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Arkansas vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-66
39-38 42-28
Position#20
Record17-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#19
Record18-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Arkansas v Alabama
09 Jan 2027
ARKA v ALAB
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
ARKA81
ALAB85
11 Jan 2023
ARKA69
ALAB84
24 Feb 2021
ARKA81
ALAB66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#80
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H03/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-51
45-41
19-42
40-48
31-43
44-30
45-35
47-36
37-25
37-34
34-38
43-43
28-22
33-23
36-35
45-45
31-35
42-38
40-30
35-34
149.2Avg total
75.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.570.1152.6+12.377%
Season at home (14)83.763.1146.9+20.693%
Season away (8)80.282.4162.6-2.150%
Last 10 (10)75.673.6149.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)76.070.2146.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.175.1150.2+0.050%
vs Weaker (21)84.371.3155.6+13.076%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H16/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
105-75
105
75
+30
A20/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H27/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#125
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H04/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A06/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
115-82
115
82
+33
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-19
48-40
60-32
45-43
40-35
41-38
35-32
35-27
29-32
32-34
36-30
42-30
28-44
37-24
39-36
42-42
51-38
64-44
33-29
49-49
152.6Avg total
82.8Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.970.5151.3+10.478%
Season at home (16)81.169.8150.9+11.481%
Season away (7)80.372.1152.4+8.171%
Last 10 (10)82.869.8152.6+13.080%
Last 5 (5)84.273.2157.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.070.5151.5+10.582%
vs Weaker (19)80.073.8153.8+6.263%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: +6.4+6.4
ArkansasAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#80
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
33.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.871.6+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.931.170.9+8.879%-
Last 30 away (11)34.438.572.8-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)33.235.668.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.065.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.633.669.2+2.062%-
vs Weaker (21)38.334.072.2+4.362%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H16/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A20/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#125
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A30/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H20/02
NCAA
72.0Avg total
39.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.670.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.433.871.2+3.665%-
Last 30 away (10)37.033.270.2+3.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.772.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.472.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.631.770.4+6.964%-
vs Weaker (19)36.534.671.1+1.863%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Arkansas wins
1
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/21HFlorida75-64
13/02/21AMissouri86-81 OT
10/02/21AKentucky81-80
03/02/21HMississippi St.61-45
30/01/21AOklahoma State77-81
28/01/21HOle Miss74-59
23/01/21AVanderbilt92-71
21/01/21HAuburn75-73
16/01/21AAlabama59-90
14/01/21ALSU76-92
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HVanderbilt82-78
13/02/21HGeorgia115-82
09/02/21ASouth Carolina81-78
06/02/21AMissouri65-68
04/02/21HLSU78-60
30/01/21AOklahoma61-66
27/01/21HKentucky70-59
23/01/21HMississippi St.81-73
20/01/21ALSU105-75
16/01/21HArkansas90-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %77%93%50%
Points / game82.583.780.2
Allowed / game70.163.182.4
Point differential+12.3+20.6-2.1
Avg total152.6146.9162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%86%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Alabama
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWLLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23167
Win %78%81%71%
Points / game80.981.180.3
Allowed / game70.569.872.1
Point differential+10.4+11.4+8.1
Avg total151.3150.9152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2318578%80.970.5+10.4
2 Arkansas2217577%82.570.1+12.3
3 Tennessee2115671%73.062.7+10.3
4 Oklahoma2014670%74.967.3+7.5
5 Texas2014670%75.768.7+7.0
6 LSU2114767%82.975.2+7.7
7 Florida1812667%76.270.1+6.1
8 Missouri2114767%73.971.5+2.4
9 Georgia2314961%78.077.1+0.9
10 Ole Miss2213959%69.163.4+5.8
11 Mississippi St.24131154%70.165.6+4.5
12 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
13 Auburn24111346%78.077.1+0.8
14 Kentucky2181338%69.970.2-0.4
15 Vanderbilt1861233%73.773.8-0.1
16 South Carolina1751229%72.777.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas394281
Alabama382866
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