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Al Ahli vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-80
18-26 29-24 15-15 11-15
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Al Sadd 🏆
Qatar
Position#3
Record11-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.4
QatarQBLQBL - 3rd place· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Sadd
30 Mar 2026
AL A73
AL S80
31 Jan 2026
AL A60
AL S76
03 Nov 2025
AL A80
AL S90
07 Apr 2025
AL A86
AL S96
18 Jan 2025
AL A86
AL S108
06 Jan 2024
AL A87
AL S74
31 Mar 2023
AL A68
AL S79
03 Mar 2022
AL A85
AL S65
25 Feb 2020
AL A79
AL S86
08 Jan 2019
AL A79
AL S85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Al Ahli
6.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.7
73.4▼ 6.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.4
90.2▲ 11.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
55%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.0
15.5▼ 1.5
🔥 Form · Al Sadd
5.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.8
73.6▼ 15.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
79.8▼ 5.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
49%▼ 11%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.5
11.7▼ 7.8
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H29/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
15-13
13-21
15-16
16-17
26-22
22-11
21-23
26-25
15-18
22-19
16-12
15-13
15-23
27-15
21-16
7-15
13-20
17-28
23-20
17-21
21-21
13-17
17-20
20-25
20-24
11-24
18-20
9-24
26-24
20-19
18-23
19-20
22-22
25-25
22-26
17-24
16-18
19-29
17-25
155.3Avg total
72.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.380.5166.8+5.860%
Season at home (10)84.279.1163.3+5.160%
Season away (10)88.481.9170.3+6.560%
Last 10 (10)72.982.4155.3-9.530%
Last 5 (5)73.490.2163.6-16.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.578.6150.1-7.127%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.574.5145.0-4.025%
vs Weaker (11)93.778.5172.3+15.2100%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A31/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H03/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H07/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
105-88
105
88
+17
A10/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
112-94
112
94
+18
A14/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H17/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H28/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
23-22
24-24
26-23
23-25
24-19
20-38
23-23
29-24
18-16
25-25
25-29
32-28
23-19
22-23
28-18
29-39
26-12
32-21
25-22
9-21
18-22
17-15
21-21
17-18
24-24
19-23
15-24
26-17
13-15
21-13
16-15
18-25
22-20
20-20
18-30
22-16
10-28
25-13
17-19
174.4Avg total
87.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.585.4173.9+3.158%
Season at home (10)84.285.0169.2-0.840%
Season away (9)93.285.9179.1+7.378%
Last 10 (10)87.387.1174.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)73.679.8153.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.590.4168.8-11.99%
vs Similar ◀ (6)91.283.2174.3+8.083%
vs Weaker (13)95.482.2177.5+13.285%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.0-1.0
Al AhliAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/03
Premier League
76.7Avg total
35.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.677.5+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.336.976.1+2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)35.241.576.7-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.444.682.0-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.038.571.5-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.238.574.8-2.225%-
vs Weaker (11)47.838.786.5+9.191%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A31/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H03/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A10/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A14/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H17/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/03
QBL
86.6Avg total
43.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.984.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.640.079.6-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)45.643.689.1+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.286.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.277.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.444.583.9-5.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.741.585.2+2.267%-
vs Weaker (13)45.339.885.2+5.569%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.427.8
59.9%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.9
30.4%
33.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
73.4%12.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.7
55.5%
54.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
33.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.616.6
80.6%
73.4%16.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLLLLLWWWL
Al Sadd
LLWLLWWWLW
#4
League position
#3
+10.0
Net rating
+2.3
106.5
Offensive rating
108.1
96.5
Defensive rating
105.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.4%
3-point %
35.1%
50.4%
Assist %
62.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 108.1Defence96.5 · 105.8Shooting55.2% · 54.2%3-point %30.4% · 35.1%Ball care14.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds36.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Al Ahli wins
7
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Al Ahli v Al Sadd60-76
17/01/26Al Sadd v Al Ahli65-79
03/11/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd80-90
07/04/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-96
18/01/25Al Ahli v Al Sadd86-108
07/12/24Al Sadd v Al Ahli87-78
06/01/24Al Ahli v Al Sadd87-74
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HAl Muharraq69-96
28/03/26HAl-Rayyan88-93
26/03/26AAl Muharraq73-90
23/03/26AAl-Rayyan69-93
23/02/26HAl Hala68-79
20/02/26AAl Muharraq60-83
12/02/26AAl Manama78-67
05/02/26HNuwaidrad79-74
02/02/26AAl Wakrah85-73
31/01/26HAl Sadd60-76
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HAl Arabi74-76
23/03/26AAl Arabi78-95
31/01/26AAl Ahli76-60
28/01/26HAl Arabi75-89
17/01/26HAl Ahli65-79
14/01/26AQatar Sports112-94
10/01/26AAl Shamal105-88
07/01/26HAl Wakrah97-94
03/01/26HAl-Rayyan90-105
31/12/25AAl Khor101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game86.384.288.4
Allowed / game80.579.181.9
Point differential+5.8+5.1+6.5
Avg total166.8163.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL58%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%40%78%
Points / game88.584.293.2
Allowed / game85.485.085.9
Point differential+3.1-0.8+7.3
Avg total173.9169.2179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%30%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1816289%95.180.4+14.7
2 Al Arabi1816289%96.684.7+11.8
3 Al Ahli2012860%86.380.5+5.8
4 Al Sadd1911858%88.585.4+3.1
5 Al Wakrah189950%82.885.3-2.4
6 Al Shamal1771041%85.688.2-2.5
7 Al Gharafa1651131%92.5100.2-7.8
8 Qatar Sports1621412%84.797.7-13.0
9 Al Khor161156%84.198.6-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1829151173
Al Sadd2624151580
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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