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Alba Berlin vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-70
24-15 13-20 21-22 16-13
Position#14
Record11-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#12
Record13-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game74.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 32
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Crvena zvezda
06 Feb 2025
ABE71
CZV77
25 Jan 2024
ABE89
CZV80
22 Nov 2022
ABE84
CZV88
25 Mar 2022
ABE74
CZV70
08 Apr 2021
ABE81
CZV58
26 Mar 2015
ABE73
CZV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
72-56
72
56
+16
70avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
81avg 78
A24/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 78
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
84-58
84
58
+26
89avg 78
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 78
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 78
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-15
16-23
14-2
23-31
18-8
28-19
22-23
15-22
24-21
25-15
22-18
21-21
22-19
17-15
22-25
24-24
20-6
15-20
23-24
16-17
21-13
20-21
33-24
23-14
22-12
22-18
17-14
21-22
21-15
30-18
23-25
19-21
12-23
29-20
8-21
13-21
26-26
19-26
21-22
158.9Avg total
82.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.880.0155.8-4.238%
Season at home (15)79.779.0158.7+0.753%
Season away (14)71.781.1152.8-9.421%
Last 10 (10)82.976.0158.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)83.278.6161.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.481.8161.2-2.440%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.278.3150.5-6.233%
vs Weaker (14)87.873.5161.3+14.386%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H20/02
Korac cup
Panathinaikos
#16
L
73-79
73
79
-6
63avg 73
A25/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
71avg 73
H27/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
77avg 73
H03/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
84-98
84
98
-14
75avg 73
A06/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
W
65-62
65
62
+3
50avg 73
H08/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 73
H10/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 73
H14/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
60avg 73
A18/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 73
A21/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
29-15
18-18
18-22
23-17
18-25
18-17
14-20
20-18
21-19
18-23
15-9
13-26
28-15
14-15
31-27
21-28
13-12
29-24
21-34
16-15
19-13
8-14
22-20
24-10
18-29
23-21
19-17
24-19
28-24
17-13
25-28
15-22
17-25
19-18
19-17
20-12
18-20
16-24
24-18
156.9Avg total
79.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.074.2147.1-1.245%
Season at home (15)74.773.8148.5+0.960%
Season away (14)71.174.6145.6-3.529%
Last 10 (10)79.377.6156.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)78.275.8154.0+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.977.6152.4-2.743%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.778.2155.9-0.656%
vs Weaker (13)82.470.0152.4+12.492%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
Alba BerlinCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A15/02
BBL
Chemnitz
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/02
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A20/02
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A24/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H22/03
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
40.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.137.578.6+3.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.680.1-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.777.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.875.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.339.476.7-2.140%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.338.375.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker (14)43.639.382.9+4.457%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/02
Korac cup
Panathinaikos
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H03/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H08/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#7
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H14/03
ABA League
Barcelona
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A21/03
ABA League
78.2Avg total
40.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.877.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.836.178.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)38.437.776.1+0.754%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.778.2+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.877.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.438.376.7+0.157%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.239.778.9-0.433%-
vs Weaker (13)42.135.077.1+7.185%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.4
55.3%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.4
41.9%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.911.2
75.2%
77.2%11.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.9
52.8%
52.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.8
34.5%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
77.2%15.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWWWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWLWWLW
#14
League position
#12
+13.8
Net rating
+3.7
114.4
Offensive rating
114.1
100.7
Defensive rating
110.3
58.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.9%
3-point %
34.5%
67.9%
Assist %
64.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 114.1Defence100.7 · 110.3Shooting58.3% · 52.4%3-point %41.9% · 34.5%Ball care18.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 35.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
1
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/22HBarcelona79-95
18/03/22ABaskonia68-85
16/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-80
13/03/22AGiessen84-58
10/03/22HOlympiacos90-75
03/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas82-74
24/02/22ALyon-Villeurbanne82-80
20/02/22ACrailsheim Merlins86-76
19/02/22HChemnitz91-81
15/02/22AFrankfurt72-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/22ACibona78-74
18/03/22ABarcelona70-82
14/03/22HStudentski Centar94-84
10/03/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv84-77
08/03/22HReal Madrid65-62
06/03/22APartizan84-98
03/03/22HBaskonia86-83
27/02/22HFenerbahce74-69
25/02/22APanathinaikos73-79
20/02/22HPartizan85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeWWWWL53%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%53%21%
Points / game75.879.771.7
Allowed / game80.079.081.1
Point differential-4.2+0.7-9.4
Avg total155.8158.7152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL45%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%60%29%
Points / game73.074.771.1
Allowed / game74.273.874.6
Point differential-1.2+0.9-3.5
Avg total147.1148.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)83% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2923679%83.475.8+7.6
2 Real Madrid3122971%77.972.6+5.4
3 Olimpia Milano29191066%73.871.6+2.2
4 Olympiacos29181162%80.275.1+5.1
5 Zenit Petersburg2314961%74.073.5+0.6
6 CSKA Moscow24141058%80.879.0+1.8
7 Monaco31171455%84.181.4+2.7
8 Unics Kazan25131252%76.775.5+1.2
9 Anadolu Efes31161552%82.980.9+2.0
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv28141450%78.478.7-0.3
11 Fenerbahce26121446%75.774.0+1.7
12 Bayern26121446%74.274.7-0.5
13 Crvena zvezda29131645%73.074.2-1.2
14 Alba Berlin29111838%75.880.0-4.2
15 Baskonia31112035%74.278.8-4.6
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne29101934%72.578.7-6.2
17 Panathinaikos2882029%74.080.0-6.0
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3072323%71.878.7-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2413211674
Crvena zvezda1520221370
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