Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 73-78

18-16 18-25 15-15 22-22

Position#7

Record3-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game84.0

Aktobe

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Position#2

Record9-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game77.0

National League· SP Qonys

Other2024-25

Meetings · Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktobe

Date

Competition

Atyrau

101-94

101

97avg 77

H20/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

81-109

109

-28

77avg 77

A05/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

82-85

-3

71avg 77

A06/11

National League

Astana 2

76-81

-5

no box

H09/11

National League

Astana 2

94-68

+26

95avg 77

H10/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

71-92

-21

59avg 77

A03/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

70-83

-13

60avg 77

A04/12

National League

Pavlodar

72-93

-21

60avg 77

H08/12

National League

Pavlodar

63-67

-4

60avg 77

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

70-78

-8

62avg 77

H23/12

National League

32-21

17-30

26-21

26-22

15-28

30-23

23-29

13-29

26-21

16-23

20-22

20-19

26-15

18-22

19-22

13-22

17-15

20-21

30-16

27-16

18-22

10-17

18-26

25-27

20-18

16-16

16-24

18-25

14-15

13-28

19-25

26-25

19-8

23-16

14-24

7-19

16-26

19-16

20-16

15-20

163.0Avg total

78.0Scored

85.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	77.5	84.0	161.5	-6.5	23%
Season at home (9)	78.1	80.3	158.4	-2.2	33%
Season away (4)	76.0	92.2	168.2	-16.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	85.0	163.0	-7.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	82.6	151.8	-13.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	79.6	83.9	163.4	-4.3	31%
vs Similar (10)	86.0	82.6	168.6	+3.4	70%
vs Weaker (4)	80.8	74.8	155.5	+6.0	50%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

81-84

-3

70avg 93

H09/10

National League

Pavlodar

107-74

107

+33

103avg 93

A22/10

National League

Pavlodar

111-72

111

+39

114avg 93

A23/10

National League

Astana 2

84-77

82avg 93

A27/10

National League

Astana 2

72-70

no box

A28/10

National League

Aktobe

109-81

109

+28

110avg 93

H05/11

National League

Aktobe

85-82

89avg 93

H06/11

National League

Atyrau

80-78

77avg 93

H14/12

National League

Atyrau

78-76

75avg 93

H15/12

National League

Aktobe

78-70

75avg 93

A23/12

National League

23-22

18-14

18-18

22-30

33-24

24-20

21-22

29-8

38-11

31-26

23-21

19-14

26-19

19-26

16-15

23-17

18-17

19-17

21-18

14-18

28-15

23-30

29-23

29-13

21-26

23-16

22-20

19-20

21-20

17-20

21-19

15-17

20-18

23-26

20-15

26-16

16-19

16-20

20-15

164.9Avg total

88.5Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	87.2	77.0	164.2	+10.2	82%
Season at home (6)	84.5	80.7	165.2	+3.8	67%
Season away (5)	90.4	72.6	163.0	+17.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	76.4	164.9	+12.1	90%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	77.4	163.4	+8.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	89.0	165.0	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	82.9	84.1	167.0	-1.2	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	94.4	77.7	172.1	+16.7	88%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	19.8	39.1	-0.6	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	20.8	40.9	-0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.9	39.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	22.7	40.4	-5.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	13.0	32.5	+6.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.0	43.8	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.8	19.9	44.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	18.7	43.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.4	20.2	42.5	+2.2	77%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	25.0	20.2	45.2	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	20.8	41.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	19.8	42.1	+2.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.7	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.5	19.4	42.9	+4.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.3	42.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.6	43.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	20.0	45.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.2	22.5	41.8	-3.3	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.1	20.4	43.4	+2.7	62%	-

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

49-51

-2

H20/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

45-51

-6

A05/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

42-44

-2

A06/11

National League

Astana 2

44-37

H09/11

National League

Astana 2

37-36

H10/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

28-39

-11

A03/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-34

A04/12

National League

Pavlodar

27-43

-16

H08/12

National League

Pavlodar

42-24

+18

H09/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-42

-7

H23/12

National League

78.6Avg total

38.5Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.9	40.6	80.5	-0.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	36.4	70.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.3	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.2	42.1	83.3	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	32.5	75.0	+10.0	75%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

