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AEL vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 77-87
23-24 16-17 21-20 17-26
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.0
CyprusDivision ARound 3· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
75avg 76
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
89avg 76
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-87
60
87
-27
49avg 76
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
73avg 76
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
96-66
96
66
+30
48avg 76
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
49avg 76
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 76
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
85-102
85
102
-17
74avg 76
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 76
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 76
A11/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
17-24
20-29
26-24
20-13
23-23
24-14
19-22
22-22
17-34
7-22
14-9
19-15
19-20
19-21
20-13
25-9
25-15
22-24
24-18
20-20
19-17
14-20
13-21
20-16
22-24
12-24
18-17
21-24
24-22
21-26
19-30
28-20
17-13
21-19
14-10
17-20
10-25
23-25
22-18
158.6Avg total
78.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.075.0151.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)72.088.0160.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)78.180.5158.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)75.082.2157.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.483.8158.2-9.518%
vs Similar (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
vs Weaker (18)89.471.3160.7+18.183%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
109-68
109
68
+41
122avg 87
A23/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
77avg 87
H30/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
81-72
81
72
+9
82avg 87
A03/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
102-85
102
85
+17
108avg 87
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
78avg 87
A14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
86avg 87
H17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
86avg 87
A20/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
61avg 87
A06/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
81avg 87
H11/10
Division A
BC Prievidza
#22
L
68-82
68
82
-14
48avg 87
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
20-23
33-11
30-14
20-20
17-19
20-14
21-13
16-20
24-22
24-12
17-18
24-21
22-24
26-21
30-19
17-18
20-26
19-20
28-27
31-25
18-33
22-12
12-17
17-26
24-22
23-19
21-18
18-25
18-16
14-17
19-18
28-20
19-18
20-16
19-16
14-27
11-19
24-24
19-12
165.0Avg total
85.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)86.070.0156.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)69.076.0145.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.479.6165.0+5.850%
Last 5 (5)80.082.8162.8-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
vs Similar (7)79.186.1165.3-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)97.479.0176.3+18.491%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +4.4+4.4
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A07/05
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A11/10
Division A
80.8Avg total
40.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.681.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.836.381.1+8.587%-
Last 30 away (15)41.840.982.7+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.980.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.441.680.0-3.336%-
vs Similar (1)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (18)46.237.183.3+9.183%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A23/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H07/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H17/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/10
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H11/10
Division A
BC Prievidza
#22
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.8Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.342.288.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.642.493.0+8.273%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.484.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.285.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.046.071.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (7)39.645.985.4-6.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)49.440.890.2+8.677%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.5
49.9%
51.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.4
29.6%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
71.5%11.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.2
56.1%
51.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.6
37.8%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.211.3
65.7%
71.5%11.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWLLLWWLWL
Keravnos
LWLLLLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
-5.0
Net rating
+7.4
102.0
Offensive rating
113.1
107.0
Defensive rating
105.7
47.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.6%
3-point %
37.8%
61.6%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 113.1Defence107.0 · 105.7Shooting47.8% · 56.3%3-point %29.6% · 37.8%Ball care16.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 34.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ AEL   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEL wins
8
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
07/05/25Keravnos v AEL102-85
03/05/25AEL v Keravnos72-81
30/04/25Keravnos v AEL78-66
16/03/25Keravnos v AEL100-87
31/01/25AEL v Keravnos94-91
12/12/24Keravnos v AEL81-69
22/04/24AEL v Keravnos61-75
29/01/24AEL v Keravnos62-71
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
15/03/23AEL v Keravnos78-92
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AAEK Larnaca72-88
03/10/25HApollon80-62
07/05/25AKeravnos85-102
03/05/25HKeravnos72-81
30/04/25AKeravnos66-78
23/04/25AApollon96-66
15/04/25HParalimni77-69
01/04/25AApoel BC60-87
29/03/25HAnorthosis86-72
16/03/25AKeravnos87-100
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/25ABC Prievidza68-82
11/10/25HParalimni86-70
06/10/25AAEK Larnaca69-76
20/05/25AAEK Larnaca94-99 OT
17/05/25HAEK Larnaca83-87
14/05/25AAEK Larnaca84-91
07/05/25HAEL102-85
03/05/25AAEL81-72
30/04/25HAEL78-66
23/04/25AETHA Engomi109-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.080.072.0
Allowed / game75.062.088.0
Point differential+1.0+18.0-16.0
Avg total151.0142.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.586.069.0
Allowed / game73.070.076.0
Point differential+4.5+16.0-7.0
Avg total150.5156.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca220100%82.070.5+11.5
2 Morphou330100%84.077.7+6.3
3 Apoel BC220100%81.580.0+1.5
4 ETHA Engomi32167%79.778.3+1.3
5 Keravnos21150%77.573.0+4.5
6 AEL21150%76.075.0+1.0
7 Anorthosis21150%70.071.0-1.0
8 Achilleas K.3030%77.383.0-5.7
9 Apollon3030%78.085.3-7.3
10 Paralimni2020%77.086.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2316211777
Keravnos2417202687
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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