
15-15
21-18
18-18
10-12
15-23
23-5
14-15
13-16
15-27
19-19
22-22
20-24
16-26
22-13
25-22
19-24
18-25
22-29
13-25
22-21
157.4Avg total
74.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.089.0166.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)77.092.0169.0-15.00%
Season away (2)77.087.5164.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)74.483.0157.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)72.479.8152.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.089.5169.5-9.518%
vs Similar (13)79.079.3158.3-0.346%
vs Weaker (6)82.277.5159.7+4.767%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#8
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Szombathely
#21
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H20/10
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
93-66
93
66
+27
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#5
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#37
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H03/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H06/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
97-51
97
51
+46
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
33-6
24-9
23-32
20-16
24-16
23-15
8-16
29-23
23-34
16-18
24-20
11-16
26-19
24-29
13-16
20-17
28-16
19-16
26-17
27-18
19-16
20-11
21-19
15-21
23-21
26-17
19-18
27-15
19-19
22-22
24-20
18-23
30-22
26-18
22-21
24-19
23-18
20-4
30-10
161.0Avg total
88.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.782.3166.0+1.333%
Season at home (2)83.078.0161.0+5.050%
Season away (1)85.091.0176.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.572.5161.0+16.080%
Last 5 (5)91.070.4161.4+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.773.7131.3-16.00%
vs Similar (4)73.080.2153.2-7.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)94.073.5167.6+20.596%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
AEK AthensVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A03/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#21
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Champions League
Larisa
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/10
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/10
Basket League
Treviso
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/10
Champions League
Aris
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H23/10
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A30/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A13/11
Basket League
77.8Avg total
37.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.640.082.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.177.3-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.777.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.545.283.6-6.79%-
vs Similar (13)39.537.977.5+1.662%-
vs Weaker (6)41.735.276.8+6.567%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#8
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Szombathely
#21
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/10
Champions League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#37
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/11
Champions League
BK Ogre
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H06/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/11
Latvia-Estonian League
83.2Avg total
45.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.582.8+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.637.182.7+8.578%-
Last 30 away (12)44.838.283.0+6.775%-
Last 10 (10)45.537.783.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.483.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.339.369.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.239.879.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.336.985.2+11.491%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.3
51.2%
51.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.4
29.9%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
74.3%13.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.615.0
44.6%
51.1%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.0
34.5%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.79.5
69.3%
74.3%9.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLLWWLLWLL
VEF Riga
WWWWWWLLWW
#37
League position
#32
-12.1
Net rating
-4.6
98.7
Offensive rating
97.9
110.8
Defensive rating
102.5
48.3%
Effective FG%
47.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.9%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.9%
3-point %
34.5%
61.9%
Assist %
71.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 97.9Defence110.8 · 102.5Shooting48.3% · 47.9%3-point %29.9% · 34.5%Ball care17.9% · 20.9%Off. rebounds24.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens wins
1
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
03/11/21VEF Riga v AEK Athens92-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/21APanathinaikos75-100
06/11/21HKolossos Rhodes82-85
03/11/21AVEF Riga76-92
30/10/21AIonikos65-59
23/10/21HAris64-63
19/10/21HTreviso77-92
16/10/21AApollon Patras68-84
09/10/21HLarisa81-69
06/10/21ASzombathely78-83
03/10/21AOlympiacos78-103
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HTallinna Kalev97-51
06/11/21HBK Ogre96-84
03/11/21HAEK Athens92-76
30/10/21ABK Liepaja83-77
24/10/21AViimsi87-64
23/10/21ATallinna Kalev93-66
20/10/21HSzombathely74-80
16/10/21HParnu92-95
13/10/21AValmiera Glass Via75-63
08/10/21HRapla96-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.077.077.0
Allowed / game89.092.087.5
Point differential-12.0-15.0-10.5
Avg total166.0169.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Champions League 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.783.085.0
Allowed / game82.378.091.0
Point differential+1.3+5.0-6.0
Avg total166.0161.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja330100%82.762.0+20.7
2 Hapoel Holon220100%83.064.5+18.5
3 Treviso660100%87.875.3+12.5
4 Manresa440100%78.570.0+8.5
5 Cluj-Napoca65183%79.574.0+5.5
6 Ludwigsburg43175%83.874.0+9.8
7 Galatasaray43175%86.581.2+5.2
8 Tenerife43175%77.272.0+5.2
9 Tofas43175%82.578.2+4.2
10 Juventus32167%84.777.7+7.0
11 Parma Perm32167%75.370.7+4.7
12 Szombathely32167%74.373.3+1.0
13 San Pablo Burgos32167%81.080.3+0.7
14 Besiktas32167%79.780.7-1.0
15 Lavrio32167%76.778.3-1.7
16 Prometey74357%80.373.9+6.4
17 BC Kalev/Cramo74357%83.082.4+0.6
18 Oostende42250%86.581.5+5.0
19 Split21150%66.063.0+3.0
20 PAOK42250%75.874.2+1.5
21 Darussafaka21150%71.071.0+0.0
22 Leiden21150%71.571.5+0.0
23 Strasbourg42250%76.877.8-1.0
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%70.072.0-2.0
25 Nymburk42250%81.585.2-3.8
26 Karsiyaka42250%75.580.2-4.8
27 Minsk21150%73.581.0-7.5
28 Rytas31233%79.375.7+3.7
29 VEF Riga31233%83.782.3+1.3
30 Oldenburg31233%79.082.3-3.3
31 Dijon31233%68.774.3-5.7
32 Ostrow Wielkopolski41325%76.277.2-1.0
33 Hapoel Jerusalem41325%75.077.8-2.8
34 Igokea41325%77.280.2-3.0
35 Sassari41325%75.585.8-10.2
36 Bakken Bears1010%90.092.0-2.0
37 Belfius Mons1010%74.076.0-2.0
38 Ironi Eilat1010%76.079.0-3.0
39 Bamberg1010%79.083.0-4.0
40 Salon Vilpas1010%97.0106.0-9.0
41 Peristeri1010%74.084.0-10.0
42 AEK Athens3030%77.089.0-12.0
43 Brindisi3030%69.382.0-12.7
44 Le Mans1010%69.082.0-13.0
45 Nizhny Novgorod3030%74.387.7-13.3
46 AEK Larnaca1010%50.065.0-15.0
47 Mornar Bar1010%89.0104.0-15.0
48 Sporting CP1010%69.086.0-17.0
49 Kapfenberg Bulls1010%68.090.0-22.0
50 Opava1010%78.0100.0-22.0
51 London Lions1010%62.089.0-27.0
52 Levski1010%56.096.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2515183088
VEF Riga2512212179
← all games of the day
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