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Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 95-46
32-8 19-13 23-8 21-17
Position#4
Record16-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game67.2
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#12
Record4-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game81.4
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 74
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 74
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
95-58
95
58
+37
no box
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
no box
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
112-52
112
52
+60
no box
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
86-52
86
52
+34
no box
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
57-81
57
81
-24
46avg 74
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
58-66
58
66
-8
44avg 74
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
50avg 74
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
74avg 74
A14/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
29-20
13-18
20-16
21-15
17-12
24-15
19-17
19-10
32-11
22-21
22-16
18-13
14-22
15-15
29-26
35-15
27-2
26-23
24-12
16-17
28-13
23-8
19-14
14-23
12-16
18-25
13-17
9-19
10-10
28-17
11-20
13-14
18-20
15-17
8-10
15-20
18-20
22-20
22-10
142.7Avg total
77.8Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.867.2149.1+14.580%
Season at home (10)83.867.1150.9+16.780%
Season away (10)79.867.4147.2+12.480%
Last 10 (10)77.864.9142.7+12.970%
Last 5 (5)66.466.0132.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)58.965.8124.6-6.921%
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.866.5153.3+20.386%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
65-54
65
54
+11
50avg 54
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
no box
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
86-49
86
49
+37
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
66-93
66
93
-27
no box
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
68-72 OT
68
72
-4
64avg 54
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
88-56
88
56
+32
86avg 54
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-70
45
70
-25
26avg 54
A02/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
51-85
51
85
-34
36avg 54
H03/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
63-85
63
85
-22
no box
A04/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
86-92
86
92
-6
71avg 54
H05/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
12-15
10-9
24-11
18-17
15-13
21-18
9-21
23-6
24-4
22-21
17-18
20-20
13-30
27-27
6-16
18-19
22-13
17-13
8-20
25-19
23-15
22-9
18-13
4-29
9-20
9-11
23-10
20-22
14-30
17-21
0-12
19-18
19-18
12-28
13-21
21-21
17-24
28-26
20-21
140.6Avg total
68.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.781.4151.1-11.618%
Season at home (10)70.680.7151.3-10.130%
Season away (12)69.081.9150.9-12.98%
Last 10 (10)68.172.5140.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)66.677.6144.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)64.186.4150.5-22.40%
vs Similar (9)67.872.2140.0-4.433%
vs Weaker (4)79.857.5137.2+22.275%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
AktobeTobol Kostanay 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A07/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H16/01
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
62-17
62
17
+45
H18/01
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A19/01
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H11/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A13/02
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/02
Higher League
68.8Avg total
37.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.933.272.2+5.761%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.732.271.9+7.469%-
Last 30 away (12)37.934.672.5+3.350%-
Last 10 (10)37.930.968.8+7.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.465.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.236.368.6-4.133%-
vs Similar (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.129.573.6+14.686%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H24/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/11
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
47-10
47
10
+37
A18/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H19/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A20/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/01
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
13-49
13
49
-36
A02/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H03/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A04/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
Higher League
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.942.076.8-7.131%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.440.977.3-4.436%-
Last 30 away (15)33.443.076.4-9.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.277.4-9.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.446.679.0-14.218%-
vs Similar (8)36.139.875.9-3.638%-
vs Weaker (4)42.826.869.5+16.075%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Tobol Kostanay 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tobol Kostanay 2: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.216.6
42.3%
49.5%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.0
28.2%
28.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.410.4
63.4%
63.9%10.4
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
No previous meetings.
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AShymkent77-70
13/02/26ATuran54-61
12/02/26HShymkent58-66
11/02/26HTuran57-81
19/01/26APavlodar86-52
18/01/26HPavlodar112-52
17/01/26AKaraganda82-79 OT
16/01/26HKaraganda95-58
07/12/25ACHAMP1ON81-59
06/12/25HCHAMP1ON76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HCHAMP1ON86-92
04/03/26ABC Almaty 263-85
03/03/26HCHAMP1ON51-85
02/03/26ABC Almaty 245-70
21/01/26HArlans88-56
20/01/26AAiRom68-72 OT
19/01/26HArlans66-93
18/01/26AAiRom86-49
25/11/25AAtyrau 263-69
24/11/25HKaspiy Aktau 265-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW80%
HomeWWWLL80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game81.883.879.8
Allowed / game67.267.167.4
Point differential+14.6+16.7+12.4
Avg total149.1150.9147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeWLWLL30%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %18%30%8%
Points / game69.770.669.0
Allowed / game81.480.781.9
Point differential-11.6-10.1-12.9
Avg total151.1151.3150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)-0% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent2118386%94.568.9+25.6
3 Aktobe2016480%81.867.2+14.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 BC Almaty 22012860%80.873.3+7.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay2213959%77.379.5-2.1
8 CHAMP1ON20101050%73.872.8+0.9
9 Karaganda2091145%80.278.0+2.2
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 AiRom2041620%64.778.7-13.9
13 Tobol Kostanay 22241818%69.781.4-11.6
14 Pavlodar2021810%53.389.8-36.5
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe3219232195
Tobol Kostanay 281381746
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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