PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 48-51
26-20 22-31
Position#295
Record6-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game61.3
Allowed / game63.7
vs
Position#251
Record10-7
FormWLLLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fresno State v Air Force
14 Feb 2026
FRES93
AIR 63
17 Jan 2025
FRES74
AIR 65
27 Jan 2024
FRES84
AIR 70
14 Jan 2023
FRES48
AIR 51
01 Jan 2022
FRES v AIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
FRES70
AIR 77
19 Feb 2020
FRES71
AIR 62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#65
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-41
33-25
29-30
36-26
29-38
43-38
23-24
30-35
27-27
29-21
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
36-32
35-35
23-35
34-44
30-36
34-38
127.5Avg total
63.0Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)61.363.7125.0-2.438%
Season at home (6)62.759.7122.3+3.067%
Season away (10)60.566.1126.6-5.620%
Last 10 (10)63.064.5127.5-1.550%
Last 5 (5)60.868.0128.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.864.8126.7-3.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.163.2121.4-5.118%
vs Weaker (6)69.355.7125.0+13.7100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-23
40-30
29-30
35-38
39-21
40-37
44-27
36-28
37-38
44-29
31-31
36-34
23-36
32-35
25-36
44-39
28-44
37-33
30-30
35-35
138.9Avg total
72.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.764.5134.2+5.259%
Season at home (12)71.363.0134.3+8.367%
Season away (5)65.868.0133.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)72.666.3138.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)68.272.4140.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)60.174.7134.9-14.67%
vs Similar ◀ (13)68.761.8130.5+6.869%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +4.1+4.1
Fresno StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#65
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A04/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H08/12
NCAA
Pacific
#242
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A21/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
30.8Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.028.857.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.728.758.4+1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)28.528.857.3-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)30.832.162.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.262.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.731.562.2-0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)26.829.256.1-2.424%-
vs Weaker (6)32.824.257.0+8.7100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A29/12
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H31/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.831.461.2-1.630%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.930.461.3+0.439%-
Last 30 away (12)28.132.860.9-4.817%-
Last 10 (10)32.731.664.3+1.130%-
Last 5 (5)27.435.462.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)26.735.562.2-8.97%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.628.461.0+4.246%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fresno State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23ASan Jose State64-74
07/01/23AColorado State57-79
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53
21/12/22ACSU Bakersfield56-48
18/12/22HSacramento State53-59
10/12/22APacific72-76
08/12/22HCS Northridge65-56
04/12/22AUC Irvine80-66
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23AColorado State85-74 OT
04/01/23HUtah State65-77
31/12/22HNevada69-75
29/12/22ASan Diego State55-71
21/12/22ANorthern Colorado67-65
18/12/22HTarleton81-67
10/12/22HArkansas State80-55
06/12/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-58
03/12/22APortland State64-68
01/12/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game61.362.760.5
Allowed / game63.759.766.1
Point differential-2.4+3.0-5.6
Avg total125.0122.3126.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %59%67%40%
Points / game69.771.365.8
Allowed / game64.563.068.0
Point differential+5.2+8.3-2.2
Avg total134.2134.3133.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico1715288%82.669.8+12.8
2 San Diego State1613381%75.465.4+10.0
3 Nevada1915479%73.464.7+8.7
4 Utah State1814478%81.271.0+10.2
5 Boise State1713476%71.960.1+11.9
6 UNLV1612475%76.766.5+10.2
7 Grand Canyon1611569%69.661.2+8.4
8 San Jose State1812667%68.165.6+2.4
9 Air Force1710759%69.764.5+5.2
10 Colorado State189950%75.170.5+4.6
11 Fresno State1661038%61.363.7-2.4
12 Wyoming1651131%70.670.6+0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State262248
Air Force203151
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.