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AEL vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-81
20-16 22-24 12-24 18-17
Position#3
Record17-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game74.4
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Keravnos 🏆
Cyprus
Position#2
Record21-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game79.2
CyprusDivision ADivision A - Semi-finals· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
91-81
91
81
+10
88avg 79
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
100-70
100
70
+30
98avg 79
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 79
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
76-57
76
57
+19
71avg 79
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
75avg 79
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
86-72
86
72
+14
89avg 79
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-87
60
87
-27
49avg 79
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
73avg 79
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
96-66
96
66
+30
48avg 79
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
49avg 79
A30/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
31-18
24-23
16-15
29-16
27-19
20-20
24-15
16-19
25-10
24-20
22-9
16-14
18-19
20-13
22-11
24-23
17-24
20-29
26-24
20-13
23-23
24-14
19-22
22-22
17-34
7-22
14-9
19-15
19-20
19-21
20-13
25-9
25-15
22-24
24-18
20-20
19-17
14-20
13-21
156.4Avg total
82.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.574.4159.8+11.168%
Season at home (12)89.970.7160.6+19.292%
Season away (13)81.477.8159.2+3.646%
Last 10 (10)82.673.8156.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)77.074.4151.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.783.0154.7-11.320%
vs Similar (1)69.074.0143.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (19)89.971.4161.3+18.584%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
103avg 86
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
113-84
113
84
+29
111avg 86
H28/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
82-85
82
85
-3
72avg 86
A07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
W
100-87
100
87
+13
94avg 86
H16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
85avg 86
A23/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
112-97
112
97
+15
108avg 86
H28/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
87-62
87
62
+25
79avg 86
A01/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
98avg 86
H16/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
109-68
109
68
+41
122avg 86
A23/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
77avg 86
H30/04
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
24-16
22-17
23-21
27-18
32-14
28-26
26-26
20-21
19-28
20-19
23-17
23-24
24-17
29-20
24-26
17-19
24-21
22-19
26-20
27-23
27-27
26-20
32-27
21-16
22-17
17-18
27-11
22-14
23-24
26-19
25-24
26-20
20-23
33-11
30-14
20-20
17-19
20-14
21-13
174.4Avg total
96.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)95.579.2174.7+16.384%
Season at home (13)99.883.9183.7+15.892%
Season away (12)90.874.1164.9+16.875%
Last 10 (10)96.478.0174.4+18.490%
Last 5 (5)96.474.8171.2+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.390.3177.7-3.033%
vs Similar (3)74.783.3158.0-8.70%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)97.079.3176.3+17.688%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A12/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H27/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A07/03
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/03
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A23/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A30/04
Division A
80.7Avg total
43.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.081.6+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.337.681.9+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.281.3+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.580.7+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.679.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.242.880.0-5.630%-
vs Similar (1)28.040.068.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (19)46.236.983.2+9.384%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A11/02
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
59-32
59
32
+27
H28/02
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A07/03
Division A
AEL
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H16/03
Division A
Anorthosis
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H28/03
Division A
Paralimni
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A01/04
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/04
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A23/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/04
Division A
86.2Avg total
46.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.541.088.5+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.641.893.4+9.875%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.082.9+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.886.2+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.685.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.341.784.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (3)38.043.381.3-5.30%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)49.340.689.9+8.875%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.221.8
48.2%
51.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
70.5%13.7
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.626.2
60.1%
51.5%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.8
39.4%
34.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
70.5%10.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWLWLWWWW
Keravnos
WWWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+7.7
Net rating
+23.1
106.7
Offensive rating
121.5
99.0
Defensive rating
98.4
47.5%
Effective FG%
59.7%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.9%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.8%
3-point %
39.4%
64.9%
Assist %
60.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 121.5Defence99.0 · 98.4Shooting47.5% · 59.7%3-point %30.8% · 39.4%Ball care15.4% · 14.9%Off. rebounds35.2% · 31.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ AEL   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEL wins
8
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
30/04/25Keravnos v AEL78-66
16/03/25Keravnos v AEL100-87
31/01/25AEL v Keravnos94-91
12/12/24Keravnos v AEL81-69
22/04/24AEL v Keravnos61-75
29/01/24AEL v Keravnos62-71
12/11/23Keravnos v AEL74-80
15/03/23AEL v Keravnos78-92
07/12/22Keravnos v AEL103-82
17/02/22AEL v Keravnos67-81
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25AKeravnos66-78
23/04/25AApollon96-66
15/04/25HParalimni77-69
01/04/25AApoel BC60-87
29/03/25HAnorthosis86-72
16/03/25AKeravnos87-100
12/03/25HAEK Larnaca76-57
07/03/25AAchilleas K.87-58
27/02/25HETHA Engomi100-70
12/02/25AApollon91-81
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HAEL78-66
23/04/25AETHA Engomi109-68
16/04/25HApollon96-81
01/04/25AParalimni87-62
28/03/25HApoel BC112-97
23/03/25AAnorthosis89-79
16/03/25HAEL100-87
07/03/25AAEK Larnaca82-85
28/02/25HAchilleas K.113-84
11/02/25AETHA Engomi98-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%92%46%
Points / game85.589.981.4
Allowed / game74.470.777.8
Point differential+11.1+19.2+3.6
Avg total159.8160.6159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
Division A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %84%92%75%
Points / game95.599.890.8
Allowed / game79.283.974.1
Point differential+16.3+15.8+16.8
Avg total174.7183.7164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%85%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca2524196%86.269.8+16.4
2 Keravnos2521484%95.579.2+16.3
3 AEL2517868%85.574.4+11.1
4 Anorthosis25141156%86.081.4+4.6
5 Apoel BC24131154%82.580.3+2.2
6 Paralimni2491538%78.182.8-4.6
7 Apollon2471729%82.792.8-10.1
8 ETHA Engomi2432112%73.689.3-15.7
9 Achilleas K.242228%67.890.0-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEL2022121872
Keravnos1624241781
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