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Achilleas K. vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-78
15-12 12-20 22-21 23-25
Position#10
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game85.3
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#3
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game82.1
CyprusDivision ARound 9· Palouriotissas Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Achilleas K. v AEL
27 Nov 2026
ACHI v AEL
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
ACHI72
AEL78
07 Mar 2025
ACHI58
AEL87
13 Jan 2025
ACHI47
AEL78
03 Mar 2024
ACHI55
AEL71
07 Feb 2023
ACHI88
AEL68
06 Feb 2022
ACHI91
AEL85
17 Dec 2011
ACHI0
AEL20
25 Feb 2011
ACHI64
AEL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Achilleas K. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Achilleas K.CyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormK.
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 56
H29/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 56
A02/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
55avg 56
H23/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 56
A04/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
80-95
80
95
-15
67avg 56
H12/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
68avg 56
A17/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
60avg 56
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
56-69
56
69
-13
41avg 56
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
35avg 56
A08/11
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 56
H14/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-31
29-16
13-19
20-17
15-18
18-18
17-31
14-23
18-31
25-19
18-22
17-21
17-12
22-17
16-23
15-24
19-24
29-21
17-26
16-10
26-14
18-31
20-26
20-22
13-14
19-28
14-20
13-23
16-19
11-14
16-13
18-28
13-26
14-30
12-31
20-25
21-24
15-22
17-9
157.4Avg total
71.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.185.3154.4-16.10%
Season at home (3)73.086.3159.3-13.30%
Season away (4)66.284.5150.8-18.20%
Last 10 (10)71.286.2157.4-15.00%
Last 5 (5)66.485.8152.2-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.288.8156.0-21.67%
vs Similar (2)80.088.0168.0-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
49avg 74
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 74
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
74avg 74
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 74
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 74
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
63avg 74
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 74
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 74
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
77avg 74
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 74
A15/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-17
14-20
13-21
20-16
22-24
12-24
18-17
21-24
24-22
21-26
19-30
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
17-20
10-25
23-25
22-18
23-24
16-17
21-20
17-26
19-31
25-26
14-22
19-17
18-21
31-18
22-23
17-17
26-16
22-24
22-21
20-25
13-21
33-19
20-16
13-21
162.2Avg total
78.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.482.1162.6-1.757%
Season at home (4)81.082.8163.8-1.850%
Season away (3)79.781.3161.0-1.767%
Last 10 (10)78.683.6162.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)82.285.0167.2-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.884.9160.7-9.118%
vs Similar (3)78.778.3157.0+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.271.8160.0+16.488%
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
Achilleas K.AEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Achilleas K.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H29/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A04/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H12/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A17/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H26/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A08/11
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H14/11
Division A
77.8Avg total
35.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.344.477.7-11.113%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.843.876.6-11.014%-
Last 30 away (16)33.845.078.8-11.212%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.076.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.045.078.0-12.111%-
vs Similar (2)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/11
Division A
84.2Avg total
42.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.082.5+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.437.982.3+6.580%-
Last 30 away (15)42.640.182.7+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.884.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.488.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.241.881.0-2.636%-
vs Similar (3)45.043.388.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.236.382.5+9.988%-
This opponent (Achilleas K.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Achilleas K.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Achilleas K.: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.4
46.7%
51.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.8
28.2%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.810.6
63.1%
71.5%10.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.6
50.6%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.812.7
64.1%
71.5%12.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Achilleas K.
LLLLLLLLLL
AEL
WWWLLLWLLL
#10
League position
#3
-18.8
Net rating
-6.8
92.6
Offensive rating
104.9
111.5
Defensive rating
111.7
44.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.2%
3-point %
31.6%
57.6%
Assist %
56.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 104.9Defence111.5 · 111.7Shooting44.9% · 49.4%3-point %28.2% · 31.6%Ball care17.2% · 15.9%Off. rebounds26.8% · 30.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Achilleas K.   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Achilleas K. wins
8
AEL wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Achilleas K. v AEL58-87
13/01/25Achilleas K. v AEL47-78
10/11/24AEL v Achilleas K.88-59
03/03/24Achilleas K. v AEL55-71
08/12/23AEL v Achilleas K.82-41
07/02/23Achilleas K. v AEL88-68
02/12/22AEL v Achilleas K.94-64
06/02/22Achilleas K. v AEL91-85
13/11/21AEL v Achilleas K.90-65
17/12/11Achilleas K. v AEL0-20
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HApollon73-80
08/11/25AKeravnos57-115
02/11/25AAnorthosis56-69
26/10/25HParalimni66-84
17/10/25AMorphou80-81
12/10/25HETHA Engomi80-95
04/10/25AApoel BC72-73
23/04/25HAEK Larnaca75-95
02/04/25AETHA Engomi70-84
29/03/25HApollon83-86
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AParalimni79-77
09/11/25HMorphou90-86
01/11/25AETHA Engomi88-79
24/10/25HApoel BC77-96
19/10/25HKeravnos77-87
11/10/25AAEK Larnaca72-88
03/10/25HApollon80-62
07/05/25AKeravnos85-102
03/05/25HKeravnos72-81
30/04/25AKeravnos66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Achilleas K.
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.173.066.2
Allowed / game85.386.384.5
Point differential-16.1-13.3-18.2
Avg total154.4159.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game80.481.079.7
Allowed / game82.182.881.3
Point differential-1.7-1.8-1.7
Avg total162.6163.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca770100%90.072.6+17.4
2 Keravnos76186%86.470.0+16.4
3 AEL74357%80.482.1-1.7
4 Paralimni84450%80.576.8+3.8
5 Morphou84450%81.083.5-2.5
6 Apoel BC84450%78.484.5-6.1
7 Apollon73443%84.480.6+3.9
8 ETHA Engomi83538%81.687.8-6.1
9 Anorthosis72529%68.675.9-7.3
10 Achilleas K.7070%69.185.3-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Achilleas K.1512222372
AEL1220212578
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