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AEL vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-57
16-14 18-19 20-13 22-11
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.9
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Position#1
Record17-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game69.0
CyprusDivision ARound 21· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEL v AEK Larnaca
20 Nov 2026
AEL v ALA
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
AEL62
ALA87
12 Mar 2025
AEL76
ALA57
18 Jan 2025
AEL66
ALA80
05 Apr 2024
AEL63
ALA99
09 Oct 2023
AEL94
ALA96
05 Mar 2023
AEL76
ALA91
11 Dec 2021
AEL62
ALA95
08 Nov 2020
AEL60
ALA73
04 Apr 2020
AEL v ALA
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
AEL69
ALA82
22 Dec 2018
AEL80
ALA81
24 Jan 2015
AEL0
ALA20
08 Nov 2013
AEL67
ALA88
09 Nov 2012
AEL78
ALA84
21 Jan 2012
AEL60
ALA71
19 Nov 2010
AEL67
ALA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
103-48
103
48
+55
104avg 78
H21/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 78
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-83
86
83
+3
86avg 78
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
78-47
78
47
+31
78avg 78
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 78
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 78
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 78
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 78
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 78
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 78
A07/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
28-11
28-7
26-12
25-19
19-18
29-30
15-26
29-22
22-18
22-24
13-19
22-15
26-11
15-4
15-17
24-14
12-22
14-21
16-23
19-13
21-29
26-22
28-14
22-29
27-15
20-17
25-30
20-25
31-18
24-23
16-15
29-16
27-19
20-20
24-15
16-19
25-10
24-20
22-9
161.6Avg total
88.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.373.9162.2+14.472%
Season at home (9)93.372.2165.6+21.189%
Season away (9)83.275.6158.8+7.756%
Last 10 (10)88.772.9161.6+15.880%
Last 5 (5)93.275.6168.8+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.184.3154.4-14.211%
vs Similar (2)57.568.0125.5-10.50%
vs Weaker (19)89.768.7158.4+21.189%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
69avg 82
A18/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
99-61
99
61
+38
103avg 82
H21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
67-57
67
57
+10
69avg 82
A08/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
69-61
69
61
+8
70avg 82
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 82
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
115-61
115
61
+54
118avg 82
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
94-54
94
54
+40
97avg 82
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
78avg 82
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
87avg 82
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
85-82
85
82
+3
88avg 82
H07/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
23-11
16-18
23-18
33-14
15-19
24-13
27-15
16-12
13-16
25-13
13-16
22-19
12-14
26-17
9-11
14-24
22-12
21-14
23-16
28-15
31-19
33-9
23-18
28-14
23-16
18-11
25-13
20-20
22-25
23-19
21-18
27-30
19-13
23-13
19-26
21-20
28-19
19-20
17-23
153.5Avg total
85.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.369.0155.3+17.3100%
Season at home (9)86.868.2155.0+18.6100%
Season away (8)85.869.9155.6+15.9100%
Last 10 (10)85.967.6153.5+18.3100%
Last 5 (5)93.672.2165.8+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.085.7156.7-14.733%
vs Similar (8)76.174.1150.2+2.062%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.969.2156.2+17.7100%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.6+2.6
AELAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H21/12
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A13/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H31/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/03
Division A
82.6Avg total
46.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.581.5+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.037.181.1+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.139.781.8+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)46.536.182.6+10.480%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.686.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.643.481.0-5.911%-
vs Similar (2)23.540.063.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker (19)47.636.083.6+11.689%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A18/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H21/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A08/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/01
Division A
AEL
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/01
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H25/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Division A
Paralimni
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H06/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H07/03
Division A
78.6Avg total
43.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.5+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.638.278.8+2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)41.638.880.4+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)43.135.578.6+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.287.6+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.844.583.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (8)37.938.176.0-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.436.479.9+7.069%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.7
52.8%
51.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
70.5%14.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.9
54.6%
51.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.8
37.0%
34.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
70.5%12.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWWWLWWLW
AEK Larnaca
WWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+19.9
Net rating
+24.7
114.5
Offensive rating
112.6
94.6
Defensive rating
87.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.1%
3-point %
37.0%
68.0%
Assist %
71.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 112.6Defence94.6 · 87.9Shooting51.0% · 55.0%3-point %32.1% · 37.0%Ball care14.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds35.0% · 32.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ AEL   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25AEL v AEK Larnaca66-80
01/12/24AEK Larnaca v AEL89-70
05/04/24AEL v AEK Larnaca63-99
20/03/24AEK Larnaca v AEL93-81
09/10/23AEL v AEK Larnaca94-96 OT
05/03/23AEL v AEK Larnaca76-91
21/12/22AEK Larnaca v AEL118-103
05/03/22AEK Larnaca v AEL84-65
11/12/21AEL v AEK Larnaca62-95
23/12/20AEK Larnaca v AEL87-58
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25AAchilleas K.87-58
27/02/25HETHA Engomi100-70
12/02/25AApollon91-81
31/01/25HKeravnos94-91
24/01/25AApoel BC94-78
18/01/25HAEK Larnaca66-80
13/01/25AAchilleas K.78-47
08/01/25HAnorthosis86-83
05/01/25AParalimni88-93
21/12/24HETHA Engomi103-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HKeravnos85-82
12/02/25AAnorthosis88-82
06/02/25HParalimni86-82
31/01/25AETHA Engomi94-54
25/01/25HApollon115-61
18/01/25AAEL80-66
12/01/25HKeravnos69-61
08/01/25AApoel BC67-57
21/12/24HAchilleas K.99-61
18/12/24AParalimni76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game88.393.383.2
Allowed / game73.972.275.6
Point differential+14.4+21.1+7.7
Avg total162.2165.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%67%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.386.885.8
Allowed / game69.068.269.9
Point differential+17.3+18.6+15.9
Avg total155.3155.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%56%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca17170100%86.369.0+17.3
2 Keravnos1814478%95.380.0+15.3
3 AEL1813572%88.373.9+14.4
4 Anorthosis1912763%89.281.3+7.8
5 Apoel BC1911858%82.679.4+3.2
6 Paralimni1771041%77.482.8-5.4
7 Apollon1851328%84.193.8-9.7
8 ETHA Engomi1921711%73.988.8-14.9
9 Achilleas K.191185%64.289.8-25.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL1618202276
AEK Larnaca1419131157
← all games of the day
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