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Al Ahli vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-96
25-25 18-22 22-28 21-21
Position#5
Record10-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.3
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
Position#3
Record12-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game83.9
QatarQBLQBL - 3rd place· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Sadd
30 Mar 2026
AL A73
AL S80
31 Jan 2026
AL A60
AL S76
03 Nov 2025
AL A80
AL S90
07 Apr 2025
AL A86
AL S96
18 Jan 2025
AL A86
AL S108
06 Jan 2024
AL A87
AL S74
31 Mar 2023
AL A68
AL S79
03 Mar 2022
AL A85
AL S65
25 Feb 2020
AL A79
AL S86
08 Jan 2019
AL A79
AL S85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 79
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 79
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
66avg 79
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
63avg 79
H13/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 79
H15/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
67avg 79
A17/03
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
49avg 79
H20/03
QBL
Al Hala
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
no box
A03/04
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
22-19
25-22
19-22
19-21
17-24
26-13
29-29
14-19
22-20
19-13
12-18
17-17
25-16
20-17
19-16
16-12
30-9
20-18
13-15
19-26
29-15
17-24
17-23
21-23
20-16
15-24
19-13
16-23
24-19
22-22
17-23
15-23
22-21
11-27
18-17
27-22
23-19
24-20
16-27
158.7Avg total
80.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.479.3158.7+0.156%
Season at home (9)77.178.8155.9-1.744%
Season away (9)81.779.9161.6+1.867%
Last 10 (10)80.578.2158.7+2.350%
Last 5 (5)78.485.4163.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.785.3159.0-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.583.7162.2-5.217%
vs Weaker (17)89.669.8159.4+19.888%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
W
108-86
108
86
+22
120avg 83
A18/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 83
H22/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 83
H25/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
95-76
95
76
+19
97avg 83
H30/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
65avg 83
A03/03
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
112-108
112
108
+4
102avg 83
A08/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
106-74
106
74
+32
106avg 83
A12/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 83
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
57avg 83
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
67-91
67
91
-24
54avg 83
A25/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-27
23-16
26-19
28-24
25-24
12-17
19-18
17-16
20-27
17-26
24-20
22-20
25-13
20-16
27-19
23-28
14-26
20-22
23-9
22-25
19-19
29-21
33-37
31-31
26-25
28-13
21-15
31-21
21-19
21-18
25-17
13-24
13-21
19-26
12-26
26-16
19-28
16-24
6-17
26-22
172.5Avg total
87.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.983.9170.9+3.063%
Season at home (9)85.986.9172.8-1.056%
Season away (10)87.981.3169.2+6.670%
Last 10 (10)87.385.2172.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)87.088.0175.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.284.5158.8-10.323%
vs Similar ◀ (8)91.588.1179.6+3.462%
vs Weaker (9)90.878.0168.8+12.889%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Al AhliAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/03
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/03
QBL
Al Hala
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A03/04
Premier League
80.6Avg total
42.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.079.5+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.379.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.136.779.9+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.980.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.484.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.940.777.6-3.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.342.283.5-0.867%-
vs Weaker (17)45.233.778.9+11.582%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A18/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H25/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H30/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A03/03
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A08/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H20/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/03
QBL
84.6Avg total
41.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.080.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.440.077.4-2.629%-
Last 30 away (16)42.740.182.8+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.884.6-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.743.278.8-7.523%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.938.583.4+6.475%-
vs Weaker (9)42.736.979.6+5.867%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.2
54.1%
51.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.9
34.9%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
68.2%13.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.1
53.5%
51.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
31.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
68.2%15.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WLLLLWWLWW
Al Sadd
LLWWWLWLLW
#5
League position
#3
+12.8
Net rating
+2.5
112.5
Offensive rating
109.5
99.7
Defensive rating
107.0
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
33.2%
56.4%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 109.5Defence99.7 · 107.0Shooting53.4% · 52.0%3-point %34.9% · 33.2%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-108
07/12/24Al Sadd v Al Ahli87-78
06/01/24Al Ahli v Al Sadd87-74
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
05/01/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli92-75
15/12/20Al Sadd v Al Ahli93-88
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/25AAl Hala90-88
20/03/25HAl-Rayyan66-88
17/03/25AAl-Rayyan79-87
15/03/25HAl Ittihad75-76
13/03/25HAl Arabi82-88
12/03/25HAl Ittihad79-54
10/03/25HAl Gharafa81-66
08/03/25AAl Muharraq67-70
07/03/25AAl Nasr91-87
05/03/25AQatar Sports95-78
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25AAl Arabi67-91
20/03/25HAl Arabi70-89
17/03/25AAl Arabi80-78
12/03/25AQatar Sports106-74
08/03/25AAl Shamal112-108
03/03/25AAl-Rayyan79-82
30/01/25HAl Wakrah95-76
25/01/25HAl Arabi83-93
22/01/25HAl Khor73-75
18/01/25AAl Ahli108-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%44%67%
Points / game79.477.181.7
Allowed / game79.378.879.9
Point differential+0.1-1.7+1.8
Avg total158.7155.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Al Sadd
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL63%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%56%70%
Points / game86.985.987.9
Allowed / game83.986.981.3
Point differential+3.0-1.0+6.6
Avg total170.9172.8169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%11%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1916384%92.274.9+17.3
2 Al Arabi2015575%85.777.5+8.2
3 Al Sadd1912763%86.983.9+3.0
4 Al Shamal169756%87.487.8-0.4
5 Al Ahli1810856%79.479.3+0.1
6 Al Gharafa1651131%82.487.1-4.6
7 Qatar Sports1641225%78.887.6-8.8
8 Al Wakrah1641225%77.488.3-10.9
9 Al Khor1631319%68.177.8-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2518222186
Al Sadd2522282196
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