Aguada faces Hebraica y Macabi in the Liga Uruguaya on 13 November 2026, with the model favouring Aguada at 72% to 28% and projecting a 86-80 win for the home side. Aguada, 3-3 overall with 76.3 points scored and 76.8 allowed per game, sits 6th in the league and has a 1-1 home record of 75.0 points for and against; their last five games include two losses and a win, notably a 66-82 defeat to Penarol away on 11 November and a 84-57 victory over Atenas away on 30 October. Hebraica y Macabi, 3-2 overall with 84.6 points scored and 81.4 allowed, occupies 4th place and is 1-1 on the road with 84.5 points for and 85.0 against; their recent five games feature three wins and two losses, including a 96-76 home win over Union Atletica on 10 November and a 78-84 home loss to Malvin on 31 October. Historically, the teams have met ten times with Aguada winning nine and Hebraica y Macabi one, the last encounter ending 85-81 in favour of Aguada on 12 May 2026. The spread of -2.5 gives Aguada a 66% chance to cover, while the over line of 164.75 has a 53% probability, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.3 | 76.8 | 153.2 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 75.0 | 75.0 | 150.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 77.0 | 77.8 | 154.8 | -0.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.1 | 80.0 | 159.1 | -0.9 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.0 | 76.0 | 151.0 | -1.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 85.6 | 89.7 | 175.3 | -4.1 | 38% |
| vs Similar (2) | 79.0 | 86.0 | 165.0 | -7.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 85.6 | 78.3 | 163.9 | +7.2 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 84.6 | 81.4 | 166.0 | +3.2 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 79.0 | 163.7 | +5.7 | 67% |
| Season away (2) | 84.5 | 85.0 | 169.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.2 | 80.9 | 160.1 | -1.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.6 | 81.4 | 166.0 | +3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 80.8 | 88.2 | 168.9 | -7.4 | 8% |
| vs Similar (9) | 87.8 | 89.8 | 177.6 | -2.0 | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 88.6 | 80.6 | 169.2 | +8.0 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.0 | 45.4 | 91.4 | +0.5 | 53% | 80% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 47.5 | 43.7 | 91.2 | +3.8 | 62% | 77% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 44.8 | 46.8 | 91.6 | -1.9 | 47% | 82% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.3 | 43.4 | 88.7 | +1.9 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.8 | 42.4 | 86.2 | +1.4 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 46.1 | 47.5 | 93.6 | -1.4 | 44% | 94% |
| vs Similar (2) | 46.5 | 44.5 | 91.0 | +2.0 | 100% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 45.7 | 42.8 | 88.5 | +2.8 | 58% | 58% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.2 | 44.1 | 88.3 | +0.1 | 43% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.7 | 43.0 | 87.7 | +1.7 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.6 | 45.4 | 88.9 | -1.8 | 36% | 79% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 40.7 | 83.2 | +1.8 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.4 | 40.0 | 84.4 | +4.4 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 42.1 | 46.2 | 88.3 | -4.2 | 31% | 77% |
| vs Similar (9) | 46.4 | 45.8 | 92.2 | +0.7 | 33% | 78% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 45.0 | 38.8 | 83.8 | +6.2 | 75% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aguada +1 | 74.0% | 1.61 | 1.61 | - | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Lost |
| Aguada -1 | 71.7% | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +16.5pp | Lost |
| Aguada +1.5 | 74.6% | 1.50 | 1.58 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | +16.0pp | Lost |
| Aguada over 79.5 | 74.8% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Lost |
| Aguada over 77.5 | 80.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Lost |
| Aguada win | 72.4% | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.58 | +13.5pp | Lost |
| Aguada +2.5 | 77.9% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Lost |
| Aguada over 78.5 | 77.8% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Lost |
| Aguada over 80.5 | 71.6% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Lost |
| Aguada +3.5 | 80.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Lost |
| Aguada over 76.5 | 83.2% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Aguada +6.5 | 86.8% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Aguada over 73.5 | 89.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Aguada over 72.5 | 91.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Won |
| Aguada over 74.5 | 87.7% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Aguada +11.5 | 93.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Aguada +16.5 | 97.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 87.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | 1.29 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Aguada +21.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 91.5 | 87.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 89.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 85.5 | 72.1% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 93.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 76.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 95.5 | 93.3% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 90.5 | 85.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 85.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 91.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi under 86.5 | 75.1% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 94.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 83.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 90.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 75.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Aguada under 100.5 | 91.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi +23.5 | 92.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Under 189.5 | 92.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 67.5 | 87.9% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 70.5 | 80.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 69.5 | 83.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Under 188.5 | 91.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.8pp | Won |
| Aguada under 98.5 | 88.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.1pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 87.0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 79.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 71.5 | 78.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Aguada under 96.5 | 84.4% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -0.0pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 85.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 70.5% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi over 73.5 | 71.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi +18.5 | 84.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Aguada under 94.5 | 79.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.3pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 78.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.4pp | Won |
| Aguada under 92.5 | 73.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Aguada under 93.5 | 76.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Hebraica y Macabi +13.5 | 72.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.9 | 18.9 | 50.3% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.2 | 9.2 | 32.1% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.9 | 15.0 | 70.5% | 15.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.7 | 22.4 | 50.3% | 44.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.0 | 7.4 | 32.1% | 22.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 12.2 | 70.5% | 12.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 81-85 |
| 09/05/26 | Aguada v Hebraica y Macabi | 84-74 |
| 07/05/26 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 73-78 |
| 15/04/26 | Aguada v Hebraica y Macabi | 102-100 |
| 16/03/26 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 77-97 |
| 16/02/26 | Aguada v Hebraica y Macabi | 85-80 |
| 14/11/25 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 79-78 |
| 04/02/25 | Aguada v Hebraica y Macabi | 95-86 |
| 03/12/24 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 83-102 |
| 02/04/24 | Hebraica y Macabi v Aguada | 86-113 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWLL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 76.3 | 75.0 | 77.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.8 | 75.0 | 77.8 |
| Point differential | -0.5 | +0.0 | -0.8 |
| Avg total | 153.2 | 150.0 | 154.8 |
| Over 162.75 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWW | 60% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Points / game | 84.6 | 84.7 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 81.4 | 79.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +3.2 | +5.7 | -0.5 |
| Avg total | 166.0 | 163.7 | 169.5 |
| Over 162.75 | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 89.2 | 72.0 | +17.2 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 93.0 | 84.9 | +8.1 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 93.5 | 83.7 | +9.8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 84.6 | 81.4 | +3.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.0 | 78.6 | +1.4 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.3 | 76.8 | -0.5 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.5 | 79.7 | -3.2 | |
| 8 | Larranaga | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 84.7 | 86.2 | -1.5 |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 87.0 | 90.7 | -3.7 | |
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.9 | 79.7 | -1.9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 71.0 | 88.7 | -17.7 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 78.3 | 85.9 | -7.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 77 | |
| 21 | 7 | 32 | 22 | 82 |
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