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AEL vs Achilleas K. Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game91.6
CyprusDivision ARound 16· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEL v Achilleas K.
04 Jan 2027
AEL v ACHI
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
AEL76
ACHI65
10 Nov 2024
AEL88
ACHI59
08 Dec 2023
AEL82
ACHI41
02 Dec 2022
AEL94
ACHI64
13 Nov 2021
AEL90
ACHI65
28 Oct 2011
AEL20
ACHI0
23 Oct 2010
AEL58
ACHI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 74
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 74
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 74
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 74
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 74
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 74
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 74
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
64-94
64
94
-30
52avg 64
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 64
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 64
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
66avg 64
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 64
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
62-95
62
95
-33
6avg 64
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
86avg 64
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
62-84
62
84
-22
54avg 64
A23/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
79avg 64
H01/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A06/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-22
20-30
12-21
18-20
16-16
15-26
24-20
20-24
20-24
23-29
27-15
16-23
15-23
21-11
13-19
18-22
19-29
22-24
21-15
14-31
20-26
14-20
14-18
21-24
30-14
16-17
12-24
10-19
22-28
13-21
17-16
30-26
15-29
20-24
17-17
21-19
13-28
23-26
21-20
163.6Avg total
74.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.491.6166.0-17.20%
Season at home (3)77.393.7171.0-16.30%
Season away (2)70.088.5158.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)74.489.2163.6-14.80%
Last 5 (5)74.491.6166.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.186.7158.8-14.68%
vs Similar (4)76.581.8158.2-5.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
AELAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/02
Division A
AEL
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A13/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H06/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H10/10
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H16/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H01/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A06/11
Division A
83.8Avg total
37.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.042.877.8-7.817%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.443.980.3-7.619%-
Last 30 away (14)33.441.574.9-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)37.046.883.8-9.810%-
Last 5 (5)39.248.888.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.844.078.8-9.112%-
vs Similar (4)36.035.271.2+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.2
47.9%
52.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.8
35.3%
34.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.211.4
66.3%
72.9%11.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+2.4
Net rating
-23.1
92.1
Offensive rating
83.9
89.7
Defensive rating
107.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.8%
3-point %
35.3%
62.3%
Assist %
68.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 83.9Defence89.7 · 107.0Shooting50.3% · 49.8%3-point %28.8% · 35.3%Ball care14.3% · 17.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ AEL   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEL wins
2
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26AEL v Achilleas K.76-65
05/12/25Achilleas K. v AEL72-78
07/03/25Achilleas K. v AEL58-87
13/01/25Achilleas K. v AEL47-78
10/11/24AEL v Achilleas K.88-59
03/03/24Achilleas K. v AEL55-71
08/12/23AEL v Achilleas K.82-41
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AETHA Engomi78-93
01/11/26HParalimni82-96
23/10/26AApoel BC62-84
16/10/26HApollon88-90 OT
10/10/26HKeravnos62-95
06/03/26HApoel BC80-90
13/02/26AAEL65-76
06/02/26HAEK Larnaca90-92
01/02/26AApollon73-82
25/01/26HKeravnos64-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.477.370.0
Allowed / game91.693.788.5
Point differential-17.2-16.3-18.5
Avg total166.0171.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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