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Akita vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 74-98
18-32 14-23 22-22 20-21
Position#26
Record6-26
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#8
Record21-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.8
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akita v Alvark
11 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
10 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
AKIT74
ALVA98
22 Dec 2024
AKIT63
ALVA72
21 Dec 2024
AKIT70
ALVA74
07 Feb 2024
AKIT68
ALVA77
12 Nov 2023
AKIT67
ALVA76
11 Nov 2023
AKIT48
ALVA78
09 Apr 2023
AKIT73
ALVA68
08 Apr 2023
AKIT75
ALVA77
30 Nov 2022
AKIT83
ALVA69
12 Dec 2021
AKIT75
ALVA68
11 Dec 2021
AKIT69
ALVA60
10 Nov 2021
AKIT73
ALVA88
24 Mar 2021
AKIT62
ALVA76
08 Dec 2019
AKIT85
ALVA74
07 Dec 2019
AKIT76
ALVA79
16 Oct 2019
AKIT65
ALVA60
17 Mar 2019
AKIT77
ALVA97
16 Mar 2019
AKIT75
ALVA83
16 Jan 2019
AKIT72
ALVA81
07 May 2017
AKIT52
ALVA78
06 May 2017
AKIT80
ALVA83
02 Oct 2016
AKIT70
ALVA84
01 Oct 2016
AKIT64
ALVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 66
H14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
70-81
70
81
-11
62avg 66
A20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
57-69
57
69
-12
40avg 66
A21/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
74avg 66
A24/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
89-73
89
73
+16
93avg 66
H27/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 66
H28/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
65avg 66
A03/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 66
A04/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
81avg 66
H24/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 66
H25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
31-17
15-25
24-21
15-20
17-24
13-19
25-18
22-20
20-11
11-18
4-20
25-32
14-20
17-19
23-19
23-15
21-24
22-15
23-19
21-22
26-28
22-28
18-26
18-26
19-26
14-17
19-16
26-25
17-26
15-16
14-18
23-21
23-15
14-26
20-18
22-12
24-24
18-13
33-28
164.6Avg total
79.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.584.3156.8-11.819%
Season at home (16)73.584.8158.2-11.225%
Season away (16)71.683.9155.4-12.312%
Last 10 (10)79.984.7164.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)72.884.5157.3-11.820%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
72avg 74
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 74
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 74
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 74
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
82avg 74
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 74
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
95-72
95
72
+23
88avg 74
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 74
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 74
A24/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
105-88
105
88
+17
109avg 74
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
28-14
16-17
15-11
20-19
21-19
19-20
24-22
24-16
17-19
26-22
25-21
30-15
21-21
18-12
13-25
16-19
24-23
22-13
20-24
20-23
28-17
12-25
19-22
23-21
26-19
25-15
21-17
24-30
22-13
23-23
19-15
26-28
16-15
22-17
27-16
30-21
29-24
20-23
26-20
165.2Avg total
87.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.577.8158.2+2.766%
Season at home (16)76.674.2150.8+2.462%
Season away (16)84.381.3165.6+3.069%
Last 10 (10)87.977.3165.2+10.690%
Last 5 (5)91.680.8172.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.076.5138.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)79.377.2156.5+2.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.879.1168.8+10.794%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
AkitaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A20/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A21/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H28/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H24/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H25/01
B League
85.6Avg total
42.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.481.0-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.342.180.4-3.844%-
Last 30 away (14)36.844.881.6-8.014%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.085.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.088.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.643.481.0-5.830%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H20/12
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A24/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A27/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A28/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/01
B League
LG Sakers
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A21/01
EASL
Osaka
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A24/01
B League
Osaka
#17
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A25/01
B League
86.0Avg total
46.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.581.7+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.477.5+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.941.485.3+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.386.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.291.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.538.380.8+4.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.440.583.9+2.956%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.6
50.3%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.6
36.5%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
73.1%12.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.1
54.8%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.0
39.6%
33.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
73.1%14.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLLWLLLW
Alvark
WWWWLWWWWW
#26
League position
#8
-6.8
Net rating
+14.1
103.0
Offensive rating
115.2
109.8
Defensive rating
101.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
56.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.3%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.5%
3-point %
39.6%
72.3%
Assist %
74.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 115.2Defence109.8 · 101.0Shooting52.1% · 56.7%3-point %36.5% · 39.6%Ball care17.6% · 13.3%Off. rebounds28.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Akita   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Akita wins
9
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
15/10/25Alvark v Akita86-75
22/12/24Akita v Alvark63-72
21/12/24Akita v Alvark70-74
07/02/24Akita v Alvark68-77
12/11/23Akita v Alvark67-76
11/11/23Akita v Alvark48-78
25/10/23Alvark v Akita67-51
09/04/23Akita v Alvark73-68
08/04/23Akita v Alvark75-77
15/03/23Alvark v Akita83-52
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HBrave Thunders97-77
24/01/26HBrave Thunders89-98 OT
04/01/26ANeoPhoenix72-85
03/01/26ANeoPhoenix70-85
28/12/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles87-104
27/12/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles89-73
24/12/25AHokkaido79-90
21/12/25AIbaraki Robots57-69
20/12/25AIbaraki Robots70-81
14/12/25HSeaHorses Mikawa89-85
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AOsaka105-88
24/01/26AOsaka91-76
21/01/26ALG Sakers88-81
04/01/26HHiroshima D.95-72
03/01/26HHiroshima D.79-87
28/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-79
27/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa82-73
24/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles92-78
21/12/25HHokkaido84-80
20/12/25HHokkaido81-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW19%
HomeWWLLW25%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %19%25%12%
Points / game72.573.571.6
Allowed / game84.384.883.9
Point differential-11.8-11.2-12.3
Avg total156.8158.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW66%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%62%69%
Points / game80.576.684.3
Allowed / game77.874.281.3
Point differential+2.7+2.4+3.0
Avg total158.2150.8165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3228488%93.977.6+16.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3225778%83.471.9+11.5
3 Utsunomiya Brex3225778%85.878.6+7.2
4 Chiba3224875%82.274.7+7.6
5 Hokkaido3224875%88.283.2+5.0
6 Gunma32211166%83.474.6+8.8
7 Alvark32211166%80.577.8+2.7
8 Ryukyu32201262%81.975.8+6.1
9 SeaHorses Mikawa32201262%83.278.8+4.5
10 Sendai32191359%79.478.2+1.2
11 Hiroshima D.32181456%85.182.7+2.4
12 Shimane32171553%82.981.4+1.6
13 Saga32171553%80.881.7-0.9
14 NeoPhoenix32141844%82.583.1-0.6
15 Osaka32131941%80.281.6-1.3
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32131941%80.983.2-2.3
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya32131941%77.082.0-5.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas32122038%72.479.3-6.9
19 Yokohama32112134%77.782.3-4.7
20 Shiga32112134%80.587.1-6.5
21 Ibaraki Robots3292328%76.179.9-3.9
22 Altiri Chiba3292328%79.284.8-5.6
23 Toyama3292328%82.490.3-8.0
24 Kyoto3292328%70.880.3-9.6
25 Brave Thunders3282425%76.284.2-7.9
26 Akita3262619%72.584.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1814222074
Alvark3223222198
← all games of the day
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