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Aguada vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 May 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 100-95
31-27 32-15 18-29 19-24
Position#1
Record26-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.8
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record21-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game76.8
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Aguada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Malvin
26 Mar 2026
AGUA88
MALV64
24 Oct 2025
AGUA94
MALV82
12 May 2025
AGUA111
MALV99
05 May 2025
AGUA93
MALV80
25 Apr 2025
AGUA96
MALV99
11 Mar 2025
AGUA85
MALV90
07 Feb 2025
AGUA71
MALV70
08 May 2024
AGUA100
MALV95
29 Apr 2024
AGUA91
MALV67
23 Nov 2023
AGUA87
MALV85
21 Jan 2023
AGUA74
MALV85
21 Jan 2022
AGUA88
MALV79
10 Dec 2019
AGUA56
MALV61
24 May 2019
AGUA v MALV
upcoming
14 May 2019
AGUA90
MALV87
05 Mar 2019
AGUA72
MALV81
31 Jan 2019
AGUA89
MALV98
29 May 2018
AGUA72
MALV77
21 May 2018
AGUA76
MALV79
15 May 2018
AGUA101
MALV64
08 May 2018
AGUA71
MALV86
05 Jan 2018
AGUA79
MALV72
14 Feb 2017
AGUA77
MALV70
18 Nov 2016
AGUA93
MALV77
09 Dec 2014
AGUA67
MALV82
28 Oct 2014
AGUA80
MALV72
11 Dec 2013
AGUA76
MALV91
08 Nov 2013
AGUA63
MALV78
10 Apr 2013
AGUA85
MALV81
01 Apr 2013
AGUA83
MALV71
19 Oct 2012
AGUA62
MALV76
16 Nov 2011
AGUA73
MALV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 85
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
94avg 85
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
70avg 85
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
113-86
113
86
+27
115avg 85
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
88avg 85
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 85
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
97-74
97
74
+23
101avg 85
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 85
A24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 85
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
83-81
83
81
+2
75avg 85
A02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
20-19
15-16
35-33
18-24
29-25
32-15
24-25
22-24
19-22
16-22
25-20
28-22
30-19
31-25
24-20
24-18
18-25
24-23
21-17
18-23
26-25
20-18
13-16
24-19
31-21
30-18
12-16
27-19
15-32
17-20
26-20
17-25
28-13
29-18
17-11
21-21
19-15
24-27
19-18
172.2Avg total
90.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)89.480.8170.2+8.676%
Season at home (17)90.680.9171.5+9.682%
Season away (17)88.380.6168.9+7.671%
Last 10 (10)90.082.2172.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)86.679.0165.6+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)87.087.3174.3-0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.079.8171.8+12.187%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
94avg 75
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
103-91
103
91
+12
102avg 75
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 75
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
80avg 75
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
74-99
74
99
-25
68avg 75
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
77-68
77
68
+9
68avg 75
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 75
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
79avg 75
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
17-25
34-13
18-25
32-24
29-27
17-22
25-18
22-11
31-20
23-25
14-26
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
21-20
20-21
22-20
19-21
21-31
20-20
23-20
10-28
24-19
18-11
13-19
22-19
25-17
13-28
18-29
11-17
21-21
15-19
27-24
18-19
139.1Avg total
71.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.476.8156.2+2.557%
Season at home (19)81.873.6155.4+8.268%
Season away (18)76.880.2157.0-3.444%
Last 10 (10)71.367.8139.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)77.485.4162.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.686.0159.6-12.40%
vs Similar (7)86.989.3176.1-2.429%
vs Weaker (18)77.268.0145.2+9.283%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.5-4.5
AguadaMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H13/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A02/05
Liga Uruguaya
87.0Avg total
44.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.541.789.3+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.641.389.9+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)46.542.188.6+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.642.487.0+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.687.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)43.944.488.3-0.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.740.989.6+7.778%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A19/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H21/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H02/05
Liga Uruguaya
85.2Avg total
44.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.441.283.6+1.146%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.239.984.1+4.350%-
Last 30 away (14)40.542.583.0-2.043%-
Last 10 (8)44.141.185.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.847.688.4-6.820%-
vs Similar (7)41.644.686.1-3.029%-
vs Weaker (16)43.237.880.9+5.462%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.516.4
55.6%
51.0%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.4
38.3%
33.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws20.516.0
78.0%
71.7%16.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.2
55.5%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.712.3
78.3%
71.7%12.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWLWLWWLWW
Malvin
LLWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#5
+9.5
Net rating
+3.7
114.6
Offensive rating
111.6
105.0
Defensive rating
107.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.3%
3-point %
36.3%
67.4%
Assist %
64.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 111.6Defence105.0 · 107.9Shooting56.6% · 55.0%3-point %38.3% · 36.3%Ball care16.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Aguada   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aguada wins
4
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
02/05/24Malvin v Aguada81-83
30/04/24Aguada v Malvin91-67
30/01/24Malvin v Aguada77-87
24/11/23Aguada v Malvin87-85
21/01/23Aguada v Malvin74-85
18/11/22Malvin v Aguada73-68
22/01/22Aguada v Malvin88-79
27/10/21Malvin v Aguada71-83
23/03/21Malvin v Aguada95-71
11/12/19Aguada v Malvin56-61
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24AMalvin83-81
30/04/24HMalvin91-67
24/04/24ADefensor85-91
19/04/24ACordon97-74
13/04/24HPenarol77-82
09/04/24ANacional87-83
02/04/24AHebraica y Macabi113-86
27/03/24HCordon82-88
24/03/24HNacional103-89
19/03/24APenarol82-81
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/24HAguada81-83
30/04/24AAguada67-91
21/04/24HUrupan77-68
19/04/24AUrupan74-99
17/04/24HUrupan88-86 OT
06/04/24HGoes20-0
03/04/24ALarre Borges20-0
01/04/24ATrouville90-82
29/03/24HBigua103-91
26/03/24AUrupan93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWLLW82%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %76%82%71%
Points / game89.490.688.3
Allowed / game80.880.980.6
Point differential+8.6+9.6+7.6
Avg total170.2171.5168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %57%68%44%
Points / game79.481.876.8
Allowed / game76.873.680.2
Point differential+2.5+8.2-3.4
Avg total156.2155.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3527877%82.972.4+10.5
2 Aguada3426876%89.480.8+8.6
3 Nacional34231168%84.778.7+6.1
4 Defensor33221167%81.379.0+2.3
5 Malvin37211657%79.476.8+2.5
6 Hebraica y Macabi34181653%81.281.9-0.7
7 Bigua35161946%82.381.8+0.4
8 Trouville41172441%74.978.5-3.6
9 Urupan37152241%76.379.1-2.8
10 Cordon35132237%71.175.0-3.9
11 CA Racing31233%83.081.7+1.3
12 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
13 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
14 Remeros Mercedes2020%77.585.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada31321819100
Malvin2715292495
← all games of the day
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