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Akron vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-77
43-34 44-43
Position#14
Record12-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game75.7
Akron 🏆
USA
vs
Ball State
USA
Position#288
Record4-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akron v Ball State
02 Dec 2026
AKRO v BALL
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
AKRO87
BALL77
04 Feb 2025
AKRO81
BALL73
28 Feb 2023
AKRO87
BALL83
11 Jan 2022
AKRO84
BALL74
30 Jan 2021
AKRO74
BALL42
10 Jan 2020
AKRO75
BALL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
94-97
94
97
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
105-81
105
81
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
88-71
88
71
+17
A06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
100-115
100
115
-15
H13/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Concord
#629
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-46
57-51
52-39
53-42
49-36
48-41
42-34
46-37
42-47
58-68
48-34
45-38
47-25
68-39
36-33
37-43
43-30
39-39
43-27
34-40
171.3Avg total
92.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.475.7169.1+17.775%
Season at home (11)98.276.5174.6+21.782%
Season away (5)82.874.0156.8+8.860%
Last 10 (10)92.478.9171.3+13.570%
Last 5 (5)88.069.6157.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.782.0159.7-4.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.475.8167.2+15.691%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
93-30
93
30
+63
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
52-74
52
74
-22
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
15-23
22-32
38-38
58-47
32-33
20-31
40-39
24-29
30-30
34-39
36-40
41-46
48-8
45-22
25-41
47-44
25-39
27-35
25-28
46-51
137.3Avg total
67.8Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.469.8137.2-2.425%
Season at home (8)75.466.1141.5+9.250%
Season away (8)59.573.5133.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)67.869.5137.3-1.720%
Last 5 (5)73.070.8143.8+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.780.9150.6-11.10%
vs Similar (12)64.671.9136.5-7.317%
vs Weaker (9)76.173.7149.8+2.467%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -1.2-1.2
AkronBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#22
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H25/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Concord
#629
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H30/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/01
NCAA
79.0Avg total
43.9Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.476.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.634.977.5+7.870%-
Last 30 away (10)38.936.575.4+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.935.179.0+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.429.873.2+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)35.041.076.0-6.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.234.177.3+9.077%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lafayette
#317
L
15-23
15
23
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A04/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/12
NCAA
Earlham
#693
W
48-8
48
8
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H07/01
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A10/01
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.266.0-0.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.732.969.6+3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)29.033.462.4-4.420%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.963.3-0.520%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.263.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.138.971.0-6.714%-
vs Similar (12)29.732.261.8-2.525%-
vs Weaker (9)36.033.469.4+2.644%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Akron wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
26/02/25Ball State v Akron82-87
05/02/25Akron v Ball State81-73
10/01/24Ball State v Akron76-80
01/03/23Akron v Ball State87-83
07/01/23Ball State v Akron70-63
02/03/22Ball State v Akron60-79
12/01/22Akron v Ball State84-74
20/02/21Ball State v Akron79-88
30/01/21Akron v Ball State74-42
11/01/20Akron v Ball State75-60
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ABowling Green77-67
07/01/26HCentral Michigan82-69
03/01/26AMiami (Ohio)73-76
30/12/25HConcord115-64
20/12/25HEastern Michigan93-72
13/12/25HMurray State100-115
06/12/25ATulane88-71
04/12/25HBucknell97-77
30/11/25HWisc. Milwaukee105-81
25/11/25HYale94-97
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AUMass71-79
07/01/26HEastern Michigan52-74
03/01/26ABuffalo72-85
30/12/25HEarlham93-30
20/12/25HMiami (Ohio)77-86
14/12/25ACampbell64-69
10/12/25HSouth Dakota St.64-68
04/12/25AEvansville52-64
30/11/25HLe Moyne96-85
29/11/25ALafayette37-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %75%82%60%
Points / game93.498.282.8
Allowed / game75.776.574.0
Point differential+17.7+21.7+8.8
Avg total169.1174.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%82%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game67.475.459.5
Allowed / game69.866.173.5
Point differential-2.4+9.2-14.0
Avg total137.2141.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)17170100%92.972.3+20.6
2 Buffalo1713476%79.972.7+7.2
3 Akron1612475%93.475.7+17.7
4 Kent State1712571%90.082.2+7.8
5 Bowling Green1711665%88.070.8+17.2
6 UMass1710759%80.573.9+6.6
7 Ohio1710759%78.175.8+2.2
8 Toledo169756%81.677.3+4.2
9 Eastern Michigan189950%71.570.8+0.7
10 Western Michigan167944%76.178.2-2.2
11 Northern Illinois1651131%74.178.1-4.0
12 Central Michigan1751229%72.878.7-5.9
13 Ball State1641225%67.469.8-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Akron434487
Ball State344377
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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