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Alabama vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-115 (OT)
0-0 47-57 0-0 48-38 22-20
Position#48
Record18-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game82.7
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Arkansas
USA
Position#36
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alabama v Arkansas
18 Feb 2026
ALAB117
ARKA115
09 Mar 2024
ALAB92
ARKA88
25 Feb 2023
ALAB86
ARKA83
12 Feb 2022
ALAB68
ARKA67
16 Jan 2021
ALAB90
ARKA59
01 Feb 2020
ALAB78
ARKA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-81
83
81
+2
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
100-97
100
97
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-46
0-0
43-46
0-0
36-34
0-0
61-48
0-0
33-44
0-0
50-37
0-0
39-36
0-0
34-43
0-0
42-29
0-0
48-35
0-0
36-46
0-0
41-54
0-0
46-46
0-0
54-51
0-0
37-41
0-0
59-51
0-0
32-30
0-0
61-44
0-0
45-32
0-0
44-43
172.2Avg total
88.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)91.882.7174.4+9.172%
Season at home (17)92.180.0172.1+12.171%
Season away (8)91.188.4179.5+2.875%
Last 10 (10)88.683.6172.2+5.070%
Last 5 (5)91.087.6178.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.094.3173.3-15.317%
vs Similar ◀ (15)91.884.9176.7+6.973%
vs Weaker (9)97.072.4169.4+24.6100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
108-74
108
74
+34
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
91-62
91
62
+29
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-49
0-0
39-46
0-0
50-38
0-0
58-36
0-0
32-45
0-0
44-45
0-0
46-35
0-0
47-33
0-0
33-37
0-0
52-44
0-0
44-48
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-42
0-0
42-43
0-0
43-30
0-0
45-38
0-0
42-27
0-0
49-35
0-0
38-32
0-0
50-43
163.9Avg total
86.2Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.876.5165.2+12.376%
Season at home (18)91.675.7167.2+15.983%
Season away (7)81.678.6160.1+3.057%
Last 10 (10)86.277.7163.9+8.570%
Last 5 (5)85.473.8159.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.581.2159.8-2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.277.2160.4+6.167%
vs Weaker (14)92.573.9166.4+18.693%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: +7.1+7.1
AlabamaArkansas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas
#135
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H28/01
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A12/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
77.5Avg total
39.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.037.181.2+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.434.981.2+11.580%-
Last 30 away (10)39.341.781.0-2.430%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.477.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.344.284.5-3.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.537.983.5+7.667%-
vs Weaker (9)44.031.175.1+12.989%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A10/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H15/01
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/01
NCAA
LSU
#230
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/02
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A11/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H15/02
NCAA
78.0Avg total
39.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.178.1+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.635.178.7+8.574%-
Last 30 away (11)39.137.876.9+1.364%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.378.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.876.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.275.5-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.840.180.9+0.858%-
vs Weaker (14)44.332.176.4+12.286%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alabama wins
2
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
09/02/25Arkansas v Alabama81-85
09/03/24Alabama v Arkansas92-88 OT
25/02/23Alabama v Arkansas86-83
12/01/23Arkansas v Alabama69-84
12/02/22Alabama v Arkansas68-67
25/02/21Arkansas v Alabama81-66
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HSouth Carolina89-75
12/02/26AOle Miss93-74
07/02/26AAuburn96-92
05/02/26HTexas A&M100-97
01/02/26AFlorida77-100
28/01/26HMissouri90-64
25/01/26HTennessee73-79
17/01/26AOklahoma83-81
14/01/26AMississippi St.97-82
11/01/26HTexas88-92
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HAuburn88-75
11/02/26ALSU91-62
07/02/26AMississippi St.88-68
31/01/26HKentucky77-85
28/01/26AOklahoma83-79
24/01/26HLSU85-81
21/01/26HVanderbilt93-68
17/01/26AGeorgia76-90
15/01/26HSouth Carolina108-74
10/01/26AAuburn73-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %72%71%75%
Points / game91.892.191.1
Allowed / game82.780.088.4
Point differential+9.1+12.1+2.8
Avg total174.4172.1179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%59%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25187
Win %76%83%57%
Points / game88.891.681.6
Allowed / game76.575.778.6
Point differential+12.3+15.9+3.0
Avg total165.2167.2160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt2521484%88.473.6+14.8
2 Florida2620677%86.171.1+15.0
3 Arkansas2519676%88.876.5+12.3
4 Tennessee2518772%81.069.3+11.8
5 Alabama2518772%91.882.7+9.1
6 Georgia2618869%90.278.3+11.8
7 Texas A&M2517868%89.878.6+11.2
8 Missouri2517868%80.074.3+5.7
9 Texas2617965%85.374.8+10.5
10 Kentucky2617965%81.572.7+8.8
11 Auburn25141156%84.079.0+4.9
12 LSU26141254%80.975.8+5.1
13 Oklahoma25131252%83.477.7+5.7
14 Mississippi St.25131252%78.077.7+0.3
15 Ole Miss25111444%74.073.7+0.4
16 South Carolina26111542%75.975.9-0.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alabama04704822117
Arkansas05703820115
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