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Aguada vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 88-64
26-20 21-13 23-14 18-17
Position#3
Record18-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game85.7
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record17-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2025-26
Meetings · Aguada v Malvin
26 Mar 2026
AGUA88
MALV64
24 Oct 2025
AGUA94
MALV82
12 May 2025
AGUA111
MALV99
05 May 2025
AGUA93
MALV80
25 Apr 2025
AGUA96
MALV99
11 Mar 2025
AGUA85
MALV90
07 Feb 2025
AGUA71
MALV70
08 May 2024
AGUA100
MALV95
29 Apr 2024
AGUA91
MALV67
23 Nov 2023
AGUA87
MALV85
21 Jan 2023
AGUA74
MALV85
21 Jan 2022
AGUA88
MALV79
10 Dec 2019
AGUA56
MALV61
24 May 2019
AGUA v MALV
upcoming
14 May 2019
AGUA90
MALV87
05 Mar 2019
AGUA72
MALV81
31 Jan 2019
AGUA89
MALV98
29 May 2018
AGUA72
MALV77
21 May 2018
AGUA76
MALV79
15 May 2018
AGUA101
MALV64
08 May 2018
AGUA71
MALV86
05 Jan 2018
AGUA79
MALV72
14 Feb 2017
AGUA77
MALV70
18 Nov 2016
AGUA93
MALV77
09 Dec 2014
AGUA67
MALV82
28 Oct 2014
AGUA80
MALV72
11 Dec 2013
AGUA76
MALV91
08 Nov 2013
AGUA63
MALV78
10 Apr 2013
AGUA85
MALV81
01 Apr 2013
AGUA83
MALV71
19 Oct 2012
AGUA62
MALV76
16 Nov 2011
AGUA73
MALV70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
70avg 84
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 84
A04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
54-101
54
101
-47
53avg 84
H05/02
Champions League Americas
Goes
#10
W
70-64
70
64
+6
63avg 84
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
87avg 84
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 84
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
80avg 84
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 84
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 84
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
97-81
97
81
+16
94avg 84
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-24
17-24
16-22
25-30
16-20
8-24
13-20
11-28
14-26
21-26
8-21
11-10
18-21
26-9
15-24
25-16
19-20
25-15
21-25
27-22
24-23
14-19
20-16
29-35
27-23
17-22
19-18
22-20
30-19
14-25
20-16
24-26
22-15
20-21
31-15
22-18
26-24
21-14
28-25
164.4Avg total
80.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)92.185.7177.8+6.472%
Season at home (13)94.882.5177.4+12.3100%
Season away (12)89.189.1178.2+0.042%
Last 10 (10)80.783.7164.4-3.060%
Last 5 (5)91.483.2174.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.888.9167.7-10.136%
vs Similar (5)99.894.8194.6+5.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.781.6172.3+9.171%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
85-76
85
76
+9
79avg 74
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
96-102
96
102
-6
86avg 74
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
78avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
53-79
53
79
-26
41avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 74
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 74
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 74
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 74
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
58avg 74
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 74
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
22-13
18-28
18-10
32-25
27-21
14-32
23-24
22-16
24-20
24-12
16-16
18-20
12-24
13-13
10-22
30-24
23-19
15-13
15-31
22-30
15-13
20-16
22-14
26-17
17-23
33-9
14-27
22-18
24-19
21-30
18-16
17-19
15-25
20-26
15-26
20-27
27-16
24-22
19-23
163.8Avg total
81.4Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.081.6163.6+0.365%
Season at home (14)81.179.0160.1+2.179%
Season away (12)82.984.7167.6-1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.482.4163.8-1.060%
Last 5 (5)82.283.2165.4-1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.287.7166.9-8.433%
vs Similar (14)83.078.0161.0+5.079%
vs Weaker (4)90.087.0177.0+3.075%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.9-3.9
AguadaMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Minas
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
25-54
25
54
-29
H05/02
Champions League Americas
Goes
#10
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.9Avg total
43.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.344.590.7+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.543.189.6+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)46.046.192.1-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.686.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)50.645.095.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.745.488.1-2.645%-
vs Similar (5)50.444.695.0+5.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.643.791.3+3.971%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
85.6Avg total
44.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.284.6+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.483.2+0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)43.343.086.3+0.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.485.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.242.884.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.482.3+1.464%-
vs Weaker (4)48.246.594.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
53.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.5
31.0%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
70.9%15.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.5
57.2%
53.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.6
36.7%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.410.6
64.6%
70.9%10.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWLWWWLLL
Malvin
WLWWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#4
-3.1
Net rating
-1.0
90.5
Offensive rating
97.4
93.7
Defensive rating
98.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.0%
3-point %
36.7%
63.4%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 97.4Defence93.7 · 98.4Shooting50.5% · 56.2%3-point %31.0% · 36.7%Ball care15.3% · 14.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Aguada   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aguada wins
4
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Malvin v Aguada89-72
25/10/25Aguada v Malvin94-82
12/05/25Aguada v Malvin111-99 OT
09/05/25Malvin v Aguada76-83
06/05/25Aguada v Malvin93-80
30/04/25Malvin v Aguada87-83
25/04/25Aguada v Malvin96-99 OT
11/03/25Aguada v Malvin85-90
07/02/25Aguada v Malvin71-70
05/12/24Malvin v Aguada67-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HDefensor97-81
16/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-77
10/03/26HPenarol86-80
19/02/26ADefensor92-98
16/02/26HHebraica y Macabi85-80
13/02/26HUnion Atletica90-76
10/02/26HGoes70-64
05/02/26HBoca Juniors54-101
04/02/26AMinas62-94
30/01/26AWelcome74-86
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26ANacional90-88
19/03/26HPenarol67-96
17/03/26HDefensor85-83
12/03/26HHebraica y Macabi90-76
19/02/26HUnion Atletica79-73
11/02/26AHebraica y Macabi83-87
03/02/26ANacional53-79
30/01/26HUrunday86-64
26/01/26ABigua96-102
20/01/26HDefensor85-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %72%100%42%
Points / game92.194.889.1
Allowed / game85.782.589.1
Point differential+6.4+12.3+0.0
Avg total177.8177.4178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%79%50%
Points / game82.081.182.9
Allowed / game81.679.084.7
Point differential+0.3+2.1-1.8
Avg total163.6160.1167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2622485%88.274.3+14.0
2 Aguada2518772%92.185.7+6.4
3 Malvin2617965%82.081.6+0.3
4 Nacional2516964%92.482.6+9.8
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi27151256%84.184.4-0.4
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor27121544%85.285.6-0.4
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2621231888
Malvin2013141764
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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