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AEL vs Achilleas K. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-65
23-16 23-15 11-21 19-13
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game80.7
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
vs
Achilleas K.
Cyprus
Position#10
Record2-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.8
CyprusDivision ARound 17· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEL v Achilleas K.
04 Jan 2027
AEL v ACHI
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
AEL76
ACHI65
10 Nov 2024
AEL88
ACHI59
08 Dec 2023
AEL82
ACHI41
02 Dec 2022
AEL94
ACHI64
13 Nov 2021
AEL90
ACHI65
28 Oct 2011
AEL20
ACHI0
23 Oct 2010
AEL58
ACHI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 72
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 72
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 72
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
54avg 72
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
48avg 72
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
106avg 72
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
105-83
105
83
+22
no box
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
94avg 72
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 72
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
87avg 72
A07/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
33-19
20-16
13-21
12-15
20-12
21-22
25-23
21-26
25-14
22-18
16-24
12-20
18-21
14-25
18-21
22-13
14-17
11-20
16-15
28-14
17-20
34-21
24-34
22-23
27-15
28-18
28-27
26-14
16-26
20-17
30-18
17-15
19-15
22-24
17-20
24-24
17-19
15-23
37-23
162.7Avg total
83.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.480.7163.1+1.769%
Season at home (8)81.282.1163.4-0.962%
Season away (8)83.579.2162.8+4.275%
Last 10 (10)83.479.3162.7+4.180%
Last 5 (5)93.682.0175.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.483.6159.0-8.220%
vs Similar (7)84.481.3165.7+3.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.075.1163.1+12.992%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 62
H14/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
64avg 62
H05/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
52avg 62
A12/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
76avg 62
A20/12
Division A
Morphou
#8
L
65-71
65
71
-6
36avg 62
H04/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 62
A11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
67-57
67
57
+10
no box
H16/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
64-94
64
94
-30
52avg 62
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 62
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 62
H06/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
21-24
15-22
17-9
15-12
12-20
22-21
23-25
15-23
12-23
19-18
19-21
18-15
13-22
21-17
20-18
16-14
21-18
9-24
19-15
21-22
26-25
21-16
18-26
14-12
14-16
28-13
11-16
13-21
19-22
20-30
12-21
18-20
16-16
15-26
24-20
20-24
20-24
23-29
27-15
154.4Avg total
73.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.782.8154.5-11.112%
Season at home (8)72.181.4153.5-9.212%
Season away (8)71.284.2155.5-13.012%
Last 10 (10)73.680.8154.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)76.082.8158.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.986.9157.8-16.012%
vs Similar (4)76.581.8158.2-5.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
AELAchilleas K.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paralimni
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H17/01
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/02
Division A
76.6Avg total
40.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.880.9+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.838.881.6+4.079%-
Last 30 away (16)41.538.980.4+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.376.6+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.240.478.6-2.250%-
vs Similar (7)43.339.682.9+3.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.537.281.7+7.285%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H05/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A12/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A20/12
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H04/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A11/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H16/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H25/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H06/02
Division A
74.2Avg total
34.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.742.376.0-8.517%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.041.575.5-7.520%-
Last 30 away (15)33.543.076.5-9.513%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.874.2-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)33.443.376.7-10.012%-
vs Similar (4)36.035.271.2+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.4
54.6%
51.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
71.5%13.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.1
44.4%
51.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.6
31.3%
32.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.3
68.3%
71.5%12.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
WWWWWLLWWW
Achilleas K.
LLLWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#10
+2.9
Net rating
-17.0
104.0
Offensive rating
90.1
101.1
Defensive rating
107.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
45.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
31.3%
62.6%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 90.1Defence101.1 · 107.1Shooting51.8% · 45.5%3-point %31.7% · 31.3%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.4% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ AEL   ■ Achilleas K.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
AEL wins
2
Achilleas K. wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Achilleas K. v AEL72-78
07/03/25Achilleas K. v AEL58-87
13/01/25Achilleas K. v AEL47-78
10/11/24AEL v Achilleas K.88-59
03/03/24Achilleas K. v AEL55-71
08/12/23AEL v Achilleas K.82-41
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
13/11/21AEL v Achilleas K.90-65
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AAnorthosis93-89
02/02/26HParalimni75-74
24/01/26AMorphou92-75
17/01/26HETHA Engomi105-83
12/01/26AApoel BC103-89
04/01/26AKeravnos63-65
19/12/25HAEK Larnaca62-87
12/12/25HAnorthosis84-82
05/12/25AAchilleas K.78-72
15/11/25AParalimni79-77
Achilleas K.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HAEK Larnaca90-92
01/02/26AApollon73-82
25/01/26HKeravnos64-94
16/01/26HAnorthosis67-57
11/01/26AParalimni86-89
04/01/26HMorphou65-71
20/12/25AETHA Engomi81-80 OT
12/12/25AAEK Larnaca65-85
05/12/25HAEL72-78
14/11/25HApollon73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%62%75%
Points / game82.481.283.5
Allowed / game80.782.179.2
Point differential+1.7-0.9+4.2
Avg total163.1163.4162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Achilleas K.
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLLWLL12%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %12%12%12%
Points / game71.772.171.2
Allowed / game82.881.484.2
Point differential-11.1-9.2-13.0
Avg total154.5153.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca16160100%88.971.5+17.4
2 Keravnos1615194%90.471.7+18.8
3 AEL1611569%82.480.7+1.7
4 Apoel BC168850%79.284.1-4.9
5 Apollon167944%85.386.4-1.1
6 Paralimni1661038%81.380.8+0.6
7 Anorthosis1661038%74.478.4-4.0
8 Morphou1661038%78.884.5-5.8
9 ETHA Engomi1631319%82.293.7-11.4
10 Achilleas K.1621412%71.782.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2323111976
Achilleas K.1615211365
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