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Aguada vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 77-82
18-23 26-25 20-18 13-16
Position#1
Record23-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record22-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game71.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aguada v Penarol
22 Jun 2026
AGUA92
PENA107
16 Jun 2026
AGUA92
PENA81
12 Jun 2026
AGUA78
PENA71
09 Mar 2026
AGUA86
PENA80
27 Jan 2026
AGUA91
PENA80
23 Jan 2026
AGUA v PENA
upcoming
14 Jan 2025
AGUA77
PENA69
14 Jun 2024
AGUA88
PENA74
06 Jun 2024
AGUA97
PENA90
12 Apr 2024
AGUA77
PENA82
27 Oct 2023
AGUA77
PENA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
96-86
96
86
+10
95avg 85
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
111-74
111
74
+37
115avg 85
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
104avg 85
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 85
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 85
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 85
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
103-89
103
89
+14
94avg 85
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
70avg 85
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
113-86
113
86
+27
115avg 85
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
88avg 85
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
20-23
35-20
14-27
33-16
30-20
25-18
23-20
29-19
32-23
28-25
18-18
23-21
20-16
14-26
25-14
23-16
26-19
29-16
14-23
12-13
20-19
15-16
35-33
18-24
29-25
32-15
24-25
22-24
19-22
16-22
25-20
28-22
30-19
31-25
24-20
24-18
18-25
24-23
21-17
177.8Avg total
95.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.981.1171.0+8.879%
Season at home (15)91.581.8173.3+9.787%
Season away (14)88.380.4168.6+7.971%
Last 10 (10)95.582.3177.8+13.290%
Last 5 (5)93.485.4178.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.686.5171.1-1.950%
vs Weaker (22)90.979.4170.3+11.586%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
45avg 73
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 73
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 73
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
69avg 73
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
69-72
69
72
-3
53avg 73
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 73
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
99-74
99
74
+25
99avg 73
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
83-67
83
67
+16
81avg 73
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 73
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
87avg 73
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
14-16
20-13
10-9
24-14
14-16
22-17
19-21
20-18
11-22
14-17
17-20
13-12
19-20
16-15
33-35
10-9
15-26
20-19
24-18
28-20
20-23
22-10
14-15
32-17
25-22
23-20
19-15
25-17
14-12
27-20
17-18
21-20
14-30
23-20
20-24
17-20
30-19
23-27
20-15
151.7Avg total
78.2Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.371.8154.0+10.576%
Season at home (15)83.769.7153.5+14.080%
Season away (14)80.773.9154.6+6.871%
Last 10 (10)78.273.5151.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)86.876.8163.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.280.8164.0+2.350%
vs Weaker (23)82.069.4151.4+12.783%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
AguadaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H15/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H16/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A09/04
Liga Uruguaya
88.3Avg total
48.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.588.2+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.141.189.2+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.087.1+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.340.088.3+8.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.286.2+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.242.284.5+0.038%-
vs Weaker (22)48.241.389.5+7.073%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A02/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
74.6Avg total
37.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.636.579.1+6.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.633.978.5+10.773%-
Last 30 away (14)40.539.379.8+1.243%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.774.6+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.085.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.339.880.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (23)43.235.678.8+7.665%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.917.0
56.9%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.514.6
41.1%
33.3%43.8
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
71.7%17.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.0
53.2%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.6
29.1%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
71.7%13.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWLWWWWWWW
Penarol
WLWWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#2
+17.2
Net rating
+5.3
120.3
Offensive rating
104.6
103.0
Defensive rating
99.4
59.5%
Effective FG%
48.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.1%
3-point %
29.1%
61.1%
Assist %
50.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 104.6Defence103.0 · 99.4Shooting59.5% · 48.9%3-point %41.1% · 29.1%Ball care15.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds21.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Aguada   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Aguada wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
19/03/24Penarol v Aguada81-82
16/01/24Penarol v Aguada88-87
28/10/23Aguada v Penarol77-76
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24ANacional87-83
02/04/24AHebraica y Macabi113-86
27/03/24HCordon82-88
24/03/24HNacional103-89
19/03/24APenarol82-81
16/03/24HHebraica y Macabi92-74
05/03/24HDefensor82-77
15/02/24HBigua107-85
09/02/24AUrupan111-74
02/02/24HHebraica y Macabi96-86
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HCordon90-81
06/04/24ANacional78-94
02/04/24ADefensor83-67
27/03/24HHebraica y Macabi99-74
24/03/24ACordon84-68
22/03/24HDefensor69-72
19/03/24HAguada81-82
16/02/24AGoes62-77
07/02/24HNacional79-68
03/02/24ALarre Borges57-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%87%71%
Points / game89.991.588.3
Allowed / game81.181.880.4
Point differential+8.8+9.7+7.9
Avg total171.0173.3168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%80%71%
Points / game82.383.780.7
Allowed / game71.869.773.9
Point differential+10.5+14.0+6.8
Avg total154.0153.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aguada2923679%89.981.1+8.8
2 Penarol2922776%82.371.8+10.5
3 Nacional29191066%86.581.1+5.3
4 Defensor30191163%80.578.9+1.7
5 Malvin32191359%79.775.5+4.2
6 Hebraica y Macabi29171259%84.583.3+1.2
7 Bigua32151747%82.682.3+0.3
8 Trouville35152043%74.777.5-2.8
9 Urupan34142041%75.679.1-3.5
10 Cordon30121840%73.576.5-2.9
11 CA Racing31233%83.081.7+1.3
12 Goes32102231%73.377.9-4.6
13 Larre Borges323299%64.879.8-15.0
14 Remeros Mercedes2020%77.585.5-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada1826201377
Penarol2325181682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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