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Akron vs Ball State Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#47
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game62.7
vs
Position#311
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akron v Ball State
02 Dec 2026
AKRO v BALL
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
AKRO87
BALL77
04 Feb 2025
AKRO81
BALL73
28 Feb 2023
AKRO87
BALL83
11 Jan 2022
AKRO84
BALL74
30 Jan 2021
AKRO74
BALL42
10 Jan 2020
AKRO75
BALL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akron win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
45-33
39-33
38-31
47-27
47-28
42-29
31-41
42-28
33-40
30-42
49-34
35-40
36-51
46-29
29-32
62-27
50-37
36-26
29-37
149.5Avg total
81.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.062.7146.7+21.3100%
Season at home (2)88.563.5152.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)75.061.0136.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.2149.5+13.190%
Last 5 (5)80.471.0151.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)83.673.1156.7+10.589%
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
79-43
79
43
+36
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
15-32
42-37
36-40
29-38
21-34
40-27
36-29
43-14
25-22
36-39
42-26
43-43
22-37
33-30
37-32
29-37
45-26
44-38
17-51
48-39
140.2Avg total
70.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.872.5141.2-3.825%
Season at home (2)77.566.5144.0+11.050%
Season away (2)60.078.5138.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.969.3140.2+1.650%
Last 5 (5)72.071.8143.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.777.7144.5-11.09%
vs Similar (13)66.371.2137.5-4.838%
vs Weaker (4)65.557.0122.5+8.575%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +4.5+4.5
AkronBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.633.776.2+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.834.878.6+9.082%-
Last 30 away (13)40.932.273.1+8.885%-
Last 10 (10)42.631.874.4+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.874.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.934.376.2+7.781%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#241
L
15-32
15
32
-17
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H25/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A03/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#192
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Brescia
#393
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H10/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A14/11
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.6Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.932.563.4-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.867.4+3.950%-
Last 30 away (16)26.833.159.9-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)29.632.962.5-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.467.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.138.768.8-8.618%-
vs Similar (13)28.531.159.5-2.631%-
vs Weaker (4)33.227.861.0+5.575%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Akron wins
1
Ball State wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Ball State v Akron65-78
14/01/26Akron v Ball State87-77
26/02/25Ball State v Akron82-87
05/02/25Akron v Ball State81-73
10/01/24Ball State v Akron76-80
01/03/23Akron v Ball State87-83
07/01/23Ball State v Akron70-63
02/03/22Ball State v Akron60-79
12/01/22Akron v Ball State84-74
20/02/21Ball State v Akron79-88
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTulane65-63
10/11/26HMuskingum112-64
03/11/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-61
20/03/26ATexas Tech71-91
15/03/26HToledo79-76
13/03/26HKent State75-68
12/03/26HBuffalo73-70
06/03/26HNorthern Illinois94-55
04/03/26ACentral Michigan77-64
28/02/26AKent State92-70
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASMU Mustangs65-90
10/11/26HBrescia89-64
07/11/26HIndiana State66-69
03/11/26AGeorgia Southern55-67
07/03/26HCentral Michigan85-69
04/03/26AWestern Michigan74-71 OT
28/02/26ANorthern Illinois79-43
25/02/26HUMass74-73 OT
20/02/26HAkron65-78
18/02/26AOhio57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akron
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.088.575.0
Allowed / game62.763.561.0
Point differential+21.3+25.0+14.0
Avg total146.7152.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game68.877.560.0
Allowed / game72.566.578.5
Point differential-3.8+11.0-18.5
Avg total141.2144.0138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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