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Malvin vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 77-87
25-25 19-29 15-11 18-22
Position#5
Record8-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#1
Record13-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Malvin
Other2023-24
Meetings · Malvin v Aguada
02 May 2026
MALV84
AGUA94
07 Jan 2026
MALV89
AGUA72
08 May 2025
MALV76
AGUA83
29 Apr 2025
MALV87
AGUA83
05 Dec 2024
MALV67
AGUA81
02 May 2024
MALV81
AGUA83
30 Jan 2024
MALV77
AGUA87
18 Nov 2022
MALV73
AGUA68
26 Oct 2021
MALV71
AGUA83
23 Mar 2021
MALV95
AGUA71
08 Oct 2019
MALV62
AGUA90
20 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA69
10 May 2019
MALV80
AGUA83
09 Nov 2018
MALV73
AGUA94
24 May 2018
MALV69
AGUA86
18 May 2018
MALV70
AGUA75
11 May 2018
MALV73
AGUA64
09 Mar 2018
MALV76
AGUA81
03 Nov 2017
MALV69
AGUA62
10 Jan 2017
MALV77
AGUA85
31 Oct 2015
MALV101
AGUA91
13 Jan 2015
MALV82
AGUA69
21 Jan 2014
MALV92
AGUA98
06 Apr 2013
MALV87
AGUA77
27 Mar 2013
MALV85
AGUA86
18 Jan 2013
MALV99
AGUA84
08 Dec 2012
MALV74
AGUA82
09 Jan 2012
MALV78
AGUA54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
90avg 74
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
no box
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-62
78
62
+16
76avg 74
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
60avg 74
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
105avg 74
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 74
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 74
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
58-82
58
82
-24
42avg 74
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
92-76
92
76
+16
69avg 74
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
74avg 74
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
26-22
25-13
23-14
14-12
22-23
17-20
20-18
24-18
16-17
18-13
20-14
15-15
19-23
16-18
11-23
25-14
23-17
32-25
23-14
24-21
14-28
18-20
19-20
14-29
24-15
25-18
20-22
17-30
22-24
13-13
6-15
22-19
24-13
27-24
19-20
27-18
10-25
22-16
23-26
162.5Avg total
82.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.180.7162.8+1.444%
Season at home (9)85.075.1160.1+9.967%
Season away (9)79.286.2165.4-7.022%
Last 10 (10)82.380.2162.5+2.140%
Last 5 (5)78.083.2161.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.683.5161.1-5.925%
vs Similar (14)83.985.4169.3-1.629%
vs Weaker (8)86.074.4160.4+11.688%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
62avg 81
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 81
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
94-81
94
81
+13
88avg 81
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
90avg 81
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
88avg 81
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 81
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
104-83
104
83
+21
105avg 81
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
82avg 81
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
105-111 OT
105
111
-6
no box
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
64avg 81
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
16-23
24-15
22-20
23-10
23-23
20-17
25-8
32-22
19-22
22-19
21-18
28-20
25-20
21-20
18-17
26-22
22-16
21-14
21-30
20-19
28-16
15-23
15-17
29-14
25-27
22-18
28-24
20-31
22-23
25-19
20-15
26-18
30-25
21-36
21-19
17-18
22-23
21-15
15-18
170.8Avg total
89.5Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.080.7167.7+6.372%
Season at home (9)90.080.9170.9+9.189%
Season away (9)84.080.4164.4+3.656%
Last 10 (10)89.581.3170.8+8.270%
Last 5 (5)89.886.2176.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)78.782.0160.7-3.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.177.6164.8+9.588%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
MalvinAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.4Avg total
40.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.083.6+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.938.882.7+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.184.6-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.480.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.484.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.843.485.1-1.662%-
vs Similar (14)42.742.385.0+0.450%-
vs Weaker (8)43.536.279.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
88.8Avg total
47.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.384.8+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.640.285.8+5.480%-
Last 30 away (15)41.342.483.7-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)47.041.888.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.890.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)40.841.181.9-0.364%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.841.587.3+4.369%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.2
50.0%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.8
34.2%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
71.7%11.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.2
56.4%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.0
32.6%
33.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.414.6
79.3%
71.7%14.6
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malvin
LWLLLWLWLW
Aguada
WLLWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+3.1
Net rating
+11.3
104.8
Offensive rating
113.9
101.6
Defensive rating
102.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
13.1%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.2%
3-point %
32.6%
61.3%
Assist %
69.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 113.9Defence101.6 · 102.6Shooting50.5% · 52.8%3-point %34.2% · 32.6%Ball care16.9% · 13.1%Off. rebounds30.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Malvin   ■ Aguada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Malvin wins
5
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
24/11/23Aguada v Malvin87-85
21/01/23Aguada v Malvin74-85
18/11/22Malvin v Aguada73-68
22/01/22Aguada v Malvin88-79
27/10/21Malvin v Aguada71-83
23/03/21Malvin v Aguada95-71
11/12/19Aguada v Malvin56-61
09/10/19Malvin v Aguada62-90
20/05/19Malvin v Aguada80-69
14/05/19Aguada v Malvin90-87
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24ADefensor82-85
16/01/24HGoes92-76
13/01/24APenarol58-82
05/01/24HNacional83-84
18/12/23ABigua75-89
13/12/23HLarre Borges103-70
09/12/23AUrupan61-79
05/12/23HCordon78-62
02/12/23AHebraica y Macabi99-105 OT
29/11/23HTrouville92-70
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AGoes75-74
19/01/24HNacional105-111 OT
16/01/24APenarol87-88
13/01/24ALarre Borges104-83
05/01/24HCordon78-75
19/12/23ATrouville90-82
15/12/23HDefensor92-77
05/12/23ABigua94-81
01/12/23HUrupan91-58
28/11/23AHebraica y Macabi79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL44%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game82.185.079.2
Allowed / game80.775.186.2
Point differential+1.4+9.9-7.0
Avg total162.8160.1165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW72%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%89%56%
Points / game87.090.084.0
Allowed / game80.780.980.4
Point differential+6.3+9.1+3.6
Avg total167.7170.9164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol1816289%85.570.6+14.9
2 Nacional1715288%93.481.7+11.7
3 Aguada1813572%87.080.7+6.3
4 Defensor1912763%81.479.1+2.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi1710759%82.879.5+3.3
6 Bigua1991047%84.883.6+1.2
7 Malvin1881044%82.180.7+1.4
8 Cordon1871139%72.276.4-4.3
9 Trouville1961332%81.087.3-6.3
10 Urupan1851328%76.583.6-7.1
11 Goes1851328%78.886.5-7.7
12 Larre Borges1931616%77.491.5-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Malvin2519151877
Aguada2529112287
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