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Air Force vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 60-70
24-39 36-31
Position#251
Record12-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game64.1
vs
Position#10
Record14-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v San Diego State
07 Feb 2026
AIR 54
SAN 88
22 Jan 2025
AIR 76
SAN 77
06 Feb 2024
AIR 64
SAN 77
21 Jan 2023
AIR 60
SAN 70
24 Jan 2021
AIR 59
SAN 91
22 Jan 2021
AIR 61
SAN 98
08 Feb 2020
AIR 74
SAN 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-21
40-37
44-27
36-28
37-38
44-29
31-31
36-34
23-36
32-35
25-36
44-39
28-44
37-33
30-30
35-35
20-26
31-22
32-36
50-38
137.8Avg total
71.4Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.464.1133.5+5.363%
Season at home (13)72.263.8136.0+8.369%
Season away (6)63.364.7128.0-1.350%
Last 10 (10)71.466.4137.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)70.469.6140.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)60.674.9135.5-14.27%
vs Similar (14)68.862.4131.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H06/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
88-54
88
54
+34
H13/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
82-76 OT
82
76
+6
A19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
31-22
35-35
26-33
39-25
49-29
35-16
27-30
36-23
35-32
44-33
32-34
43-42
37-33
44-27
30-38
28-38
39-38
28-34
37-31
135.8Avg total
72.1Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.366.6141.9+8.778%
Season at home (12)76.163.7139.8+12.483%
Season away (6)73.872.5146.3+1.367%
Last 10 (10)72.163.7135.8+8.480%
Last 5 (5)75.871.8147.6+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)67.563.1130.5+4.465%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.664.5142.1+13.292%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
Air ForceSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
63.4Avg total
30.9Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.931.561.4-1.627%-
Last 30 at home (18)31.730.762.4+1.039%-
Last 30 away (12)27.232.759.8-5.58%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.563.4-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)27.034.461.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)27.435.963.2-8.57%-
vs Similar (14)31.828.860.6+3.036%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H06/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#32
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H13/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H11/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A19/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
36.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.229.764.9+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.628.263.8+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)34.532.166.6+2.458%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.666.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)32.630.262.8+2.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.529.267.7+9.492%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
6
San Diego State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HWyoming82-74
15/01/23AFresno State51-48
11/01/23AColorado State85-74 OT
04/01/23HUtah State65-77
31/12/22HNevada69-75
29/12/22ASan Diego State55-71
21/12/22ANorthern Colorado67-65
18/12/22HTarleton81-67
10/12/22HArkansas State80-55
06/12/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23AColorado State82-76 OT
15/01/23HNew Mexico67-76
11/01/23HNevada74-65
07/01/23AWyoming80-75
31/12/22AUNLV76-67
29/12/22HAir Force71-55
21/12/22HUC San Diego62-46
13/12/22HKennesaw State88-54
10/12/22ASt. Marys (CA)61-68
06/12/22HTroy60-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW63%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %63%69%50%
Points / game69.472.263.3
Allowed / game64.163.864.7
Point differential+5.3+8.3-1.3
Avg total133.5136.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%46%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %11%8%17%
San Diego State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game75.376.173.8
Allowed / game66.663.772.5
Point differential+8.7+12.4+1.3
Avg total141.9139.8146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %11%8%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2018290%81.969.5+12.4
2 Utah State2016480%80.671.2+9.4
3 San Diego State1814478%75.366.6+8.7
4 Boise State2015575%73.261.6+11.6
5 Nevada2015575%72.865.3+7.5
6 UNLV1912763%75.968.3+7.6
7 Grand Canyon1912763%71.164.2+6.9
8 Air Force1912763%69.464.1+5.3
9 San Jose State2012860%67.866.7+1.1
10 Colorado State21101148%74.671.0+3.7
11 Fresno State1871139%61.462.9-1.6
12 Wyoming1961332%70.071.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force243660
San Diego State393170
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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