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AEK Larnaca vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-57
19-18 26-12 23-7 25-20
Position#1
Record15-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#7
Record7-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game76.3
CyprusDivision ARound 20
Other2018-19
Meetings · AEK Larnaca v AEL
02 Jan 2027
ALA v AEL
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
ALA78
AEL71
11 Oct 2025
ALA88
AEL72
01 Dec 2024
ALA89
AEL70
20 Mar 2024
ALA93
AEL81
21 Dec 2022
ALA118
AEL103
05 Mar 2022
ALA84
AEL65
23 Dec 2020
ALA87
AEL58
25 Oct 2019
ALA84
AEL77
20 Mar 2019
ALA93
AEL57
03 Nov 2018
ALA82
AEL76
13 Feb 2015
ALA20
AEL0
06 Dec 2014
ALA20
AEL0
24 Jan 2014
ALA100
AEL52
06 Dec 2013
ALA93
AEL48
25 Jan 2013
ALA86
AEL38
23 Dec 2012
ALA81
AEL67
27 Nov 2011
ALA88
AEL82
22 Jan 2011
ALA92
AEL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H16/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H19/01
Division A
Varese
#4
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H26/01
Division A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H10/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A14/02
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H27/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A03/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
16-14
20-19
19-19
21-13
23-18
18-16
22-17
22-21
17-14
12-19
8-20
20-19
18-18
20-18
18-4
29-11
14-16
18-20
19-23
21-30
30-20
17-19
13-24
19-19
21-13
15-14
20-21
19-15
14-19
25-10
11-26
28-14
18-14
21-19
17-17
23-19
33-24
19-20
26-23
150.8Avg total
79.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.171.2151.3+8.979%
Season at home (10)76.365.7142.0+10.690%
Season away (9)84.377.3161.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)79.271.6150.8+7.670%
Last 5 (5)82.076.0158.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.081.7155.7-7.742%
vs Similar (3)76.078.3154.3-2.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.270.1151.3+11.187%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H22/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A28/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H07/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A12/01
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H19/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A28/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A13/02
Division A
Omonia
#5
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A26/02
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H02/03
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-14
22-21
16-22
23-22
22-17
16-20
12-21
18-12
23-12
13-10
16-25
26-20
22-17
12-28
19-19
23-14
20-12
11-24
26-11
15-28
15-20
23-14
17-22
19-29
24-17
31-15
19-25
24-26
18-23
15-16
17-20
19-26
23-22
26-25
16-15
19-15
31-14
14-21
15-13
155.3Avg total
78.2Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.776.3150.9-1.637%
Season at home (9)76.771.7148.3+5.067%
Season away (10)72.980.4153.3-7.510%
Last 10 (10)78.277.1155.3+1.140%
Last 5 (5)80.081.2161.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)27.742.370.1-14.66%
vs Similar (12)76.775.6152.2+1.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
AEK LarnacaAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H16/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H19/01
Division A
Varese
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Omonia
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/01
Division A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#1
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H10/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/02
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H27/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A03/03
Division A
78.2Avg total
43.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.977.3+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.834.372.1+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.242.083.2-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)43.434.878.2+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.482.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.339.579.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (3)30.341.772.0-11.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.435.976.3+4.560%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H22/12
Division A
Apollon
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A28/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H07/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#3
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/01
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H19/01
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/01
Division A
Apollon
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A13/02
Division A
Omonia
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/02
Division A
Paralimni
#8
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H02/03
Division A
81.0Avg total
42.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)38.738.477.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.334.974.2+4.467%-
Last 30 away (10)38.241.679.8-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.481.0+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.085.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.438.473.9-3.043%-
vs Similar (12)40.738.479.1+2.258%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
AEK Larnaca wins
0
AEL wins
DateGameScore
22/12/18AEL v AEK Larnaca80-81
03/11/18AEK Larnaca v AEL82-76 OT
13/02/15AEK Larnaca v AEL20-0
24/01/15AEL v AEK Larnaca0-20
06/12/14AEK Larnaca v AEL20-0
24/01/14AEK Larnaca v AEL100-52
06/12/13AEK Larnaca v AEL93-48
08/11/13AEL v AEK Larnaca67-88
25/01/13AEK Larnaca v AEL86-38
23/12/12AEK Larnaca v AEL81-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AETHA Engomi101-86
27/02/19HApollon84-64
14/02/19AKeravnos69-70
10/02/19HApoel BC75-67
06/02/19ASassari81-93
30/01/19ADonar Groningen80-70
26/01/19HOmonia76-59
23/01/19HVarese59-74
19/01/19HETHA Engomi84-64
16/01/19HApoel BC83-69
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/19HParalimni79-63
26/02/19AOmonia84-88
13/02/19AETHA Engomi74-85
02/02/19HApollon93-86
28/01/19AKeravnos70-84
19/01/19HParalimni80-61
12/01/19AApoel BC79-84
07/01/19HETHA Engomi70-59
28/12/18AApollon73-80
22/12/18HAEK Larnaca80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
Division A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game80.176.384.3
Allowed / game71.265.777.3
Point differential+8.9+10.6+7.0
Avg total151.3142.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %16%10%22%
AEL
Division A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%67%10%
Points / game74.776.772.9
Allowed / game76.371.780.4
Point differential-1.6+5.0-7.5
Avg total150.9148.3153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca1915479%80.171.2+8.9
2 Keravnos1914574%79.871.9+7.9
3 Apoel BC1911858%76.373.2+3.1
4 Apollon1991047%76.278.8-2.6
5 ETHA Engomi1981142%74.076.1-2.1
6 AEL1971237%74.776.3-1.6
7 Omonia1971237%68.376.5-8.3
8 Paralimni1951426%72.978.3-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1926232593
AEL181272057
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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