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Air Force vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-64
32-39 34-25
Position#371
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#330
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v Alabama State
18 Dec 2026
AIR v ALAB
upcoming
19 Nov 2025
AIR 66
ALAB64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
57-80
57
80
-23
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
47-87
47
87
-40
A08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
30-29
26-28
29-49
32-47
39-45
21-38
36-42
23-50
24-37
25-21
34-47
38-39
25-40
22-33
32-41
33-32
39-44
26-40
35-36
138.9Avg total
61.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)62.576.2138.8-13.80%
Season at home (3)62.375.3137.7-13.00%
Season away (1)63.079.0142.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)61.177.8138.9-16.710%
Last 5 (5)61.874.6136.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)60.375.4135.7-15.14%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
124-68
124
68
+56
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
22-24
37-23
41-29
43-50
33-36
31-26
25-26
35-30
34-39
36-29
31-41
32-42
30-46
34-55
36-35
41-39
63-29
61-39
22-46
44-48
146.3Avg total
73.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.884.2167.0-1.550%
Season at home (1)124.068.0192.0+56.0100%
Season away (3)69.089.7158.7-20.733%
Last 10 (10)73.173.2146.3-0.170%
Last 5 (5)78.884.0162.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.181.4148.5-14.238%
vs Similar (11)68.268.5136.7-0.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.165.2145.3+14.973%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.3-8.31st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
Air ForceAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A01/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
21-38
21
38
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H15/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
27.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.834.663.4-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.532.661.1-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)29.136.665.7-7.527%-
Last 10 (10)27.736.063.7-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)28.833.061.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.934.563.4-5.532%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alabama State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#318
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#708
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A18/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
33.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.367.0-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.833.168.8+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)30.435.265.6-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.168.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.840.270.0-10.538%-
vs Similar (11)31.632.564.1-0.827%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.031.767.7+4.355%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HMiami (Ohio)61-76
11/11/25HLIU Sharks72-76
08/11/25HAustin Peay54-74
04/11/25ABelmont63-79
12/03/25AUNLV59-68
08/03/25AUtah State47-87
05/03/25HBoise State57-80
01/03/25ANew Mexico71-92
26/02/25HColorado State55-77
22/02/25HFresno State72-69 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25AColorado66-94
15/11/25HVirginia-Lynchburg124-68
12/11/25AUAB77-74
08/11/25AFlorida State64-101
20/03/25AAuburn63-83
18/03/25HSt. Francis (PA)70-68
16/03/25AJackson State60-56
14/03/25HGrambling St.64-62
13/03/25ATexas Southern84-79
08/03/25AGrambling St.59-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.562.363.0
Allowed / game76.275.379.0
Point differential-13.8-13.0-16.0
Avg total138.8137.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game82.8124.069.0
Allowed / game84.268.089.7
Point differential-1.5+56.0-20.7
Avg total167.0192.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%87.063.8+23.2
2 Wyoming440100%90.869.5+21.2
3 Colorado State440100%92.071.0+21.0
4 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
5 New Mexico43175%75.063.5+11.5
6 San Diego State32167%85.770.0+15.7
7 Fresno State64267%77.368.3+9.0
8 Nevada53260%79.076.2+2.8
9 UNLV42250%91.883.8+8.0
10 Grand Canyon42250%80.874.5+6.2
11 San Jose State41325%79.876.0+3.8
12 Air Force4040%62.576.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs43175%68.271.8-3.5
2 Grambling St.53260%73.873.4+0.4
3 Alabama State42250%82.884.2-1.5
4 Southern Univ.52340%99.284.6+14.6
5 Prairie View A&M52340%78.278.2+0.0
6 Bethune-Cookman41325%83.586.8-3.2
7 Miss. Valley St.61517%69.387.3-18.0
8 Alcorn State6060%67.590.3-22.8
9 Texas Southern4040%67.593.0-25.5
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff6060%66.796.0-29.3
11 Florida A&M4040%64.094.5-30.5
12 Jackson State3030%58.795.7-37.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force323466
Alabama State392564
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