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Air Force vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 76-77 (OT)
31-35 37-33 8-9
Position#367
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#65
Record11-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Air Force v San Diego State
07 Feb 2026
AIR 54
SAN 88
22 Jan 2025
AIR 76
SAN 77
06 Feb 2024
AIR 64
SAN 77
21 Jan 2023
AIR 60
SAN 70
24 Jan 2021
AIR 59
SAN 91
22 Jan 2021
AIR 61
SAN 98
08 Feb 2020
AIR 74
SAN 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
30-44
27-23
42-38
26-41
50-40
31-32
28-45
26-38
32-39
36-33
29-37
24-33
14-34
31-29
31-40
35-33
27-35
24-41
41-33
133.1Avg total
61.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)63.269.9133.1-6.717%
Season at home (10)65.267.0132.2-1.830%
Season away (8)60.873.5134.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)61.471.7133.1-10.310%
Last 5 (5)58.469.6128.0-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)62.473.2135.6-10.715%
vs Similar (3)65.771.7137.3-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
67-38
67
38
+29
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-24
55-38
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
43-32
23-35
33-32
43-36
33-24
34-14
20-30
28-32
35-29
40-31
23-31
45-45
132.5Avg total
71.0Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.062.7134.7+9.369%
Season at home (11)72.762.5135.3+10.264%
Season away (5)70.463.0133.4+7.480%
Last 10 (10)71.061.5132.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)66.860.8127.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar (16)70.466.1136.5+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)75.957.7133.6+18.290%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +6.3+6.3
Air ForceSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A09/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A18/01
NCAA
62.2Avg total
29.0Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.834.563.3-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.933.162.0-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)28.636.264.8-7.629%-
Last 10 (10)29.033.262.2-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)30.033.863.8-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.834.763.4-5.933%-
vs Similar (3)28.733.362.0-4.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H09/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H19/01
NCAA
59.6Avg total
31.4Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.129.661.7+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.929.463.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (12)29.230.059.2-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)31.428.259.6+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)28.829.258.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (16)31.832.163.9-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.324.358.6+10.090%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
9
San Diego State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25AFresno State65-74
15/01/25ANevada62-68
11/01/25HSan Jose State62-69
09/01/25ASan Diego State38-67
04/01/25HWyoming65-70
31/12/24HUNLV58-77
21/12/24ABoise State59-77
17/12/24ANorthern Colorado76-81
07/12/24HStony Brook69-61
03/12/24AMiami (Ohio)60-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25HUNLV68-76
15/01/25HColorado State75-60
11/01/25ANew Mexico48-62
09/01/25HAir Force67-38
04/01/25ABoise State76-68
28/12/24HUtah State66-67
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57
05/12/24AFresno State84-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %17%30%0%
Points / game63.265.260.8
Allowed / game69.967.073.5
Point differential-6.7-1.8-12.8
Avg total133.1132.2134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWLWWL64%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%64%80%
Points / game72.072.770.4
Allowed / game62.762.563.0
Point differential+9.3+10.2+7.4
Avg total134.7135.3133.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1917289%82.568.0+14.5
2 New Mexico2016480%83.872.3+11.5
3 Grand Canyon1813572%79.868.7+11.1
4 San Diego State1611569%72.062.7+9.3
5 Boise State2013765%77.767.5+10.2
6 Colorado State1912763%74.268.5+5.6
7 Nevada1911858%74.568.1+6.4
8 UNLV1911858%71.270.1+1.1
9 Wyoming1910953%69.171.0-1.9
10 San Jose State2091145%75.073.0+1.9
11 Fresno State1951426%72.982.2-9.3
12 Air Force1831517%63.269.9-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Air Force3137876
San Diego State3533977
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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