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Akita vs Alvark Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#23
Record5-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.7
Akita
Japan
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Alvark
Japan
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Alvark
11 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
10 Apr 2027
AKIT v ALVA
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
AKIT74
ALVA98
22 Dec 2024
AKIT63
ALVA72
21 Dec 2024
AKIT70
ALVA74
07 Feb 2024
AKIT68
ALVA77
12 Nov 2023
AKIT67
ALVA76
11 Nov 2023
AKIT48
ALVA78
09 Apr 2023
AKIT73
ALVA68
08 Apr 2023
AKIT75
ALVA77
30 Nov 2022
AKIT83
ALVA69
12 Dec 2021
AKIT75
ALVA68
11 Dec 2021
AKIT69
ALVA60
10 Nov 2021
AKIT73
ALVA88
24 Mar 2021
AKIT62
ALVA76
08 Dec 2019
AKIT85
ALVA74
07 Dec 2019
AKIT76
ALVA79
16 Oct 2019
AKIT65
ALVA60
17 Mar 2019
AKIT77
ALVA97
16 Mar 2019
AKIT75
ALVA83
16 Jan 2019
AKIT72
ALVA81
07 May 2017
AKIT52
ALVA78
06 May 2017
AKIT80
ALVA83
02 Oct 2016
AKIT70
ALVA84
01 Oct 2016
AKIT64
ALVA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
74avg 69
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 69
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
69avg 69
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 69
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 69
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
118-123
118
123
-5
no box
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
94-110
94
110
-16
no box
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
H15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
25-33
11-26
23-17
22-23
18-18
25-23
30-22
18-14
17-22
19-23
17-20
18-28
20-16
28-20
19-25
21-34
14-24
28-20
20-24
39-31
28-29
27-30
24-33
21-24
28-32
28-23
19-22
22-22
28-22
10-19
23-32
25-26
23-31
19-27
27-26
12-14
19-25
31-16
20-21
185.0Avg total
89.1Scored
95.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.390.7173.9-7.428%
Season at home (9)89.093.4182.4-4.433%
Season away (9)77.687.9165.4-10.322%
Last 10 (10)89.195.9185.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)94.6101.0195.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.189.3167.4-11.220%
vs Similar (4)86.091.0177.0-5.025%
vs Weaker (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 87
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 87
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 87
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 87
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 87
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
AkitaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A21/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#19
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H01/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A06/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H11/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/11
B League
Osaka
#26
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H15/11
B League
93.3Avg total
44.3Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.283.6-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.946.688.5-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.342.079.3-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)44.349.093.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.2100.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.844.184.0-4.332%-
vs Similar (4)39.045.884.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker (1)31.039.070.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
53.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
32.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
73.8%13.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
WLLLLLLLWL
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
#23
League position
#4
-5.5
Net rating
+16.2
95.5
Offensive rating
109.0
101.1
Defensive rating
92.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
58.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.5%
3-point %
37.9%
63.4%
Assist %
60.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 109.0Defence101.1 · 92.8Shooting52.7% · 58.0%3-point %36.5% · 37.9%Ball care12.7% · 11.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Akita wins
10
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
19/10/26Alvark v Akita90-74
05/04/26Alvark v Akita86-72
04/04/26Alvark v Akita85-68
28/01/26Akita v Alvark74-98
15/10/25Alvark v Akita86-75
22/12/24Akita v Alvark63-72
21/12/24Akita v Alvark70-74
07/02/24Akita v Alvark68-77
12/11/23Akita v Alvark67-76
11/11/23Akita v Alvark48-78
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HOsaka82-76
13/11/26HDiamond Dolphins94-110
11/11/26HIbaraki Robots83-95
08/11/26HShinshu96-101
06/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido118-123
01/11/26HAltiri Chiba83-102
30/10/26HAltiri Chiba85-89
26/10/26AKyoto71-79
24/10/26HYokohama95-86
21/10/26AHiroshima D.84-98
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game83.389.077.6
Allowed / game90.793.487.9
Point differential-7.4-4.4-10.3
Avg total173.9182.4165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
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