41-36

H09/10

National League

Pavlodar

57-44

+13

A22/10

National League

Pavlodar

69-37

+32

A23/10

National League

Astana 2

45-45

A27/10

National League

Astana 2

37-34

A28/10

National League

Aktobe

51-45

H05/11

National League

Aktobe

44-42

H06/11

National League

Atyrau

38-40

-2

H14/12

National League

Atyrau

35-35

H15/12

National League

Aktobe

42-35

A23/12

National League

85.2Avg total

45.9Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	41.3	86.6	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	40.7	86.7	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.6	41.9	86.5	+2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	39.3	85.2	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.4	81.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	36.0	84.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.6	42.7	84.3	-1.1	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	48.1	40.6	88.6	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.2	40.7	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.2	40.8	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.0	40.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.5	42.2	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	54%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.2	41.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.9	40.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	16.4	35.9	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.9	38.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.4	38.2	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	15.0	29.0	44.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	20.6	40.2	-1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.1	16.9	40.1	+6.2	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.6	82.5	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	40.4	80.8	+0.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.5	43.2	84.7	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	44.9	84.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	46.2	81.8	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.1	42.1	81.2	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.8	40.5	85.3	+4.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.2	42.2	80.5	-4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	39.5	83.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	42.1	88.0	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	36.9	78.1	+4.2	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	37.1	79.7	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	53.0	81.0	-25.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	41.3	41.4	82.7	-0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	46.3	37.1	83.4	+9.2	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
23/12/24	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	70-78
06/11/24	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	85-82
05/11/24	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	109-81
22/05/24	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	74-73
21/05/24	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	90-86
15/05/24	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	109-97
14/05/24	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	89-105
14/03/24	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	87-91
13/03/24	Aktobe v Tobol Kostanay	95-88
09/11/23	Tobol Kostanay v Aktobe	101-76

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/24	H	Tobol Kostanay	70-78
09/12/24	H	Pavlodar	63-67
08/12/24	H	Pavlodar	72-93
04/12/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	70-83
03/12/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	71-92
10/11/24	H	Astana 2	94-68
09/11/24	H	Astana 2	76-81
06/11/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	82-85
05/11/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	81-109
20/10/24	H	Atyrau	101-94

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/24	A	Aktobe	78-70
15/12/24	H	Atyrau	78-76
14/12/24	H	Atyrau	80-78
06/11/24	H	Aktobe	85-82
05/11/24	H	Aktobe	109-81
28/10/24	A	Astana 2	72-70
27/10/24	A	Astana 2	84-77
23/10/24	A	Pavlodar	111-72
22/10/24	A	Pavlodar	107-74
09/10/24	H	Kaspiy Aktau	81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

National League 2024-25

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	23%
Home	LWLLL	33%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	9	4
Win %	23%	33%	0%
Points / game	77.5	78.1	76.0
Allowed / game	84.0	80.3	92.2
Point differential	-6.5	-2.2	-16.2
Avg total	161.5	158.4	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	25% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	82%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	82%	67%	100%
Points / game	87.2	84.5	90.4
Allowed / game	77.0	80.7	72.6
Point differential	+10.2	+3.8	+17.8
Avg total	164.2	165.2	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	17%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	75% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	11	9	2	82%	79.2	65.1	+14.1
2	Tobol Kostanay	11	9	2	82%	87.2	77.0	+10.2
3	Atyrau	14	10	4	71%	82.7	74.8	+7.9
4	Almaty	11	7	4	64%	80.5	76.6	+3.8
5	Kaspiy Aktau	16	7	9	44%	72.6	75.9	-3.3
6	Astana 2	16	6	10	38%	74.2	78.6	-4.4
7	Aktobe	13	3	10	23%	77.5	84.0	-6.5
8	Pavlodar	16	3	13	19%	69.2	82.5	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	18	18	15	22	73
Tobol Kostanay	16	25	15	22	78

← all games of the day

Aktobe vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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