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Air Force vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 62-79
39-44 23-35
Position#371
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#275
Record9-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v Fresno State
31 Jan 2026
AIR 62
FRES79
22 Feb 2025
AIR 72
FRES69
10 Feb 2024
AIR 66
FRES68
21 Feb 2023
AIR 69
FRES74
22 Feb 2022
AIR 40
FRES65
13 Feb 2021
AIR 64
FRES67
11 Feb 2021
AIR 63
FRES69
28 Jan 2020
AIR 68
FRES79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
29-40
37-41
21-38
31-43
29-48
25-48
134.9Avg total
55.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)61.377.2138.4-15.915%
Season at home (13)64.877.5142.3-12.823%
Season away (7)54.976.4131.3-21.60%
Last 10 (10)55.479.5134.9-24.10%
Last 5 (5)56.683.8140.4-27.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.177.8137.8-17.710%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
70-55
70
55
+15
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-47
50-42
41-39
31-45
26-35
37-37
26-21
39-45
37-24
33-31
21-36
31-35
36-22
43-47
26-27
37-33
23-36
51-47
19-26
38-42
139.9Avg total
68.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)71.870.7142.5+1.145%
Season at home (14)73.167.9140.9+5.257%
Season away (6)68.877.3146.2-8.517%
Last 10 (10)68.271.7139.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)65.070.2135.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.775.8143.4-8.125%
vs Similar (6)76.875.0151.8+1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)72.361.3133.7+11.067%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -12.4-12.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -11.7-11.71st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -12.4-12.42nd half: -1.4-1.4
Air ForceFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
25.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.736.363.9-8.617%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.136.364.4-8.211%-
Last 30 away (12)27.036.263.2-9.225%-
Last 10 (10)25.437.162.5-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)24.439.664.0-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)27.636.464.0-8.917%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H04/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
60.5Avg total
29.2Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.433.764.1-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.531.261.7-0.742%-
Last 30 away (11)30.337.968.2-7.627%-
Last 10 (10)29.231.360.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)25.029.454.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)27.634.562.1-6.915%-
vs Similar (6)35.833.269.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.731.065.7+3.767%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Air Force wins
7
Fresno State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ABoise State54-96
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60
14/01/26HColorado State79-69
11/01/26ASan Diego State52-71
07/01/26ASan Jose State70-55
04/01/26HNevada65-66
31/12/25HUtah State63-72
21/12/25AUNLV72-84
11/12/25ACS Northridge87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %15%23%0%
Points / game61.364.854.9
Allowed / game77.277.576.4
Point differential-15.8-12.8-21.6
Avg total138.4142.3131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20146
Win %45%57%17%
Points / game71.873.168.8
Allowed / game70.767.977.3
Point differential+1.1+5.2-8.5
Avg total142.5140.9146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)43% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2118386%83.667.9+15.7
2 New Mexico2117481%81.167.5+13.7
3 Nevada2216673%76.970.8+6.0
4 San Diego State2115671%80.271.0+9.2
5 Grand Canyon2114767%74.568.2+6.3
6 Boise State2213959%78.172.8+5.3
7 Wyoming2112957%78.873.2+5.6
8 Colorado State2112957%76.571.0+5.5
9 UNLV21101148%77.977.9+0.0
10 Fresno State2091145%71.870.7+1.1
11 San Jose State2161529%69.776.3-6.7
12 Air Force2031715%61.377.2-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force392362
Fresno State443579
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