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AEL vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game67.2
CyprusDivision ARound 27
Other2019-20
Meetings · AEL v AEK Larnaca
20 Nov 2026
AEL v ALA
upcoming
19 Dec 2025
AEL62
ALA87
12 Mar 2025
AEL76
ALA57
18 Jan 2025
AEL66
ALA80
05 Apr 2024
AEL63
ALA99
09 Oct 2023
AEL94
ALA96
05 Mar 2023
AEL76
ALA91
11 Dec 2021
AEL62
ALA95
08 Nov 2020
AEL60
ALA73
04 Apr 2020
AEL v ALA
upcoming
18 Dec 2019
AEL69
ALA82
22 Dec 2018
AEL80
ALA81
24 Jan 2015
AEL0
ALA20
08 Nov 2013
AEL67
ALA88
09 Nov 2012
AEL78
ALA84
21 Jan 2012
AEL60
ALA71
19 Nov 2010
AEL67
ALA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H12/01
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A18/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H25/01
Division A
Omonia
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
A29/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H01/02
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A06/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H09/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H28/02
Division A
Omonia
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A07/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
11-18
20-15
17-16
21-19
15-16
19-26
20-20
14-15
22-11
24-16
19-21
15-23
13-15
18-28
12-23
20-8
15-11
9-20
19-15
19-14
9-21
20-24
19-22
21-6
24-18
10-20
26-16
16-29
26-29
17-28
8-10
27-14
13-29
10-16
12-21
18-29
19-19
10-11
18-17
142.9Avg total
68.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.678.9148.5-9.324%
Season at home (10)71.174.7145.8-3.640%
Season away (11)68.382.7151.0-14.59%
Last 10 (10)68.074.9142.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)68.478.6147.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.081.4151.5-11.417%
vs Similar (5)82.076.6158.6+5.460%
vs Weaker (2)68.066.0134.0+2.050%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#3
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H11/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
80-50
80
50
+30
A18/01
Division A
Omonia
#6
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H26/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
96-67
96
67
+29
A29/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H02/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H05/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A08/02
Division A
Apollon
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H29/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A08/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H12/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-18
17-20
24-21
24-26
20-11
19-11
12-16
29-12
26-12
13-15
30-18
16-13
26-21
21-8
26-19
23-19
21-15
21-14
14-23
19-15
26-14
19-17
25-17
23-9
14-18
21-13
15-16
22-21
25-29
21-18
24-10
24-20
19-5
21-23
9-21
18-5
18-29
18-17
20-13
16-23
149.3Avg total
82.8Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.367.2149.5+15.186%
Season at home (11)82.769.3152.0+13.582%
Season away (10)81.964.9146.8+17.090%
Last 10 (10)82.866.5149.3+16.390%
Last 5 (5)79.667.6147.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.775.9148.6-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.866.2151.0+18.696%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +5.1+5.1
AELAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H12/01
Division A
Apollon
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A18/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H25/01
Division A
Omonia
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A29/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
35-19
35
19
+16
H01/02
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A06/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H09/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H28/02
Division A
Omonia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A07/03
Division A
71.7Avg total
35.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.475.6-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.636.272.9+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.842.278.0-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.471.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.680.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)34.440.074.5-5.626%-
vs Similar (5)44.039.683.6+4.440%-
vs Weaker (2)36.532.068.5+4.550%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H11/01
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
39-22
39
22
+17
A18/01
Division A
Omonia
#6
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H26/01
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A29/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H02/02
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H05/02
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A08/02
Division A
Apollon
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H29/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A08/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/03
Division A
74.3Avg total
41.5Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.274.3+5.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.535.075.5+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)39.533.472.9+6.179%-
Last 10 (10)41.532.874.3+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.677.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)32.737.970.6-5.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.333.175.4+9.191%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
AEL wins
10
AEK Larnaca wins
DateGameScore
18/12/19AEL v AEK Larnaca69-82
25/10/19AEK Larnaca v AEL84-77
20/03/19AEK Larnaca v AEL93-57
22/12/18AEL v AEK Larnaca80-81
03/11/18AEK Larnaca v AEL82-76 OT
13/02/15AEK Larnaca v AEL20-0
24/01/15AEL v AEK Larnaca0-20
06/12/14AEK Larnaca v AEL20-0
24/01/14AEK Larnaca v AEL100-52
06/12/13AEK Larnaca v AEL93-48
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AOmonia65-76
28/02/20HETHA Engomi62-80
12/02/20AApoel BC67-96
09/02/20HParalimni81-60
06/02/20AApollon67-81
01/02/20HApop Paphou63-54
29/01/20AOmonia58-89
25/01/20HParalimni79-63
18/01/20AApollon75-81
12/01/20HApoel BC63-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/20HApoel BC72-82
08/03/20AParalimni67-54
29/02/20HApollon94-77
08/02/20AKeravnos72-68
05/02/20HApop Paphou93-57
02/02/20HETHA Engomi75-67
29/01/20AApop Paphou96-67
26/01/20HOmonia85-58
18/01/20AParalimni80-50
11/01/20HApollon94-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%40%9%
Points / game69.671.168.3
Allowed / game78.974.782.7
Point differential-9.3-3.6-14.5
Avg total148.5145.8151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWL82%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%82%90%
Points / game82.382.781.9
Allowed / game67.269.364.9
Point differential+15.1+13.5+17.0
Avg total149.5152.0146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%55%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos2119290%83.367.0+16.2
2 AEK Larnaca2118386%82.367.2+15.1
3 Apollon2113862%80.177.8+2.4
4 Apoel BC22111150%73.973.3+0.5
5 Paralimni22101245%70.574.4-3.9
6 Omonia2191243%74.875.5-0.7
7 ETHA Engomi2191243%77.678.5-1.0
8 AEL2151624%69.678.9-9.3
9 Apop Paphou222209%63.582.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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